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USD/JPY(20260708)Today's AnalysisMarket News: According to Proactive Research, traders on the forecasting platform Polymarket are generally bullish on gold continuing its rebound in July, but believe that gold prices will not return to the highs reached in January. Bets are concentrated around the month's high of $4,300 per ounce. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 161.96 Support and Resistance Levels: 162.48 162.29 162.16 161.76 161.63 161.44 Trading Strategy: A break above 162.29 suggests a buy ent
Short
by RuijinCat
USD/JPY(20260707)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Saudi Arabia has initiated a price war in the Asian market. With the Strait of Hormuz reopening and global oil supply continuing to increase, Saudi Aramco on Monday lowered its official selling price (OSP) for its flagship crude oil sold to Asia in August by the largest margin in at least 26 years, in an effort to attract Asian buyers. According to price lists obtained by foreign media, Saudi Aramco lowered its OSP for August Arab Light crude oil by $11 per barrel, representing a
Short
by RuijinCat
USD/JPY(20260701)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Federal Reserve's Hamak: Inflation remains too high, and a rate hike may need to be considered; interest rate futures show the probability of a Fed rate hike in September has risen to 80%. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 162.35 Support and Resistance Levels: 163.16 162.86 162.66 162.03 161.83 161.53 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 162.66, consider buying, with a first target price of 162.86. If the price breaks below 162.35, consider selling, with
Short
by RuijinCat
USD/JPY(20260630)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Sources familiar with the matter revealed that Warsh will release the full details of the working group in the coming weeks, with all research work expected to conclude by the end of this year. After the report is completed, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members will evaluate each reform proposal and determine its implementation path. Each working group leader is an external professional personally selected by Warsh, with support from key Fed staff. Technical Analysis: T
Long
by RuijinCat
USD/JPY(20260629)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Bank of America predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates three times this year. Danske Bank believes the Fed will raise rates at least twice more, and US interest rates still have room to rise further. Goldman Sachs believes Warsh's hawkish stance will exacerbate volatility in short-term US Treasuries. UBS states the market overestimates the risk of rate hikes and expects rates to remain unchanged in 2026 and easing to resume in early 2027. Technical Analysis: Tod
Short
by RuijinCat
USD/JPY(20260626)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Data released on Thursday showed signs of a recovery in U.S. consumer demand amid rising inflationary pressures. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) in June showed that inflation-adjusted consumer spending rose 0.3% month-over-month in May 2026, reversing the stagnation in April and indicating that household spending remains resilient. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% last week, but updated quarterly projections show that p
Short
by RuijinCat
USD/JPY(20260624)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Deutsche Bank research analyst Michael Hsueh stated in a report that "the Fed's repricing, coupled with strong US macroeconomic data, is the main reason for the decline in gold prices." The bank has lowered its third-quarter gold price forecast to $4,300 per ounce, a reduction of more than one-fifth from its previous forecast, and adjusted its forecast for the last three months of the year to $4,800 per ounce. Similar adjustments were made by Goldman Sachs. Last week, the institu
Short
by RuijinCat
USD/JPY(20260417)Today's AnalysisMarket Update: International Energy Agency (IEA) Executive Director Fatih Birol told the Associated Press on Thursday that Europe's "jet fuel reserves may only last about six weeks," and warned that if the ongoing conflict with Iran disrupts oil supplies, Europe could see flight cancellations "very soon." Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 158.89 Support and Resistance Levels: 159.92 159.54 159.29 158.50 158.25 157.86 Trading Strategy: A break above 159.29 suggests a buy
Long
by HardworkingMiners
good and bad rejections candles Not every long wick is a valid kangaroo tail. A good setup needs more than a candle — it needs structure, space, and context. In this chart I highlight both valid and invalid kangaroo tails to show beginners exactly what to look for. Valid setups share the same characteristics: • Strong tail • Body closes near the extreme • Price reaches a clear zone • Market hasn’t traded there for a while • There is clean room to the left These conditions show rejection with space for price to move. Inva
Education
by Benny_onecandleonesetuponegoal
USD/JPY(20260109)Today's AnalysisMarket News: On Tuesday, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average hit record closing highs, marking the first buy signal from Dow Theory in over a year. Technical strategists believe this confirms the bull market that began in late 2022 remains firmly established, even as some previously high-performing AI-related stocks have recently faced pressure. The Dow Jones Industrial Average's last record closing high was on January 5th, while the Dow Jones Trans
Long
by FlyingTowardsWealth
USD/JPY(20260107)Today's AnalysisMarket News: ① Venezuela and the United States are negotiating on oil exports to the US. ② In the early years of Maduro's rule, Venezuela shipped $5.2 billion worth of gold to Switzerland. ③ Shipping data shows that in the past five days, Venezuela's main oil terminals have not shipped crude oil for export to any destination other than Chevron in the United States. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 156.52 Support and Resistance Levels: 157.15 156.91 156.76 156.28 156.13
