🔍 Quick Summary
I’m looking at MSFT as a bullish reversal setup after price swept the major low around the $345–$350 zone and reacted aggressively. The daily chart is showing a possible trap below support, followed by buyers stepping back in — exactly the type of move I want to see before a larger upside reversal 🚀.
📊 Deep Analysis
MSFT sold off hard from the $460 area, but the important part is where the move stopped. Price swept the previous lows near $345–$350, tapped into a major demand zone, and then immediately reclaimed higher. That tells me sellers may have exhausted themselves and liquidity below the low has already been taken.
Now price is trading back around the $380–$390 area, which is the first real resistance zone. If MSFT can hold above the recent demand and push through this local supply, I think the next move can target the higher imbalance and supply areas around $420, then $440–$460, and eventually the larger target around $480.
The setup is not confirmed until price holds above the current base. But the reaction from demand is strong enough for me to treat this as a potential smart-money reversal rather than just a random bounce ⚡️.
📰 News Supporting My Bias
The fundamentals still support a bullish MSFT view. Microsoft’s latest reported quarter showed revenue up 18% to $82.9B, with operating income up 20%, driven by Microsoft Cloud and Azure strength. Azure also grew around 40%, showing that AI/cloud demand is still very strong.
The recent layoffs and Xbox restructuring are a short-term negative headline, but I see them more as cost discipline and business cleanup than a collapse in the core Microsoft thesis. The real driver remains Azure, AI infrastructure, Copilot, and enterprise cloud demand.
🎯 Trade Idea Scenario
Bullish Scenario
* Entry: Around current levels or on a pullback into $375–$380
* TP1: $405–$420
* TP2: $440–$460
* TP3: $480+
* SL / Invalidation: Below $345–$350 demand zone
Bearish Scenario
If MSFT loses the $345–$350 zone cleanly, the bullish setup is invalid. That would mean the sweep failed and sellers are still in control.
📌 What I’m Watching Next
I want to see MSFT hold above the reclaimed demand zone and break through the $390–$400 resistance area. A strong daily close above that region would confirm momentum and increase the chance of a move toward $420+ 📈.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully 📉📚.
I’m looking at MSFT as a bullish reversal setup after price swept the major low around the $345–$350 zone and reacted aggressively. The daily chart is showing a possible trap below support, followed by buyers stepping back in — exactly the type of move I want to see before a larger upside reversal 🚀.
📊 Deep Analysis
MSFT sold off hard from the $460 area, but the important part is where the move stopped. Price swept the previous lows near $345–$350, tapped into a major demand zone, and then immediately reclaimed higher. That tells me sellers may have exhausted themselves and liquidity below the low has already been taken.
Now price is trading back around the $380–$390 area, which is the first real resistance zone. If MSFT can hold above the recent demand and push through this local supply, I think the next move can target the higher imbalance and supply areas around $420, then $440–$460, and eventually the larger target around $480.
The setup is not confirmed until price holds above the current base. But the reaction from demand is strong enough for me to treat this as a potential smart-money reversal rather than just a random bounce ⚡️.
📰 News Supporting My Bias
The fundamentals still support a bullish MSFT view. Microsoft’s latest reported quarter showed revenue up 18% to $82.9B, with operating income up 20%, driven by Microsoft Cloud and Azure strength. Azure also grew around 40%, showing that AI/cloud demand is still very strong.
The recent layoffs and Xbox restructuring are a short-term negative headline, but I see them more as cost discipline and business cleanup than a collapse in the core Microsoft thesis. The real driver remains Azure, AI infrastructure, Copilot, and enterprise cloud demand.
🎯 Trade Idea Scenario
Bullish Scenario
* Entry: Around current levels or on a pullback into $375–$380
* TP1: $405–$420
* TP2: $440–$460
* TP3: $480+
* SL / Invalidation: Below $345–$350 demand zone
Bearish Scenario
If MSFT loses the $345–$350 zone cleanly, the bullish setup is invalid. That would mean the sweep failed and sellers are still in control.
📌 What I’m Watching Next
I want to see MSFT hold above the reclaimed demand zone and break through the $390–$400 resistance area. A strong daily close above that region would confirm momentum and increase the chance of a move toward $420+ 📈.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully 📉📚.
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Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.