Emas / Dollar A.S.
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XAUUSD: Bearish Reversal from H4 Supply & FVG

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Technical Overview
Gold is currently displaying a clear bearish shift in market structure on the 1H timeframe after a significant sweep of liquidity at the recent highs. Following a period of distribution (marked by the purple RANGE), price experienced a sharp MSS (Market Structure Shift) and subsequent CHOCH (Change of Character), signaling that the bulls have lost control.

Key Technical Factors
Supply Rejection: Price has reached into a high-probability 4H-OB (Order Block) and is showing immediate signs of rejection.

Imbalance: A clear H4-FVG (Fair Value Gap) sits just below the supply zone, acting as a magnet for price to rebalance before a potential continuation lower.
Market Structure: Multiple BREAKOUT points to the upside were liquidated, followed by a breakdown. The current price action suggests a "Return to Impulse" before the next leg down.

Trading Plan
We are looking for two primary bearish scenarios based on the current price action:

Direct Rejection: A continuation lower from the current level, targeting the previous swing lows.

The FVG Mitigation: A minor retracement into the H4-FVG (gray zone) to fill the remaining liquidity before the anticipated drop (blue arrow projection).
Point of Interest (POI): 4,810 – 4,830

Primary Target: 4,775 (Recent Lows)

Extended Target: 4,750

Risk Management
Maintain a strict stop loss above the 4H-OB high to invalidate the bearish thesis. Monitor the dollar index (DXY) for additional confluence during the New York session.
Trading ditutup: target tercapai
XAUUSD has hit my target and continues to push further, now +380 pips in profit.


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