What's up traders! 👋
Solana EXPLODED +8.5% to $92 today! RSI crossed 50 (first time this year = bullish momentum), $650B stablecoin volume record (Feb), Backpack IPO tokenization on Solana, Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust names Coinbase custodian, Trump supports CLARITY Act. Testing resistance $94-$96. Two scenarios: pullback to FVG $87-$90 then continuation to $100 OR direct breakout to $96-$100. Beta-driven rally with BTC +7.65%.
The Setup
SOL at $92 after INSANE +8.5% spike. RSI crossed 50 (bullish momentum). Testing resistance $94-$96 (red zone). FVG zones: Upper $88-$90, Lower $87-$89 (gray). Support $81-$83 (green). Two scenarios: pullback to FVG $87-$90 consolidation then push to $100 OR direct breakout through $96 to $100.
Key Levels
Resistance: $94-$96 (critical), $100 (psychological), $115 (major)
Support: $91.56 (38.2% Fib / must hold), $88-$90 (upper FVG), $87-$89 (lower FVG), $85 (pivot), $81-$83 (demand), $80 (line in sand)
News - March 4, 2026 (BULLISH DOMINANT)
BULLISH (DOMINANT):
• SOL +8.5% to $92.34. BTC +7.65% to $73K. Crypto market +6.6% (beta-driven rally)
• RSI CROSSED 50 (first time 2026 = bullish momentum strengthening)
• $650B STABLECOIN VOLUME (Feb record, doubled Oct). Highest of ANY blockchain
• Grayscale: SOL leads in users, transaction volume, fees. Shift from memecoins to payments
• BACKPACK IPO TOKENIZATION: Pre-IPO share access on Solana (Superstate partnership)
• Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust: Coinbase + BNY custodians (institutional validation)
• Trump supports CLARITY Act (called it "GENIUS"). Crypto sentiment dramatically improved
• Kraken Fed Master Account access. Clear Street: "Inflection point, bull run beginning"
• Coinbase +14.5%, Riot +8.1% (crypto stocks surging)
• Technical: Broke above $91.56 (38.2% Fib), volume +47%
• Social sentiment: Net bullish 5.08/10. DriftProtocol: "Bullish on Solana"
• Limited supply pressure until $95-$96 (path clear if hold $90-$92)
BEARISH/RISK:
• Just hit resistance $94-$96 (may need pullback)
• Descending triangle pattern suggests breakdown below $80 possible
• Head-and-shoulders pattern (bearish reversal signal)
• Down -54.54% (6M), -26.11% (YTD), -35.28% (1Y)
• $80 support critical (break = bearish)
• May consolidate before next leg up
Two Scenarios
PULLBACK THEN CONTINUATION: Reject $94-$96 → Pullback to FVG $87-$90 → Consolidate → Break $96 → Target $100-$115. Triggers: Profit-taking after 8.5% spike, healthy consolidation, then resume with BTC rally, stablecoin volume growth, institutional adoption.
DIRECT BREAKOUT: Break $96 with volume → Target $100 → $115. Triggers: BTC continues to $75K+, CLARITY Act passes, Morgan Stanley ETF launches, Backpack IPO momentum, stablecoin volume accelerates, RSI stays >50.
My Take
BULLISH (pullback then up, direct breakout). SOL EXPLODED +8.5% on beta-driven rally (BTC +7.65%). RSI crossed 50 (first time 2026 = bullish momentum). $650B stablecoin volume record = REAL utility. Backpack IPO tokenization + Morgan Stanley custodian = institutional validation. Trump CLARITY Act support = sentiment shift. Testing $94-$96 resistance after spike. Likely pullback to FVG $87-$90 for consolidation (healthy), then push to $100. If breaks $96 directly, target $100-$115. Key: Hold $91.56 support. Break below $88 = retest $85.
What do you think? Pullback or direct breakout? Drop your take! 👇
🚀 Boost if this helped!
Not financial advice. DYOR.
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The Institutional Grade Trading Ecosystem, Built to win trades 📈
Get Access 👇
jackofalltrades.vip 🌐
t.me/jackofalltradesvip 🃏
Get Access 👇
jackofalltrades.vip 🌐
t.me/jackofalltradesvip 🃏
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.