by FlyingTowardsWealth
USD/JPY(20251224)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US economy expanded at a rate of 4.3% in the third quarter, the fastest growth in two years, but the US consumer confidence index declined for the fifth consecutive month. ADP Weekly Employment Report: In the four weeks ending December 6, 2025, private sector employers added an average of 11,500 jobs per week. Trump: Those who disagree with him will never become Fed Chair. Next Fed candidate Hassett: Predicts monthly job growth may return to 100,000+, and the Fed is far behi
by FlyingTowardsWealth
USD/JPY(20251218)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Ben Waller, one of the final candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair and current Governor, said on Wednesday that the current job market is "very weak" and job growth is "not optimistic," therefore the Fed still has room to cut interest rates. He supports further rate cuts to restore the central bank's interest rate setting to a neutral level, while stating that policymakers do not need to rush into doing so. Speaking at the Yale University CEO Summit, Waller noted that the
by FlyingTowardsWealth
3rd time lucky? (EUR/JPY)Setup Bullish trend is overbought - short term bearish Bearish Shooting star pattern on weekly chart (this is the 3rd one - the previous two didn't work out - 3rd time lucky?) Bearish Evening star pattern on daily chart Daily RSI down from very overbought reading Price well above 20/50 day moving average zone Commentary There have been no meaningful corrections since the bullish trend began at 155. A large reversal from above 180 could be the start of one. Strategy Sell reboun
Short
by jasperlawler
USD/JPY(20251107)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Revelo Labs, a US private data provider, reported that US non-farm payrolls decreased by 9,100 in October; Challenger job cuts in the US surged 175% year-over-year in October, and year-to-date layoffs increased by 65%; Chicago Fed data showed the October unemployment rate was approximately 4.36%, a four-year high. Federal Reserve officials remain cautious. Chicago Fed President Goolsby believes a lack of reliable inflation data and remains hesitant about interest rate cuts; Clevel
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
USD/JPY(20251029)Today's AnalysisMarket News: A survey by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) predicts gold prices will reach $4,980.3 per ounce and silver prices will reach $59.1 per ounce in one year. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 152.22 Support and Resistance Levels: 153.33 152.91 152.64 151.80 151.53 151.11 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 152.22, consider buying with a first target price of 152.64. If the price breaks below 151.80, consider selling with a first target price of
Short
by GoldenSpaceship
1
USD/JPY(20251023)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The shutdown continues, and the US Senate has rejected the temporary funding bill for the 12th time. Technical Analysis: Today's buy/sell levels: 151.83 Support and resistance levels: 152.38 152.17 152.04 151.61 151.48 151.27 Trading Strategy: If the stock breaks above 152.04, consider buying, with the first target price being 152.17. If the stock breaks below 151.83, consider selling, with the first target price being 151.61.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
1
USD/JPY(20251021)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US government shutdown entered its 20th day on Monday after senators failed to break the impasse for the tenth time last week. The shutdown has also delayed the release of key economic data, leaving investors and Federal Reserve policymakers with a data vacuum ahead of next week's policy meeting. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, delayed by the shutdown, is scheduled for release this Friday. Meanwhile, traders are pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week,
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
USD/JPY(20250924)Today's AnalysisMarket Analysis: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the policy rate remains somewhat restrictive, but allows the Fed to better respond to potential economic developments; tariffs are expected to have a one-time pass-through effect; and decisions will "never be based on political considerations." Fed spokespersons noted that Powell's comments indicate that he believes interest rates remain tight, potentially opening the door for further rate cuts. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell
Long
by GoldenBigAge
USDJPY: Tight Range, Big Breakout Coming – Bulls Eye 150.80In recent weeks, USDJPY has been one of the most frustrating pairs to trade. Since early August, the pair has fluctuated inside a very narrow range between 146.70 and 148.50 — less than 1.5% of movement. However, such tight consolidations rarely last. They usually precede strong moves, and in my opinion, this breakout is more likely to come to the upside. Looking at the broader picture: • The April low around 140 (which also tested September last year’s low) marked a strong structural support
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
11
USD/JPY(20250807)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Federal Reserve Chairman Kashkari: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term, and two rate cuts this year are reasonable. Trump: The new Fed governor will likely be temporary, and the appointment will be announced within 2-3 days. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 147.40 Support and Resistance Levels: 148.30 147.96 147.74 147.05 146.83 146.49 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 147.40, consider a buy entry, with the first target price being 147.74. I
Long
by NicolaZhu