XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Faces Rejection at 3975

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XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Faces Rejection at 3975, Potential for Further Downside
Gold continues to trade under selling pressure after failing to break above the 3975 resistance zone, which has acted as a strong ceiling for price several times in recent sessions. On the H1 timeframe, the market structure remains bearish, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.

After a brief consolidation around 3965–3985, price appears to be creating a distribution range, suggesting potential continuation to the downside once liquidity above this minor range is collected.
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Key Technical Zones:
Resistance: 3975 – 3985
Support: 3910 – 3880, with extended targets near 3820

Trading Strategy:
Traders may consider short opportunities near 3975–3980 if the price confirms rejection with bearish engulfing or RSI divergence.
First profit target around 3910, and extended target near 3880.
If gold breaks and holds above 3985, it could invalidate the short bias and trigger a short-term correction toward 4020–4030.

Technical Confluence:
EMA trend slope still points downward
RSI below 50 confirms bearish momentum
Fibonacci retracement 0.618 aligns with resistance zone

Today’s price action may remain range-bound ahead of key U.S. economic data later in the week, but as long as price holds below 3985, the bearish outlook remains intact.
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