DAX (GER40) Is Sitting at a Possible M PatternHi,
Last week US equity market indices fell hard and along with that world wide indices participated too. But comparatively DAX showed more resilience than US equity indices such as NASDAQ and SNP500. Now we can see that DAX is sitting at an M pattern. As the market conditions are not great at the moment for a bullish sentiment, we will have to wait and watch how the market opens this week. If this M pattern or an extended M pattern works, thus may be a good sign for US equity indices too as al
Fibonacci Extension
XAUUSD - Attempting to recover after a sharp decline.
XAUUSD is attempting to rebound after a heavy correction, but the market is still trading inside a broader pressured structure.
Gold came under strong selling pressure after the US Dollar held firm, with the DXY trading near 99.40 following the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep policy unchanged while maintaining a hawkish stance. That combination kept the dollar supported and forced gold into a deeper correction, as higher-for-longer expectations continued to weigh on upside momentum.
Still
XAUUSD- Remains Under Heavy Selling Pressure
XAUUSD stays on the defensive as dollar strength and Fed hawkishness continue to weigh on gold.
Gold remains under strong downside pressure as the market adjusts to a firmer US dollar and a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance. The Fed kept rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% in its March meeting, while Powell signalled that higher oil prices linked to Iran could lift inflation in the short term. That matters because when inflation risks stay elevated, the market becomes more cautious on rate cuts,
H2 - Gold Rebound Still Has Room
XAUUSD is trying to recover from a key support base.
Gold is holding firm after the recent sell-off, as price begins to react from a strong support area near the 5,000 zone. The market is still digesting a macro backdrop where easing Middle East tension has reduced part of the safe-haven premium, while expectations around Fed rate cuts remain less aggressive. That combination has limited gold’s upside, but it has not been enough to fully break the current support floor.
At this stage, the ma
XAUUSD (D1) — Uptrend is intact— “Uptrend is intact… but the best long may come AFTER the final liquidity sweep”
Gold is still respecting the primary bullish structure on the higher timeframe, but the correction doesn’t look “finished” yet. Price has already reacted off the 0.618 Fibonacci, and the next high-probability area the market often tests in this kind of pullback is the 0.5 Fibonacci — where liquidity tends to complete before a cleaner push higher.
What matters next week is not chasing candles. It’s letting price c
USOIL - Weekly Chart outlookQuick take:
- Squeeze of Geopolitical where price has risen for $25 - 92 where a large choke of oil is in play.
Pullback on the daily- awaiting a reload zone:
Pullback retracements of that move:
Fib Price
0.236 ~86
0.382 ~82.5
0.5 ~79.5
0.618 ~76.5
Short term pull back:
0.236–0.382 retracement of the squeeze
• Prior weekly resistance / liquidity
• Under the $90 breakout area
current state of play: at $92 which is a strong growth and hitting a zone of interest on the 50% re
$DXY Dollar Is Not Dead And Will Rise Much Higher - Breakout?I have been saying this time again and gain repeatedly that Dollar is being perceived as evil and a dead thing. But the reality is different. Dollar is getting bullish again. This is 3rd time in 6 years they said "Dollar is dead" and it has rather gained strength .
Check the charts for yourself. It is rising higher as expected and can breakout !!!!
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
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S&P 500: Roaring Twenties 2.0 Bullish Harmonic FractalNew Updated Commentary 2/20/2026:
Since the original post the S&P 500 has rallied from $4,000 to just above the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension to $7,000. Originally I noted that the 2.618 could act as potential resistance especially if the fed tightened at these levels but it would seem that as we've hit these all time highs, the fed has chosen to loosen and the odds of the balance sheet rising have gone up as Japanese inflation has gone back below the 2% target.
As a result we will likely see the f
ULong
SNAP | Something is Bullishly Brewing | LONGAnalyzing Snap Inc. (SNAP) on the daily chart right now (mid-February 2026) reveals a classic descending wedge that is reaching its apex. After the heavy selling following the February 4th earnings report, the price action has begun to "tighten," which often precedes a high-velocity move.
1. The Descending Wedge Structure
The daily chart shows a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows, but the slope of the support line is much flatter than the resistance line.
The Upper Resistance: This li
BRK-B | Insurance Does Great with Higher Interest Rates | LONGBerkshire Hathaway, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, freight rail transportation, finance, manufacturing, and retailing services. It operates through the following segments: Insurance, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, LLC (BNSF), Berkshire Hathaway Energy (BHE), Pilot Travel Centers (PTC), Manufacturing, McLane, and Service and Retailing. The Insurance segment includes the underwriting of GEICO, Berks
AG | Silver Miners Will Rise | LONGFirst Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the production, development, exploration and acquisition of mineral properties. It owns and operates producing mines in Mexico including the La Encantada Silver Mine, La Parrilla Silver Mine, San Martin Silver Mine, La Guitarra Silver Mine, Del Toro Silver Mine, Santa Elena Silver & Gold Mine, and San Dimas Silver & Gold Mine. The company was founded by Keith Neumeyer on September 26, 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
KRE | Regional Banks Showing Strength | LONGSPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of an index derived from the regional banking segment of the U.S. banking industry. In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Regional Banks Select Industry Index (the "index"), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index
UNH: adding into fear after a completed ABC correctionThesis
NYSE:UNH has completed its corrective ABC structure and is stabilizing within Wave 2, offering long-term accumulation opportunities in a proven cash-flow compounder.
