Multiple Time Frame Analysis
USDCHF: Trend Line Trap?! 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF will likely drop after a bullish trap above a solid rising trend line on a daily.
I expect a retracement to 0.8064
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GOLD BUY | 5M → 1M | IVL ( Ichimoku Valid Levels )
Entry Setup: After identifying a bullish market structure and a bullish Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen cross on the higher timeframe (5M), the buy position was confirmed by the alignment of the market structure with the direction of the Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen cross on the lower timeframe (1M).
TP: First Valid High
SL: Structure Change | Break of the 52-Period Price Range Low
Can This Fresh Drop-Base-Rally Zone Still Influence Price?SOLUSDT is currently near an identified Demand Zone . This technical area is being observed because it originated from a strong imbalance following a Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) structure.
From a market-structure perspective, a Drop-Base-Rally formation can be technically relevant because it represents a period of relatively brief consolidation following a decline and preceding a subsequent upward move. The base and the strength of the departure from that area may provide useful historical context when price later revisits the originating zone.
Why is this Demand Zone technically significant?
The identified area has several characteristics commonly examined during supply and demand analysis:
• Fresh zone: The area has not been significantly revisited since its formation, which may preserve its relevance as a historical area for observation.
• Drop-Base-Rally structure: Price declined into a base before subsequently moving higher, creating a recognisable demand-zone structure.
• Strong leg-out: The departure from the base produced a noticeable upward imbalance, which may indicate a significant shift in market participation during that move.
• Quality basing structure: The consolidation within the area provides a clearly identifiable structural origin for the subsequent movement.
• Multiple time frame context: The significance of a zone may be evaluated differently when viewed across higher and lower timeframes. Broader market structure, swing behaviour and lower-timeframe price development can provide additional context.
What may happen if price interacts with the zone?
When price revisits a previously identified demand area, traders often observe how price behaves within and around the zone rather than assuming that the historical structure will necessarily produce the same reaction again.
One possible bullish scenario:
If price enters the demand area and subsequent price action shows evidence of buying interest or improving market structure, the zone may continue to influence price behaviour as an area of support.
Any such reaction would remain dependent on developing market conditions and confirmation from price action.
One possible bearish scenario:
If price moves through the demand zone with sustained selling pressure and the underlying structure is invalidated, the area may lose its previous technical relevance. In such circumstances, broader market structure and other historical technical areas may become relevant for further analysis.
Another possible scenario:
Price may remain within or around the zone without producing an immediate directional outcome. Consolidation, repeated testing, fluctuating momentum or temporary reactions are all possible forms of price behaviour around a historical demand area.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis Context
A zone identified on the 240-minute chart can be examined alongside broader and lower-timeframe market structure.
Higher timeframes may provide context regarding the broader trend, major swing points and larger technical areas. Lower timeframes may provide additional information about how price is behaving as it approaches or interacts with the identified 4H zone.
Multiple timeframe analysis does not provide certainty about future price direction. It is simply a method of observing the same market structure from different levels of detail.
Why price action confirmation matters
A historical demand zone represents an area of previous market activity rather than a guarantee of future behaviour.
For this reason, price action confirmation can be important when analysing how the market is responding to the zone. Observations may include:
• Changes in market structure
• Momentum behaviour
• Candle development
• Rejection or acceptance around the zone
• The strength and character of subsequent price movement
• Alignment or divergence between different timeframes
These observations may provide additional context, but none of them individually guarantees a particular outcome.
Zone invalidation is also possible
Every technical zone can be invalidated. A fresh zone, strong leg-out or quality base does not guarantee that an area will continue to influence future price behaviour.
If price materially moves through the demand zone and changes the underlying structure associated with the area, its previous technical significance may need to be reassessed.
From an educational perspective, studying potential invalidation is part of understanding market structure. General risk-management concepts often involve considering scenarios in which an original technical interpretation no longer remains valid. Such concepts are educational in nature and depend on individual circumstances.
Current Technical Observation
The primary area of interest on the SOLUSDT 4H chart is the interaction between current price and this historical Drop-Base-Rally Demand Zone .
The key observation is not whether the zone must produce a particular reaction, but how price behaves as it interacts with the area.
