1. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Macroeconomics:
• USD: After a technical rebound, the USD is stalling -> no longer exerting strong selling pressure on BTC.
• US equities: Trading within a narrow range, in an accumulation phase -> the market is waiting for a new signal.
• FED: No signal of further tightening; interest rates remain high, but mid-term expectations are still for cuts -> BTC is being supported.
• BTC ETF: ETF flows are not seeing strong outflows, mainly holding positions, showing institutions have not exited the market.
b) Politics:
• No new negative geopolitical news -> the crypto market is not experiencing shock events.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Neutral – slightly risk-on.
• Retail traders are trading short-term, while institutions are standing aside waiting for trend confirmation -> high chance of liquidity sweeps on both sides.
• Year-end period, overall activity is slowing, with no major trades.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Overall trend: Sideways within a slightly upward range.
• Price is trading below the short-term ascending trendline (rejected multiple times – circles on the chart).
• Oscillating within the 87k – 88k range.
• RSI: M15–M30 RSI around the 50–60 zone -> not overbought.
• Suitable for scalping within the range, not suitable for holding long-term trend trades.
=> Current structure:
Not enough momentum to break the trendline -> prioritize pullback trades and range trading, avoid chasing price.
Key Technical Levels:
• Resistance: 88,048 – 89,186
• Support: 86,177 – 83,856
3. Previous Market Session:
• BTC tested the 89k–90k zone -> strongly rejected at the trendline.
• Then returned to consolidation around the 87k–88k area.
• Liquidity did not expand -> this is a technical pullback, not distribution.
=> The previous session was an order absorption day; direction has not been chosen yet.
a) Macroeconomics:
• USD: After a technical rebound, the USD is stalling -> no longer exerting strong selling pressure on BTC.
• US equities: Trading within a narrow range, in an accumulation phase -> the market is waiting for a new signal.
• FED: No signal of further tightening; interest rates remain high, but mid-term expectations are still for cuts -> BTC is being supported.
• BTC ETF: ETF flows are not seeing strong outflows, mainly holding positions, showing institutions have not exited the market.
b) Politics:
• No new negative geopolitical news -> the crypto market is not experiencing shock events.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Neutral – slightly risk-on.
• Retail traders are trading short-term, while institutions are standing aside waiting for trend confirmation -> high chance of liquidity sweeps on both sides.
• Year-end period, overall activity is slowing, with no major trades.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Overall trend: Sideways within a slightly upward range.
• Price is trading below the short-term ascending trendline (rejected multiple times – circles on the chart).
• Oscillating within the 87k – 88k range.
• RSI: M15–M30 RSI around the 50–60 zone -> not overbought.
• Suitable for scalping within the range, not suitable for holding long-term trend trades.
=> Current structure:
Not enough momentum to break the trendline -> prioritize pullback trades and range trading, avoid chasing price.
Key Technical Levels:
• Resistance: 88,048 – 89,186
• Support: 86,177 – 83,856
3. Previous Market Session:
• BTC tested the 89k–90k zone -> strongly rejected at the trendline.
• Then returned to consolidation around the 87k–88k area.
• Liquidity did not expand -> this is a technical pullback, not distribution.
=> The previous session was an order absorption day; direction has not been chosen yet.
Catatan
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Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.
📢 Sometimes signals appear on TradingView with a slight delay!
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
👉 t.me/+dXxWVQnU5IcwNmI1
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
👉 t.me/+dXxWVQnU5IcwNmI1
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.