Context
- Daily and weekly timeframes
- Deep corrective phase already completed
- Long-term uptrend remains intact on the weekly chart
- Dividend-paying, high free-cash-flow defensive name
What I see
- Yesterday’s selloff was headline-driven, not structural
- Price is holding inside the Wave 2 retracement zone
- Vola
SLI | Lithium Extraction Technology on the Rise | LONGStandard Lithium Ltd. engages in the testing and proving of the commercial viability of lithium extraction. Its projects include Arkansas Lithium, Lithium Brine Processing, and California Lithium. The company was founded by Alvaro Anthony on August 14, 1998 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
GME | Will We See Another Meme Rally | LONGGameStop Corp. engages in offering games and entertainment products through its ecommerce properties and stores. The firm's stores and ecommerce sites operate primarily under the names GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. The company was founded by Daniel A. DeMatteo in 1996 and is headquartered in Grapevine, TX.
RSG | Waste Management Is Here To Stay | LONGRepublic Services, Inc. engages in the provision of environmental services. It operates through the following segments: Group 1, Group 2, and Group 3. The Group 1 segment focuses on the business of recycling and solid waste in geographic areas located in western United States. The Group 2 segment includes the recycling and solid waste business in geographic areas located in the southeastern and mid-western and the eastern seaboard of the United States. The Group 3 segment includes environmental
GBP/USD targets 1.35 after mixed UK jobs! Break or reversal?Today, we are doing a dive into GBP/USD following a mixed UK jobs report that has left traders scratching their heads. While unemployment has spiked to a 4-year high, sticky wage growth and new tariff threats from President Trump are keeping the pound bid. Is a breakout to 1.35 imminent, or is the labour market crack a warning sign?
We analyse the conflicting signals from the UK economy: unemployment rose to 5.1% in December (highest since 2021), yet wage growth held firm at 4.7%, keeping the B
XAG to hit the psychological level of $100Targets are still very much bullish for 2026.
$100short term target
looking for a range between $80-100 for building up a liquidity block
Demand zone $71-74 - area of interest.
Daily (short term interest)
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Weekly
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Monthly Cup an Handle
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Calc of cup and handle:
Key zones
Critical resistance zones throughout the pattern:
Time Period Resistance Level Pattern Phase
1980-2011 $50+ (1980 high) Cup Formation
2011-2024 $49-$50
PM | Tobacco On The Rise | LONGPhilip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of delivering a smoke-free future and evolving a portfolio for the long term to include products outside of the tobacco and nicotine sector. It operates through the following geographical segments: Europe Region (Europe), South and Southeast Asia, Commonwealth of Independent States, Middle East, and Africa Region (SSEA, CIS, and MEA), East Asia, Australia, and PMI Duty Free Region (EA, AU, and PMI DF), and Amer
USDCAD Possible W Pattern and other scenariosUSDCAD has been very bullish in recent times.
However it is now forming and nearly has completed a W pattern. Tuis can create a correction.
If the price stay bullish and the previous high become support then it can rise much higher the the anticipated level.
Trade what you see.
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NVO – Long-Term Cycle View (5–7 Years)Thesis
NYSE:NVO is transitioning from a completed Cycle Wave 2 into a new multi-year expansion phase. The long-term bull structure remains intact, with fundamentals now acting as a catalyst for the next cycle leg.
Context
- Weekly timeframe
- Primary bull trend originates from the 2009 GFC low (< $1)
- Cycle Wave 1 completed in July 2024
- Deep corrective Cycle Wave 2 now appears complete
What I see
-Structural reversal underway from long-term trend support
- Price stabilizing in a majo
CVS | Rally Mode In Progress Into 2026CVS Health Corp. is a health solutions company, which engages in the provision of healthcare services. It operates through the following segments: Health Care Benefits, Health Services, Pharmacy and Consumer Wellness, and Corporate and Other. The Health Care Benefits segment operates as a health care benefits provider. The Health Services segment offers a full range of PBM solutions, delivers health care services in its medical clinics, virtually, and in the home. The Pharmacy & Consumer Wellnes
QQQ – Weekly Update | Breakout Being TestedThesis
QQQ remains in a late-stage bullish structure. Price is testing the upper boundary of a bullish wedge, with Wave 5 still the primary scenario while key supports hold.
Context
- Weekly timeframe
- Long-term bull trend intact
- Market approaching the final phase of the broader cycle
What I see
- Price tested the wedge breakout level twice this week
- Weekly close held right on the breakout line near $623
- 50-day MA has now been tested and appears to be flipping to support
- Structur























