The SUI Price looks long-term Bullish, short-term Bearish

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* SUI price shows long-term upside with Fibonacci targets near $3.70 and higher.
* Short-term trend remains bearish with resistance holding near $0.96.
* An 83% drawdown and stable market cap hint at a possible cycle bottom.





When you zoom out and look at SUI, the picture splits in two directions. On one hand, long-term Fibonacci targets point to $3.70, $4.50, and beyond. On the other, the 4-hour chart shows a clean downtrend with lower highs and resistance holding near $0.96. Both views are right. They just operate on different timelines.

For months, SUI has been grinding. The daily chart shows a powerful breakout that followed consolidation, but the rejection at higher levels brought sellers right back in. That kind of action drains short-term confidence. Traders get whipsawed, momentum fades, and conviction gets tested.

SUI is now down over 83% from its all-time high. That drawdown is uncomfortable. But historically, that's also where cycle bottoms tend to form. The market cap has been holding steady near $3.6 to $3.8 billion, not freefalling. That indicates digestion, not panic. And the daily Fibonacci levels still point higher: $2.11, $2.71, $3.84, $4.50. The path exists, even if the price isn't taking it yet.

The short-term chart doesn't look good. The 4-hour shows a downtrend line formed from recent peaks, and as long as SUI stays below that line, bearish momentum prevails. Resistance sits near $0.96–$0.98. Support waits at $0.92, then $0.90, then $0.85. The RSI is neutral on both timeframes, no oversold signal to lean on.

But the long-term structure tells a different story. SUI has been gaining attention from funds and developers because of its technical performance. If that attention turns into real capital inflows, the rerating could be significant. The $25 projection is extreme. But it's based on a real idea: Sui capturing a meaningful share of the layer-one market.

From here, what matters is one level: $0.96. A break above that with volume would flip the short-term trend to bullish and open the path to $1.00, then $1.50, then the Fibonacci targets beyond. A failure to break and another rejection would send SUI back toward $0.90 and potentially lower.


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