A bullish reaction, bearish invalidation, or continued consolidation are all possible outcomes. Subsequent price action across multiple timeframes may provide additional context regarding whether this historical zone continues to influence current market structure.
How do you interpret the current price behaviour around this 4H Drop-Base-Rally Demand Zone?
"This publication is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It reflects a technical analysis of market structure and should not be interpreted as investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always perform your own analysis and manage risk according to your individual circumstances."
What Happens When Price Revisits This Fresh Rally-Base-Rally DZ?XAUUSD is currently near an identified Demand Zone . This technical area is being observed because it originated from a strong imbalance following a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) structure.
From a market-structure perspective, this type of formation can be noteworthy because the base represents a relatively brief period of consolidation between an initial rally and a subsequent strong move away. The strength of the leg-out and the resulting imbalance may provide useful context when price later revisits the originating area.
Why is this Demand Zone technically significant?
The area being observed has several characteristics commonly considered when analysing supply and demand structures:
• Fresh zone: The area has not been significantly revisited since its formation, which may make the original structure relevant for observation.
• Rally-Base-Rally structure: Price formed a base before continuing higher, creating a recognisable demand-zone formation.
• Strong leg-out: The departure from the base created a noticeable imbalance, which may indicate a significant shift in short-term market participation during that move.
• Quality basing structure: The consolidation within the zone provides a clearly identifiable structural area from which the subsequent move developed.
• Market structure context: The zone can also be evaluated alongside the broader multiple timeframe analysis rather than in isolation.
What might happen when price revisits the zone?
When price returns to a previously identified demand area, traders often observe how price behaves within and around the zone rather than assuming that the historical structure will automatically produce the same reaction again.
One possible bullish scenario:
If price enters the demand area and shows evidence of buying interest through subsequent price action, the zone may continue to act as an area of support. A reaction could potentially be accompanied by changes in lower-timeframe structure, momentum or candle behaviour.
However, a historical demand zone alone does not confirm future market direction.
One possible bearish scenario:
If price moves through the zone with sustained selling pressure and the underlying structure is invalidated, the previously identified demand area may lose its technical relevance. In such a scenario, traders often reassess the broader market structure and observe whether price begins interacting with other technical areas.
Another possible scenario:
Price may also remain within or around the zone without producing a clear directional move. Consolidation, repeated testing and fluctuating momentum are all possible forms of price behaviour around a previously identified technical area.
The importance of confirmation
A demand zone represents a historical area of market interest rather than a guarantee of future behaviour. For this reason, price action confirmation can be an important part of technical analysis when evaluating how the market is responding to a zone.
Observations may include:
• Changes in market structure
• Momentum behaviour
• Candle development
• Rejection or acceptance around the zone
• The strength and character of subsequent price movement
These factors may provide additional context, although none individually guarantees a particular outcome.
Invalidation remains possible
Every technical zone can be invalidated. A fresh zone, strong leg-out or quality base does not make an area immune to changing market conditions. If price behaviour materially breaks down the underlying structure of the zone, its relevance may need to be reassessed.
From an educational risk-management perspective, analysing invalidation points is one way market participants study whether their original technical thesis remains structurally valid. Risk management concepts should always be considered in the context of individual circumstances and are not a guarantee against losses.
Current technical observation
The key question around this XAUUSD 4H structure is not whether the Demand Zone must hold, but how price behaves as it interacts with this Rally-Base-Rally area .
A confirmed reaction, a failure of the zone, or continued consolidation are all possible outcomes. The subsequent price action may provide additional information about whether this historical area continues to influence current market structure.
What is your interpretation of the price action around this Demand Zone?
"This publication is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It reflects a technical analysis of market structure and should not be interpreted as investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always perform your own analysis and manage risk according to your individual circumstances."
First week September Plan. 2026On this Week I will wait the main manipulation on Monday or on Tuesday (D1 FVG). After that price will fall to the last Accumulation, u can see on screenshot where Week Target. Be careful, because Monday can be a "Doge Day" until the price create a D1 Short FVG. Anyway you should wait manipulation higher then week open.
BTCUSD ShortAfter a strong push Mid August, we are losing momentum to the buy side on the bigger time frames. We can possibly get a reversal soon as it failing to hold up market structure on HH and HL. We had already failed to make a HH and the bigger timeframes like the weekly and monthly still showing Bearish market structure let's see what this week have in store for us.
