OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Adaptive ML VWAP v1.0
Overview
Adaptive ML VWAP is a next-generation "Smart Indicator" that moves beyond static deviations (Standard Deviation). Instead of assuming market volatility is distributed normally (Bell Curve), this indicator uses a k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) machine learning engine to learn the specific volatility behavior of the asset you are trading.
It answers the question: "When price extends away from VWAP, how far does it actually go before reversing?"
The Adaptive ML Engine
This script features a 5-Dimensional ML Engine that tracks every major extension or pullback event. It records:
Deviation Depth (Normalized to ATR)
Trend Slope (Is the trend steep or flat?)
ADX (Trend Strength)
VWAP Deviation (Relative Position)
Time of Day (Session Context)
When a new setup occurs, the k-NN engine instantly searches its memory for the 5 most similar historical events and calculates the probability of success based on what happened last time.
Two Strategy Modes
You can toggle the logic to suit your trading style:
1. Mean Reversion Mode (Default)
"Fade The Move"
Goal: Catch price at an exhaustion point returning to VWAP.
Signal: Triggers when price touches a Smart Band and reverses back toward the center.
k-NN Learning: Learns which conditions favor a snap-back.
Best For: Ranging markets, Lunch hours, Choppy sessions.
2. Trend Following Mode
"Ride The Move"
Goal: Catch breakouts that are launching away from value.
Signal: Triggers when price breaks out of the Inner Band (1.0).
k-NN Learning: Learns which breakouts tend to extend to the Outer Bands.
Best For: Morning Drives, News Events, Strong Trends.
Visual Guide
The indicator uses a Dynamic Gradient system to visualize risk/reward:
Cyan Mist (0.5 - 1.0): The Value Zone. Noise area. Safe for trend entries.
Deep Cyan (1.0 - 2.0): The Trend Zone. Price is moving proactively.
Orange Glow (2.0 - 3.0): The Danger Zone. Price is statistically overextended. Reversals are highly probable here.
"Fractal" Math
Unlike standard indicators that break when you change timeframes, Adaptive ML VWAP uses Fractal Normalization.
A "2.0 Band" on a 15-second chart means the same statistical extreme as a "2.0 Band" on a 4-hour chart.
Auto-Adaptive Lookback: The indicator automatically boosts the ML memory (Lookback) on lower timeframes (seconds/minutes) where more noise requires larger sample sizes, ensuring robust predictions without manual tweaking.
Settings
Auto-Adapting Lookback: (Default: True) automatically increases Lookback to 100+ for seconds charts and 50+ for minute charts.
Lookback (Events): Manual override base value (Default: 100).
Strategy Mode: Toggle between Mean Reversion and Trend Following.
k-Neighbors: The number of similar past events to structurally compare (Default: 5).
Disclaimer: This tool is for educational purposes. Machine learning performance is dependent on market conditions and historical recursion.
Adaptive ML VWAP is a next-generation "Smart Indicator" that moves beyond static deviations (Standard Deviation). Instead of assuming market volatility is distributed normally (Bell Curve), this indicator uses a k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) machine learning engine to learn the specific volatility behavior of the asset you are trading.
It answers the question: "When price extends away from VWAP, how far does it actually go before reversing?"
The Adaptive ML Engine
This script features a 5-Dimensional ML Engine that tracks every major extension or pullback event. It records:
Deviation Depth (Normalized to ATR)
Trend Slope (Is the trend steep or flat?)
ADX (Trend Strength)
VWAP Deviation (Relative Position)
Time of Day (Session Context)
When a new setup occurs, the k-NN engine instantly searches its memory for the 5 most similar historical events and calculates the probability of success based on what happened last time.
Two Strategy Modes
You can toggle the logic to suit your trading style:
1. Mean Reversion Mode (Default)
"Fade The Move"
Goal: Catch price at an exhaustion point returning to VWAP.
Signal: Triggers when price touches a Smart Band and reverses back toward the center.
k-NN Learning: Learns which conditions favor a snap-back.
Best For: Ranging markets, Lunch hours, Choppy sessions.
2. Trend Following Mode
"Ride The Move"
Goal: Catch breakouts that are launching away from value.
Signal: Triggers when price breaks out of the Inner Band (1.0).
k-NN Learning: Learns which breakouts tend to extend to the Outer Bands.
Best For: Morning Drives, News Events, Strong Trends.
Visual Guide
The indicator uses a Dynamic Gradient system to visualize risk/reward:
Cyan Mist (0.5 - 1.0): The Value Zone. Noise area. Safe for trend entries.
Deep Cyan (1.0 - 2.0): The Trend Zone. Price is moving proactively.
Orange Glow (2.0 - 3.0): The Danger Zone. Price is statistically overextended. Reversals are highly probable here.
"Fractal" Math
Unlike standard indicators that break when you change timeframes, Adaptive ML VWAP uses Fractal Normalization.
A "2.0 Band" on a 15-second chart means the same statistical extreme as a "2.0 Band" on a 4-hour chart.
Auto-Adaptive Lookback: The indicator automatically boosts the ML memory (Lookback) on lower timeframes (seconds/minutes) where more noise requires larger sample sizes, ensuring robust predictions without manual tweaking.
Settings
Auto-Adapting Lookback: (Default: True) automatically increases Lookback to 100+ for seconds charts and 50+ for minute charts.
Lookback (Events): Manual override base value (Default: 100).
Strategy Mode: Toggle between Mean Reversion and Trend Following.
k-Neighbors: The number of similar past events to structurally compare (Default: 5).
Disclaimer: This tool is for educational purposes. Machine learning performance is dependent on market conditions and historical recursion.
Script open-source
Dans l'esprit TradingView, le créateur de ce script l'a rendu open source afin que les traders puissent examiner et vérifier ses fonctionnalités. Bravo à l'auteur! Bien que vous puissiez l'utiliser gratuitement, n'oubliez pas que la republication du code est soumise à nos Règles.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Script open-source
Dans l'esprit TradingView, le créateur de ce script l'a rendu open source afin que les traders puissent examiner et vérifier ses fonctionnalités. Bravo à l'auteur! Bien que vous puissiez l'utiliser gratuitement, n'oubliez pas que la republication du code est soumise à nos Règles.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.