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MMA BTCUSDT.P 1H TF☀️ MMA
BTC remains in a bullish market structure on the 1H timeframe, producing consistent higher highs and higher lows since reclaiming 61,886.7. The recent pullback created an internal bearish MSB but has not invalidated the overall bullish trend. Buyers responded aggressively from the 61,652–62,467 bullish order block, which is supported by a strong displacement candle, an accompanying fair value gap, and elevated volume. While price may only retrace into the FVG without reaching the full order block, the overall structure remains constructive. The 21 and 50 EMAs continue to slope upward and are providing dynamic support. Price is now approaching previous equal highs around 64,000–64,250, where buy-side liquidity is likely resting. A sweep of these highs followed by rejection would favour a corrective pullback into the FVG or order block, while a decisive close above the liquidity zone would strengthen the case for bullish continuation. Volume generally supports the trend, although the latest breakout attempt has not shown stronger participation than prior impulses, suggesting buyers remain in control, but momentum should continue to be monitored. 
Long
AAPL: The Death of Apple’s 2-Decade Empire Has a Date🚨 Macro Structural Exhaustion: When Price, Time, and Geometry Reach Their Final Convergence
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Markets do not enter historic declines because of news.
They enter them when a long-term structural cycle consumes its final unit of time.
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The weekly architecture reveals that Apple's historic expansion, initiated from the 2004 structural origin, has entered its terminal phase of maturity.
For more than two decades, every correction has remained imprisoned within a rigid geometric framework, allowing the market to compound into one of the greatest bullish expansions in modern financial history.
That process is now approaching its structural conclusion.
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Price has reached the upper terminal boundary of the long-term geometric channel.
At the very same location, the 261.8% Fibonacci Expansion completes its projected objective, while the Time Projections converge into the identical structural window.
These are not isolated signals.
They are independent structural systems reaching the same destination simultaneously.
When Price, Time, and Geometry expire together, the market no longer behaves like an expanding trend.
It begins to behave like a completed cycle.
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⏳ The Rigid Chronological Boundaries (Time Projections)
According to this structural model, the remaining lifespan of the ongoing expansion is becoming critically limited.
The countdown is no longer measured in price; it is measured in structural time:
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The High-Probability Trigger Zone (0.618 Time Projection):
Our primary calculations isolate August 17, 2026 as the strongest structural window where the macro reversal and heavy decline are mathematically poised to initiate.
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The Absolute Invalidation Ceiling (1.000 Time Projection):
The maximum permissible lifespan for this entire bullish cycle is chronologically bounded.
October 5, 2026 represents the absolute maximum time limit for wave development.
Beyond this coordinate, the expansion energy is completely terminated.
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If the current alignment completes as projected, the next macro phase may no longer resemble a conventional correction.
It may represent the beginning of a large-scale structural rebalancing capable of unwinding a substantial portion of the expansion built since 2004.
The market is no longer searching for higher prices.
It is approaching the point where the architecture of the entire cycle is tested.
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✍🏻 Mohsen Nirumand 
Short
TSLA 4H: Extended Leading Diagonal or a Deeper Correction?
"Price is the consequence. Structure is the cause."
This four-hour structural analysis of Tesla (TSLA) examines the market through the principles of Elliott Wave Theory. Rather than forecasting price alone, the objective is to determine the market's current position within the larger wave structure and identify the most probable path forward.
Primary Thesis — Extended Leading Diagonal
The preferred interpretation views the current structure as a Leading Diagonal exhibiting structural extension, provided that the first structural invalidation level at $338.25714 remains intact.
Although "Extended Leading Diagonal" is not a formal Elliott Wave pattern, the current price development displays characteristics consistent with a diagonal extending beyond the proportions typically observed.
So far, the present advance has traveled only 61.8% of the preceding third wave, leaving room for additional structural expansion.
If this interpretation is correct, a confirmed breakout above $498.70642 could initiate a strong multi-swing advance, displaying momentum similar to an impulsive sequence while completing the terminal portion of the diagonal. A proportional correction would then be expected before the broader uptrend resumes.
Structural Targets
• First Target: $465.44267
• Primary Target: $570.22809
• Extended Targets: $750.10509 and $956.62950
Secondary Thesis — Conservative Development
The conservative interpretation assumes that the current Leading Diagonal has already completed, but the market still requires a more mature corrective phase before the next impulsive advance begins.
That correction could develop as:
Zigzag
Double or Triple Zigzag
Flat
or a more complex corrective combination.
According to Elliott Wave guidelines, corrections following a Leading Diagonal are often deeper and more time-consuming than the decline currently observed.
Only a clearly developing series of nested 1-2 sequences would significantly strengthen the case that the next higher-degree third wave has already begun.
Both scenarios remain structurally bullish over the long term. Their only difference lies in the depth, duration, and internal development of the current correction.
Structural Cycle
Under the preferred wave count, Tesla continues progressing toward the completion of a higher-degree eight-wave cycle, with the current roadmap projecting structural completion around March 2027, assuming Elliott Wave relationships remain valid.
