📊 Overview
============
- Price down -1.46% on the session, sitting inside the marked Buy OB
- Structure: clean downtrend from supply, now testing major demand
- Bias: neutral-to-bearish until demand zone confirms as support
📉 Technical Structure
=====================
- Supply zone above: prior rejection area, red on chart
- Resistance: prior TP levels stacked above current price
- Current price: sitting inside the Buy OB
- Demand zone below: major HTF support, green on chart
- Breakdown target: next liquidity pocket beneath demand
🌍 Fundamental Drivers
======================
- Fresh US-Iran strikes reignited Mideast risk, boosting safe-haven USD
- Hawkish Fed under Warsh: markets pricing low odds of a July hike, higher odds by September
- June CPI (Jul 14) and FOMC (Jul 28-29) are the next major catalysts
- China's central bank bought gold for a 20th straight month — long-term floor intact
- Goldman Sachs / JPMorgan still hold bullish year-end targets despite recent trims
🎯 Scenarios
============
- Bullish: hold demand → reclaim resistance levels above → push back toward supply
- Bearish: lose demand zone → drop to next liquidity pocket below
✅ Conclusion
=============
The demand zone is the line in the sand:
Soft CPI favours bulls, sticky inflation favours the breakdown
Watch reaction at the Buy OB/Demand closely into Tuesday's data
Not financial advice — levels for educational/analysis purposes only.
Manage Your Risk - Trade Safe
Kwagga.
============
- Price down -1.46% on the session, sitting inside the marked Buy OB
- Structure: clean downtrend from supply, now testing major demand
- Bias: neutral-to-bearish until demand zone confirms as support
📉 Technical Structure
=====================
- Supply zone above: prior rejection area, red on chart
- Resistance: prior TP levels stacked above current price
- Current price: sitting inside the Buy OB
- Demand zone below: major HTF support, green on chart
- Breakdown target: next liquidity pocket beneath demand
🌍 Fundamental Drivers
======================
- Fresh US-Iran strikes reignited Mideast risk, boosting safe-haven USD
- Hawkish Fed under Warsh: markets pricing low odds of a July hike, higher odds by September
- June CPI (Jul 14) and FOMC (Jul 28-29) are the next major catalysts
- China's central bank bought gold for a 20th straight month — long-term floor intact
- Goldman Sachs / JPMorgan still hold bullish year-end targets despite recent trims
🎯 Scenarios
============
- Bullish: hold demand → reclaim resistance levels above → push back toward supply
- Bearish: lose demand zone → drop to next liquidity pocket below
✅ Conclusion
=============
The demand zone is the line in the sand:
Soft CPI favours bulls, sticky inflation favours the breakdown
Watch reaction at the Buy OB/Demand closely into Tuesday's data
Not financial advice — levels for educational/analysis purposes only.
Manage Your Risk - Trade Safe
Kwagga.
Trade aktif
LONGCatatan
TP1 = 4110TP2 = 4135
Catatan
will the OB hold...Trading ditutup: stop tercapai
I took a hit....Catatan
That FVG on the Left was looking very attractive all day ....Catatan
UPDATE: Lets see if BULLS can defend 4000 ?Catatan
Yesterday's Inducement is a strong indication that the demand area can be defended.CPI Today - Trade Safe
Catatan
My apology , I mean the previous week's inducement. My thought process yesterday:
I did see the inducement trap yesterday and was very hesitant, but I thought at least price will close the gap.
I got stopped out.
Its a very important lesson for me.
Inducement might be THE STRONGEST confirmation that price will return ALL the way to original demand ALWAYS.
And if that was not not enough confirmation, that FVG on the left was pulling my ear all day long...got filled - I took a hit.
That said: ON GOLD.
I will sit on my hands today and also maybe tomorrow.
with the OIL price all over the place due to geopolitical uncertainty and geopolitical conflicts, I need proper confirmations - HTF's.
I will rather let price collect some BSL levels and see what happens from there...
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.