Ethereum | Wave 4 or the Start of a Larger Correction?Ethereum | Two Scenarios at a Critical Decision Point
On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum has developed an impulsive-looking bullish move from the recent low, with smaller-degree structures unfolding progressively within it.
Now the market is at a point where we need to determine whether this move is truly developing into a five-wave Impulse, or whether it is part of a larger corrective structure.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
In this scenario, we consider the recent move part of an Impulse.
Wave 3 is approaching completion, and the market could now enter Wave 4.
What we need to see is a clear, structured correction. If that correction completes, the market should then develop another bullish move as Wave 5.
The expected path is simple:
Wave 3 → Wave 4 Correction → Wave 5
If the current correction maintains its corrective character and is followed by a new impulsive bullish move, the Bullish Case will gain strength.
⚫ Bearish / Corrective Scenario
In the second scenario, this bullish move could actually be part of a larger corrective structure.
In that case, after the current move completes, the market should develop a structural decline that could become the beginning of a Simple Zigzag or another larger corrective pattern.
So, a decline in price alone is not enough.
What matters is the character and structure of the decline. That will tell us whether we are dealing with a normal correction or the beginning of a larger bearish structure.
So, Where Are We Now?
Right now, the most important part of the analysis is the next correction.
If the market corrects, preserves the structure, and then develops another impulsive bullish move, the Bullish Case remains the stronger scenario.
But if the correction develops into a powerful and clearly structured decline, we should take the possibility of a larger corrective structure more seriously.
For now, the market needs to show us its next structure. We don't need to predict the future—we need to read the structure.
Price is the result. Structure is the cause.
— Mr. Nobody | Elliott Wave Principle
Ethereum
2 days ago
Ethereum: Bullish Impulse or Larger Correction?
Ethereum
Jul 12
Is Wave C Complete, or Is the Correction Still Unfolding?
Advanced Market Structure & Smart Money Trading ModelInstitutional Liquidity Framework (ILF)
Institutional Liquidity Framework (ILF) is an advanced trading methodology designed to understand how large institutions move the market. This framework combines liquidity analysis, market structure, order flow, price action, and institutional behavior to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
The main idea behind ILF is simple:
"Price moves from liquidity to liquidity."
Instead of chasing candles or relying only on indicators, traders study where liquidity exists, how the market collects it, and when institutional momentum enters the market.
1. Market Structure Analysis
Market structure is the foundation of ILF.
It helps traders understand the current market direction.
Bullish Structure:
Higher High (HH)
Higher Low (HL)
Strong upward momentum
Meaning: Buyers are controlling the market.
Bearish Structure:
Lower High (LH)
Lower Low (LL)
Strong downward momentum
Meaning: Sellers are controlling the market.
Structure Confirmation:
Break of Structure (BOS)
Shows continuation of the existing trend.
Change of Character (CHoCH)
Shows a possible trend reversal.
2. Liquidity Mapping
Liquidity is where traders' stop losses and pending orders are placed.
Institutions use these areas to enter large positions.
Buy Side Liquidity (BSL)
Found above:
Previous highs
Equal highs
Resistance zones
Sell Side Liquidity (SSL)
Found below:
Previous lows
Equal lows
Support zones
Professional traders do not enter randomly.
They wait for:
Liquidity → Reaction → Confirmation → Entry
3. Institutional Order Flow
Order flow shows where strong buying and selling pressure is entering.
Important areas:
Order Block (OB)
The last opposite candle before a strong market move.
A valid Order Block usually creates:
Strong displacement
Market structure break
Liquidity movement
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A price imbalance created by aggressive buying or selling.
Institutions often return to these zones before continuing the move.
4. Liquidity Sweep Concept
A liquidity sweep happens when price takes previous highs or lows and quickly reverses.
Example:
Price breaks resistance.
Many traders buy the breakout.
Institutions collect their liquidity.
Price reverses downward.
This creates a high-probability setup.
5. Smart Money Divergence Analysis
ILF uses market correlation to identify hidden strength or weakness.
Example:
BTC creates a new low.
Another correlated asset does not create a new low.
This shows weakness in selling pressure.
It can indicate a possible reversal.