Key Technical Levels
Bull Market Confirmation: $498.28083
Critical Structural Validation: $101.88
First Structural Invalidation: $338.25714
Structural Observation
An alternative interpretation remains under observation.
The current structure could eventually prove to be an Ending Diagonal completing Primary Wave (III), which would imply that a larger Primary Wave (IV) correction is still ahead.
At present, however, the available structural evidence continues to favor the Leading Diagonal interpretation. The alternative count remains part of ongoing Elliott Wave research, recognizing that structural interpretation evolves with price rather than personal conviction.
Markets rarely move in a straight line.
Structure provides the context. Price delivers the evidence.
Patterns whisper. I listen.
– Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
Elliott Wave Researcher
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Feb 13, 2024
My view after two years (Sharp correction pattern)
BTC/USD HEADED LOWERThere exists a world where BTC/USD is headed lower targeting price imbalance between 23,000 and 46,000 a price range representing unmitigated demand zone.
The opposing and interactive forces of supply and demand keep the market in equilibrium. Excessive demand pushes price high that requires bearish correction to keep the market in balanced, the vice versa is true. Presently, using multi-time frame analysis(12M-D),BTC/USD is poised to push lower over the long term to correct market imbalance and contact the unmitigated demand before price rallying. In the interim, there exist a sell limit opportunity should price target the FVG at 69,240 price handle.
I use BTC/USD as an overall bearish-bullish indicator for the larger crypto market, with this analysis, there is a high probability crypto prices could push lower before the close of 2026, presenting shorting opportunities. Short 
TSLA: A Structural Blueprint of the Grand Cycle
"Price is the consequence. Structure is the cause."
This analysis is not a simple price forecast. Rather, it is a structural study of Tesla's position within its Grand Cycle through the principles and guidelines of Elliott Wave Theory.
Since its 2010 low, Tesla has developed a sequence of impulsive and corrective waves, each forming part of a much larger market geometry. The objective of this study is to identify the market's current position within that hierarchy and explore the most probable paths ahead based on wave structure, Fibonacci relationships, and Elliott Wave principles.
Aggressive Scenario (Turquoise Path): A Developing Leading Diagonal
The primary interpretation assumes that Primary Wave (IV) has already completed and the market has begun constructing a Leading Diagonal, marking the first phase of a new higher-degree impulsive cycle.
Within Elliott Wave Theory, a Leading Diagonal typically emerges at the beginning of a new trend, when market sentiment remains uncertain and confidence has yet to fully return. Rather than signaling weakness, this structure often reflects the gradual transition from accumulation toward expansion.
The key question is therefore:
Has the current correction already fulfilled the structural requirements of a Leading Diagonal?
If the answer proves to be yes, Tesla may already have established the structural foundation for the next higher-degree advance, potentially leading into a powerful Primary Wave (III), which is often the strongest and most dynamic phase of an impulsive sequence.
Conservative Scenario (Blue Path): The Correction May Require Further Development
The conservative interpretation remains equally bullish over the long term but suggests that the current correction may not yet be structurally complete.
Under this scenario, the market could still require a more mature corrective formation, such as:
Zigzag
Flat
or a more complex corrective combination
Once that correction is completed—while respecting Elliott Wave rules and structural guidelines—the market would still be expected to follow the same long-term bullish path illustrated by the aggressive scenario.
In other words, the destination remains the same. The only difference lies in the maturity, depth, and internal structure of the current correction.
Key Structural Levels
Structural Invalidation Level: 101.40
First Wave Territory: 19.73
The long-term objectives presented in this study are not arbitrary price projections. They are derived from Fibonacci expansion relationships and the mathematical structure of Elliott Wave development.
Research Note
Alongside the two primary scenarios, an alternative wave count remains under continuous evaluation.
Under this alternative interpretation, the current diagonal could ultimately prove to be an Ending Diagonal, completing Primary Wave (III) rather than initiating a new impulsive cycle. Should that interpretation prevail, the market would still require a larger-degree Primary Wave (IV) correction before the next long-term advance begins.
At present, however, the available structural evidence continues to favor the Leading Diagonal interpretation. The Ending Diagonal remains a secondary research hypothesis, maintained not because it is currently preferred, but because Elliott Wave analysis requires every credible structural alternative to remain open until the market itself resolves the pattern.
My objective is not to defend a preferred wave count, but to continuously refine structural understanding through the observation of real market behavior.
Markets are often dominated by noise.
Structure reveals the logic behind price.
Patterns whisper. I listen.
– Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
Elliott Wave Researcher 
Long
Long 
EURUSD Daily: The Birth of the Fifth Macro Movement📘 EURUSD: The Structural Transition into the Fifth Macro Movement
Markets rarely reverse by accident. They reverse when structure, geometry, and time converge.
This study presents a complete multi-timeframe structural doctrine identifying the transition from the completed Fourth Movement into the activation of the Fifth macro bearish phase.
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🌍 Macro Structural Framework
(Multi-Timeframe Analysis)
The structural life-cycle initiated from the multi-decadal monthly origin has successfully terminated at a strategic resistance peak.
Within the weekly framework, the market has completed the First, Second, Third, and Fourth major structural movements inside a rigid geometric channel.
