Market Cap BTC Dominance, %
Penjualan

BTC Dominance (BTC.D) — Weekly Failed Auction

470
Chart Context
• Instrument: BTC.D
• Time-frame: 1-Week
• *Key vLevels (dashed):
• 68 % – 2021 supply pivot
• 66-68 % zone – recorded a Weekly Failed Auction (wick above, close back below)
• 62.50 % – mid-range support / prior breakout shelf

  1. Failed Auction at the Top

  • Price wicked into the 66-68 % vLevel but closed lower.
  • On a weekly chart that pattern often marks exhaustion; bulls couldn’t maintain control.


  1. First Support = 62.50 %

  • If BTC.D trades < 62.50 % and closes a weekly bar there, odds rise that capital rotates out of BTC and into alt-coins.
  • Historically this breakdown triggers the early stages of alt-season (see 2021 analogue).

  1. Invalidation

  • Weekly close > 68 % negates the failed auction and points to renewed BTC strength (alts lag).


How I’ll trade / allocate

  1. Spot BTC bias – overweight BTC while dominance holds > 62 %.
  2. Alt-coin rotation – shift 20-35 % into high-conviction alts only after a confirmed weekly close < 62 % and follow-through below 60 %.
  3. Risk checks – trim alt exposure back to cash/BTC if dominance reclaims 62 % after a breakdown (failed alt-season).

Pernyataan Penyangkalan

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