6. Premium & Discount Zones
ILF uses Fibonacci equilibrium to find better entries.
Discount Area:
Below 50% of the range.
Preferred for buying.
Premium Area:
Above 50% of the range.
Preferred for selling.
The best setups occur when:
Liquidity + Order Block + Fibonacci Zone
come together.
7. Entry Model
Buy Setup:
1. Higher timeframe bullish bias
2. Price reaches discount area
3. Sell-side liquidity is taken
4. Market structure shifts bullish
5. Price returns to Order Block/FVG
6. Entry confirmation appears
Sell Setup:
1. Higher timeframe bearish bias
2. Price reaches premium area
3. Buy-side liquidity is taken
4. Market structure shifts bearish
5. Price returns to Supply Zone/FVG
6. Entry confirmation appears
8. Multi Time Frame Approach
Professional execution:
Higher Time Frame:
Find direction
Monthly / Weekly / Daily
Mid Time Frame:
Find zones
4H / 1H
Lower Time Frame:
Find entry
15M / 5M
9. Risk Management Rules
A professional system requires professional discipline.
Rules:
Risk only 1% per trade
Always use stop loss
Minimum Risk Reward 1:2
Avoid emotional trading
Do not chase missed entries
Wait for confirmation
A good trader does not win every trade.
A good trader controls losses and protects capital.
10. ILF Trading Philosophy
Do not predict the market. Read the market.
The market leaves footprints through:
Liquidity
Structure
Order Flow
Price Reaction
When all confirmations align, probability increases
Institutional Liquidity Framework (ILF)
Liquidity + Market Structure + Order Flow + Smart Money Behavior + Risk Management
A Complete Professional Trading Framework
Suitable For: BTCUSD, XAUUSD, Forex, Indices, and Crypto Markets.
MNQ Long NQ had been compressing just above a Demand Zone; I expect fast impulse up testing Supply at 29,509.50 during weekly open followed up with a test of Demand at 29,455 - 29,403.25. I can see potential upside filling inefficiencies to the Swing high Supply at 29798.50
This compression above is has also found demand on the 1H. I have a slight Bullish Bias for the Weekly Open.
Bitcoin: First Impulse, Real Confirmation?This 4-hour Bitcoin analysis is based on the structural scenarios previously discussed on the higher timeframes and now focuses on the market's first potential impulsive move.
The recent advance from the marked area raises the possibility that Bitcoin is developing its first valid five-wave impulsive structure. If this count remains consistent with the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle, it could become the first important structural evidence supporting the bullish scenario.
However, a five-wave advance alone is not enough to confirm the beginning of a new bull market. After the impulsive structure is completed, the market should develop a clear corrective structure proportional to the preceding advance while remaining above the key invalidation area.
The next stage will be crucial. After the correction, price action should once again demonstrate impulsive characteristics. A new Impulse, a Leading Diagonal, or nested 1–2 structures could provide stronger structural evidence that the market is developing a larger bullish cycle.
On the other hand, if the current advance eventually develops into only the first leg of a larger corrective structure, the bearish scenario will remain valid. In that case, the current five-wave move could represent Wave A or the first leg of a broader correction rather than the beginning of a sustained bullish trend.
Therefore, the most important question at this stage is not simply whether Bitcoin moves higher or lower.
The first impulsive move is the evidence. The structure that follows will provide the confirmation.
This analysis is based on market structure and the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle. The preferred interpretation will continue to be reassessed as new price action develops.
— Mr. Nobody
Independent Elliott Wave Principle Researcher
“Patterns whisper. I listen.” 📊🎧
Bitcoin
2 days ago
Bitcoin Crossroads
BTCUSD — Chapter 2: Structure Before Fortune
Daily Supply Reached | Pullback Objective CompleteFOREXCOM:EURUSD has now reached and reacted from the Daily Supply Zone identified in our previous analysis, completing the higher-timeframe pullback objective we were monitoring.
In the previous analysis, the market was trading with a bearish Daily structure, while the 4H timeframe had shifted bullish. Rather than immediately looking for sells simply because the Daily bias was bearish, the plan was to allow the 4H bullish structure to facilitate a deeper pullback into the Daily Supply Zone.
That scenario has now played out.