With the progressive exhaustion of bullish momentum, the market now enters the final macro bearish vector: The Fifth Movement.
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⚡ Structural Exhaustion & Momentum Release
On the daily timeframe, the Fourth Movement has completed its final structural formation.
This completion establishes the geometric framework required for a full retracement toward the absolute origin of the entire daily sequence.
According to strict structural and geometric validation principles, the current configuration represents a completed exhaustion process rather than a continuation pattern.
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🎯 Price–Time Convergence
The structural blueprint reveals a decisive intersection between price and time.
The projected vertical time boundary defines the final window in which the ongoing bearish distribution is expected to mature.
Until that structural objective is fulfilled, any immediate bullish rebound is interpreted as lower-degree corrective activity rather than evidence of a confirmed trend reversal.
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🧭 Structural Conclusion
This analysis suggests that EURUSD is no longer developing within the Fourth structural phase.
Instead, the market appears to be transitioning into the Fifth macro movement—a phase that, if validated, could redefine the long-term directional bias of the entire cycle.
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✍🏻 Mohsen Nirumand XAU/USD 07 July 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 July 2026.
Price previously did not print a bearish CHoCH and continued bullish.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I shall monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,195.510. Price may potentially print higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Rise?!Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has reached an important resistance level. If this resistance area is broken or maintained, we will see a continuation of the upward trend or a return to the downward trend in Bitcoin.
However, it should be noted that in the event of each of the scenarios, there are supply and demand zones above and below the current price where you can sell or buy Bitcoin.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Technology company Strategy announced yesterday that it had sold approximately 3,600 Bitcoin. According to the company, the sales, completed by July 5, were carried out to raise funds for preferred dividend payments and to strengthen its cash reserves.
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump officially rang the opening bell of the New York and Nasdaq markets live from the White House while unveiling a new service called Trump Accounts. When asked whether Bitcoin could eventually be included in these accounts, he replied, “It's possible. I'm a big supporter of crypto.” Trump also acknowledged that he initially embraced the crypto industry for political reasons and to gain public support, but as a businessman, he quickly recognized the enormous potential for large-scale capital to flow into Bitcoin. However, his proposal to establish a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is currently facing legal obstacles due to disagreements between the Treasury Department and the Commerce Department over how the reserve should be managed.
Short
Long
Long
Short 
Short 
AUDJPY - HTF Bullish ContinuationHigher timeframe remains bullish, with price breaking highs and closing above key levels, confirming bullish intent.
On the midterm, price swept internal liquidity and inducement, but that move was not enough to flip structure. Instead, it acted as a deeper engineering phase, taking out liquidity across a full range and mitigating a higher timeframe order block.
From there, I monitored midterm footprints and structure shifts. Price broke a significant midterm lower high, which aligned with sell-side liquidity being targeted.
Within this bullish expansion leg, price showed strong inefficiency — minimal meaningful pullbacks, signaling aggressive displacement.
As expected, price swept the full range, then flipped structure by breaking the higher high, confirming continued bullish structural intent.
This sequence suggests potential for another sell-side liquidity grab into an order flow / demand area before further upside expansion.
Until then, I’m simply tracking footprints and observing bullish behavior as liquidity is engineered and mitigated across key zones.
No forcing trades — just letting structure complete and waiting for confirmation.
Patience remains the edge.
Let’s see how price develops next.
US Oil (WTI) – 4H Elliott Wave Update US Oil (WTI) – 4H Elliott Wave Update | Structure First, Direction Second
The overall outlook remains unchanged, and both scenarios continue to respect Elliott Wave rules and guidelines.
The recent decline is still being monitored as the completion of a corrective structure. The key question is whether this decline is finishing an Expanded Flat within a developing bullish sequence or whether it is only another corrective phase before the larger bearish trend resumes.
Aggressive Scenario
The aggressive count continues to suggest that the advance from 54.877 marked the beginning of a new impulsive sequence.
If this interpretation is correct, the current decline is completing Wave (2) as an Expanded Flat, with Wave C now approaching its final subdivisions.
Once this corrective pattern is complete, I expect an impulsive advance to develop. Any corrective pullback after that impulse would simply confirm the trend before the next bullish leg begins.
Conservative Scenario
The conservative scenario remains consistent with the larger bearish outlook presented in the Daily analysis.
In this case, the current recovery may only become another corrective structure before sellers attempt one more decline.
A decisive break below 54.877 would invalidate the aggressive count and significantly increase the probability of a larger bearish continuation.
What Matters Most
At this stage, I am not trying to predict the market.
I am waiting for the market to reveal its structure.
A clear five-wave impulsive advance would strongly favor the aggressive scenario.
However, if the recovery remains corrective and fails to develop impulsive characteristics, the conservative count will continue to carry more weight.
As always, structure comes before prediction.
This analysis is shared strictly for Elliott Wave research and educational purposes, not as financial advice.
Facts always win.
Patterns whisper. I listen.
— Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
CFDs on Crude Oil (WTI)
Jun 25
US Oil – 4H Elliott Wave Update
CFDs on Crude Oil (WTI)
Jun 24
US Oil – Daily Elliott Wave Perspective
Long
Long