Price has rallied from the lower levels and delivered directly into the Daily Supply Zone, where we are now seeing a clear reaction. This is significant because the zone was identified in advance as the higher-timeframe area where the bearish Daily objective could potentially resume.
The key distinction here is between a pullback and a trend reversal.
The bullish movement on the 4H timeframe represented a pullback within the larger Daily bearish structure. Once price reached the Daily Supply Zone, the higher-timeframe objective of that pullback was considered fulfilled.
Current Market Structure:
• Daily Bias: Bearish
• Daily Structure: Bearish
• 4H Structure: Bullish pullback
• Higher-Timeframe Objective: Daily Supply Zone ✓
• Daily Supply: Reached and reacting ✓
• Current Expectation: Potential bearish continuation
From here, I am not interested in selling simply because price has entered supply.
The next step is confirmation.
I want to see the lower timeframe begin to shift bearish — through a valid CHOCH/MSS or other confirmation within my execution model — before considering a short opportunity.
If bearish structure develops from this Daily Supply Zone, the market could begin the next leg of the Daily bearish move.
However, if price breaks and accepts above the Daily Supply, then the bearish continuation thesis needs to be reassessed rather than forcing a short.
The objective is not to predict the reversal. The objective is to identify the higher-timeframe location first, then allow lower-timeframe structure to confirm the execution.
DAIFX | Precision • Discipline • Consistency
My view for XAUUSD for next week/weeksAs I am looking at the charts, I see Weekly and Daily timeframe still bullish.
4H timeframe is at liquidating a Strong Low of last BOS, meaning White or Red scenario as most probable. meaning respecting 4H structure, taking liquidity and continuing Bullish, or Going lower for POC of push at daily TF where is also Daily Demand zone.
Based on weekly TF there is a probability of disrespecting daily structure, and moving even deeper to take overall price leg of Weekly Price action.
As disciplined traders, we must wait for market doing its thing, and reacting of development of Price.
I whould be causes about Tuesdays PMIs, Wednesdays unemployment changes, Thursdays Unempoyment claim and IMO Friday is No-Trade day bcs of high impact news.
I whould be more than happy to hear your opinions.
Good luck
Long trade
🔥 BTCUSDT — POC + FIB CONFLUENCE MAP
Saturday 29 August 2026
Entry Time: 11.45 am NY Time
Direction: 🟢 Buyside
Entry: 77,856.4
Target: 78,389.7 (+0.685%)
Stop: 77,739.8 (0.150%)
Planned RR: 4.57R
📊 POC / Value Read
The profile shows BTC has already pushed above the developing value structure.
Developing VAL: ~77,529
Developing POC: ~77,636
Developing VAH: ~77,692
VWAP: ~77,735
EMA: ~77,876
The entry at 77,856.4 comes after BTC reclaimed POC → VAH → VWAP and started accepting above value. That is important because the trade is no longer trying to buy from underneath value; it is trading a higher-value migration.
🧭 Fib Map — Last Sell-Side Distribution
Fib anchored to the last major sell-side distribution gives:
0.000: 77,770.6
0.236: 77,956.5
0.382: 78,083.9
0.500: 78,186.9
0.618: 78,289.9
Gap / final objective: approximately 78,389–78,391
So the clean route is:
77,856 entry
→ 77,956 0.236
→ 78,084 0.382
→ 78,187 0.500
→ 78,290 0.618
→ 78,390 GAP mitigation / PAY
🎯 0.618 — Three-Point Confluence
78,289–78,300 is a decision zone; aligns:
0.618 Fib retracement of the previous sell-side distribution.
Return into the upper portion of the prior distribution/inefficiency.
It becomes the last major waypoint before the unmitigated GAP around 78,390.
So 0.618 is less of an arbitrary Fibonacci number and more of a structural convergence area.
If BTC accepts above 78,290, the probability of completing the gap mitigation improves materially.
SNAP Path
MAP → value profile + previous sell-side distribution
RAID → lower liquidity already worked
RECLAIM → POC / VAH / VWAP recovered
SHIFT → BTC moved from range acceptance into higher-value expansion
CONFIRM → EMA reclaimed + RSI holding around the mid-60s + improving volume
EXECUTE → 77,856.4
DISPLACE → 0.236 → 0.382 → 0.500 → 0.618
PAY → 🎯 78,389.7 GAP mitigation
Final Read
The strongest feature here is the combination of POC/value migration + Fibonacci retracement of the prior sell-side distribution. The target isn't simply “price should go higher.”
The auction has a logical route: Value reclaim → Fib ladder → 0.618 confluence → outstanding
GAP
Key zone: 78,289.9 / 0.618
Final PAY: 78,389.7 / GAP mitigation
Ethereum | Impulse or a Larger Correction?The daily ETH/USD structure is now at a critical decision point. Previous analyses suggested that the correction would gain greater credibility as complete only if the market subsequently revealed a clear impulsive character.
🟢 Bullish Case
From the bullish perspective, the current structure could mark the completion of a Running Flat, with the market now at the beginning of a new directional move.
However, price growth alone is not enough to confirm this idea. The upward move should develop as a five-wave impulse, or at lower degrees, begin forming nested 1–2 structures. Such behavior would suggest that the market is building the foundation for a larger third wave.
Along this path, we would expect advances to display an impulsive character, while corrections remain more limited and clearly corrective relative to the upward moves.
⚫ Bearish / Corrective Case
On the other hand, if the upward movement fails to develop an impulsive character and advances continue to unfold in three waves, the larger corrective structure may still be developing.
In that case, the market could continue forming one or more corrective structures such as a Zigzag, Flat, or Double Three. Therefore, the declines must also be evaluated structurally to determine whether the market is simply extending the correction or gradually transitioning into a larger bearish phase.
Where Are We Now?
We are now at a point where the market needs to reveal the character of its next move:
A five-wave advance or nested impulsive 1–2 structures → strengthens the Bullish Case.
Three-wave corrective advances combined with continued bearish structure → strengthens the Bearish / Corrective Case.
The weekly chart provides the roadmap for the larger structure, but the daily chart will show which path the market is actually choosing.
📌 If the full logic behind these scenarios is not yet clear, take a look at the previous analyses attached to this idea. This analysis is a continuation of that same structural path.
yesterday
Ethereum: Bullish Impulse or Larger Correction?
Price is the result. Structure is the cause.
— Mr. Nobody | Elliott Wave Principle
Ethereum
Jul 12
Is Wave C Complete, or Is the Correction Still Unfolding?
Long Trade
🔥 ETHUSDC — POC / VALUE AREA READ
Saturday 29 August 2026
Entry Time: 2:10 AM NY
Direction: 🟢 Buyside
Entry: 2432.46
Target: 2456.20 (+0.976%)
Stop: 2429.17 (0.135%)
Planned RR: 7.22R
📊 POC / Value Map
From the chart, the important developing value references are approximately:
Developing VAL: 2433.90
Developing POC: 2436.45
Developing VAH: 2438.70
VWAP / StDev reference: 2439.98
EMA: 2444.24
Upper target / sell-side imbalance: 2456.20
🧠 POC Read
The entry at 2432.46 is positioned below developing value, effectively buying from discount underneath the current VAL.
That creates a clean value-migration thesis:
discount entry → VAL reclaim → POC acceptance → VAH → VWAP → EMA → upper imbalance / external liquidity. The first critical job for the trade is therefore not immediately reaching 2456.20. It is proving that price can re-enter and hold value.
SNAP + POC Path
MAP → discount beneath developing value
RAID → lower liquidity worked near 2430–2433
RECLAIM → recover 2433.90 VAL
SHIFT → bullish acceptance back inside value
CONFIRM → hold above 2436.45 POC
EXECUTE → 2432.46
DISPLACE → through 2438.70 VAH → 2439.98 VWAP → 2444.24 EMA
PAY → 🎯 2456.20
Key Decision Levels
2433.90 VAL — first reclaim
2436.45 POC — major acceptance test
2438.70 VAH — value-area breakout
2439.98 VWAP — continuation confirmation
2444.24 EMA — next structural hurdle
2456.20 — final PAY objective
The RSI around the mid-60s also supports improving bullish pressure without being excessively stretched yet.
Final Read
This is a strong discount-to-value migration setup.
The most important confirmation is:
VAL reclaim → POC acceptance → VAH expansion
If price can establish itself above 2436–2439, the argument for 2444 → 2456.20 becomes much stronger. ⚠️ 2429.17 remains the hard invalidation.
Best narrative: DISCOUNT → RAID → VAL RECLAIM → POC ACCEPTANCE → VAH → VWAP/EMA → DISPLACE → 2456.20 PAY
Ethereum: Bullish Impulse or Larger Correction?The weekly ETH/USD structure suggests that Ethereum is approaching a critical decision point within a larger-degree structure — where the completion of the correction and the beginning of a new impulsive cycle remain in competition with the possibility of further corrective or bearish development.
🟢 Bullish Case
In the bullish scenario, the larger structure may indicate that the higher-degree correction has completed as a Regular Flat.
If so, the next move should gradually reveal the characteristics of a valid five-wave impulsive structure.
Confirmation from the lower degrees will be essential. Only the development of a valid impulsive sequence can meaningfully strengthen the bullish interpretation.
If confirmed, the larger structure could support the development of the next bullish wave, opening the path toward the projected targets and extensions shown on the chart.
⚫ Bearish / Corrective Case
On the other hand, until the bullish structure proves its impulsive character, the possibility that the correction is still developing cannot be ruled out.
In this case, ETH may continue developing one of the corrective structures permitted by the Elliott Wave Principle, including a Zigzag, Flat, Triangle, or more complex combinations such as a Double Three or Triple Three.
Depending on how the structure develops and how the waves relate to one another, this path could represent either a continuation of the larger correction or gradually reveal the characteristics of a bearish trend.
Ultimately, the key question is not simply where price is expected to go, but what structural character the market develops next.
Will ETH form a valid five-wave impulsive sequence and strengthen the Bullish Case, or will future price action remain primarily three-wave and corrective, keeping the Bearish / Corrective Case valid?
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, the answer will emerge through the development of the next structures.
📌 If the larger structural logic or its connection to the previous counts is not immediately clear, I recommend reviewing the earlier analyses attached to this idea. This analysis continues the same structural roadmap across multiple timeframes.
Price is the result. Structure is the cause.
— Mr. Nobody | Elliott Wave Principle
Ethereum
May 25
ETHUSD: Into the Eye of the Storm — Decoding the Final “C” Wave
BTC SHORT - Looks like Lower High is in. H4 structure looks like lower high is in.
It didn't sweep the Buyside liquidity, which is something I wanted it to do.
Am I gonna short it? NO
Why? My A+ Setup's first criteria is Liq sweep.
Without Liq Sweep, No trade.
Could be search and destroy profile for the next 2 weeks, where it takes out both shorts and long and then the structure breaks.
This is the area where you should see lower high forming.
Bitcoin Crossroads Bitcoin Crossroads ⚡
Hello everyone, here is my latest Bitcoin Weekly Update, using my new analytical style.
After reviewing the larger-degree structure, Bitcoin appears to be at a point where two important paths are still on the table. At this stage, the structure needs more development before we can confidently favor one scenario over the other.
In the Aggressive Path — the Turquoise Scenario, the larger decline may have completed a corrective structure, with the current advance potentially marking the beginning of a new bullish cycle. If price continues to maintain an impulsive structure, the intermediate pullbacks can be viewed as natural corrections within the larger move, allowing higher-degree waves to develop after each correction.
On the other hand, the Conservative Path — the Black Scenario keeps open the possibility that the larger correction is not finished yet. From this perspective, the current rise could still be part of a broader corrective structure, potentially becoming more complex before another decline develops to complete the larger corrective cycle.
So the question is not simply bullish or bearish. What matters more is the personality of the structure.
Is Bitcoin showing the strength, subdivision, and momentum of an impulsive move? Or are the overlapping price movements still pointing toward a corrective structure?
For now, Bitcoin stands at a structural crossroads. The turquoise path looks toward the development of a new bullish structure, while the black path keeps the possibility of a deeper corrective phase alive.
Rather than forcing an outcome, I’ll let price take the next step and reveal which structure is actually developing.
The market speaks through structure. We just have to listen.
— Patterns whisper. I listen.
Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
Bitcoin
Jul 4
Bitcoin 4H | Is the First Bearish Leg Complete?






















