Volatility

Gold – Stuck Riding the Fed Rate Outlook Rollercoaster After last week’s sell off on Wednesday evening from 4360 down to a low of 4235 upon learning the Federal Reserve (Fed) had raised interest rates for the first time in 2026 and then the subsequent recovery back to close the week at 4378 on Friday, Gold prices seemingly continue to ride the positioning rollercoaster driven by market expectations of what the Fed may do next regarding interest rates over the final 3 months of 2026. Hawkish comments from Fed member Kashkari on Sunday may have weighed on sentiment towards Gold early on Monday morning, helping to take prices down 0.7% to current levels around 4348. He suggested US inflation remains too high, and pressures may have broadened beyond the oil price shock of the Iran war (Bloomberg). There could be more interest rate outlook headline driven volatility to come, with a variety of Federal Reserve policymakers scheduled to speak across the rest of the week. Traders remain sensitive to the possibility of 1 or even 2 further Fed hikes before the end of the year, and any comments that may support this outlook could further weigh on Gold prices which pay no interest or dividend. Looking forward, it’s a quiet week for economic data so Gold traders may choose to focus on Fed policymaker commentary, the outcomes of the US-China Summit between President’s Trump and Xi on Thursday and any further updates on the possibility of finding a diplomatic solution to ease tensions in the Middle East. Technical Update: Are Gold Buyers Attempting to Gain the Upper Hand? From the August 25th high of 4697 down to the September 16th low at 4235 Gold has seen a roughly 10% decline, potentially as a reaction to what was a strong period of price strength for the metal between July 17th and August 25th (3959 to 4697). What is perhaps an encouraging sign for Gold bulls is that a key support at 4232 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July 17th to August 25th strength) has helped to hold the recent decline and prompt an attempt at a recovery. While this price action may appear to identify 4232 as the first key support focus for the coming week, what could be equally important is the declining Bollinger mid‑average as a resistance level. As the chart above shows, the mid-average resistance currently stands at 4407. The directional bias for Gold this week could be determined by which of these important levels either holds or gives way on a closing basis. Potential Resistance Focus: A falling Bollinger mid‑average that is above price activity always has the potential to be an important resistance focus. Therefore, 4407 is set to be monitored this week, with successful closing breaks above this level needed to suggest further attempts at price strength. If a closing break above 4407 is seen, risks may then be skewed for further price strength to challenge the next potential resistance at 4511 (September 3rd high), and even 4697 (August 25th high). If 4697 were also to give way on a closing basis, it could see a continuation of the advance to challenge 4770 (50% Fibonacci retracement of January 29th to June 30th price weakness). Potential Support Focus: While the Bollinger mid‑average resistance at 4407 remains intact downside momentum may reemerge. This could open the way for retests of support at 4232 (61.8% retracement) to develop, with closing breaks below this level indicating the possibility of further negative momentum materialising. If 4232 were broken on a closing basis, downside risks could shift toward tests of what might be viewed as a potentially strong support band between 3943 and 3959 (June 30th and July 17th price lows). The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.

INTC GEX – Testing 110 Multi-Confluence Call Wall INTC is pressing into 110 on the daily chart after a strong momentum expansion. Spot is only marginally above the level, so this remains a test rather than confirmed acceptance. The October 16 cumulative GEX profile makes 110 the central decision point. It is the highest call wall and also overlaps a technically important reaction area visible on the daily chart. 🔶 Regime Context 🔶 With price above the 97.5 HVL and the 100 call-cluster boundary, INTC remains in a positive GEX regime. GEX History shows 0, W1, M1, M2, and ALL aligned in large-green positive extension. This is a dampening-volatility backdrop rather than a directional signal. The current momentum candle is testing C1, but acceptance still requires a sustained hold above 110. 🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶 👉 110 – C1 multi-confluence wall Confluence at 110: C1 — highest call NETGEX Ab1 — largest absolute gamma nCOI / COI / AbOI — dominant call and absolute open-interest concentration CV / PV — largest cumulative call- and put-volume peaks This makes 110 a major reaction zone rather than merely a round-number resistance. Since both call and put volume peak here, the volume concentration is two-sided and should not be treated as a standalone bullish flow signal. 🔶 Key Structure to Watch 🔶 Above 110 — sustained acceptance keeps INTC in positive extension, with gamma squeeze potential toward the 115 and 120 secondary NETGEX references Below 110 — rejection returns price toward 105, followed by the 100 call-cluster boundary 97.5 — HVL and GEX regime pivot 90 — strongest put wall (P1) For now, 110 is where the technical structure, C1, absolute gamma, open interest, and volume all meet. The key question is whether INTC can turn 110 from resistance into support—or whether this extension test ends in rejection.

SMCI GEX – Testing the Consolidation Ceiling at 42 SMCI is tightening inside a sideways consolidation and is now testing the upper boundary of that range near 42. The current October 16 cumulative GEX profile places the dominant call wall at exactly the same level. Strength across sector peers provides a supportive tape backdrop, but 42 remains the structural decision point. Price is near 40.95, above the 39 call-cluster boundary and well above the 36.5 HVL. A clear break and hold above 42 would move SMCI into the positive extension zone, opening gamma squeeze potential toward 43 and then 45. Another rejection would keep the range intact and bring 39.5–39 back into focus. 🔶 Regime Context 🔶 SMCI remains above HVL in a positive GEX regime and is trading inside the call cluster between 39 and 42. GEX History shows the 0, W1, M1, M2, and ALL rows aligned in positive gamma. This can support a more controlled volatility environment, but acceptance above 42 still requires price momentum. 🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶 👉 42 – C1 and consolidation ceiling Confluence at 42: C1 — dominant call wall Ab1 — largest absolute gamma COI / nCOI — strongest cumulative call open-interest concentration AbOI — largest cumulative absolute open interest CV / nCV — cumulative call-volume peak This makes 42 a major multi-metric reaction zone in the October 16 cumulative profile, not simply a technical range boundary. 👉 43 – C3 , the next overhead call wall after a confirmed breakout 👉 45 – secondary positive NETGEX reference 🔶 Downside Structure 🔶 👉 39.5 – C2 , the first level to watch after a failed breakout 👉 39 – cTrans , the lower boundary of the call cluster 👉 36.5 – HVL / pTrans , the main regime pivot 👉 35 – P1 , the dominant put wall 🔶 Options Sentiment 🔶 CALL$ 93% at 60 DTE means equidistant call options are priced 93% higher than the corresponding puts. This reflects elevated call pricing skew, not a directional guarantee. The Options Oscillator’s green histogram remains below its recent peak, suggesting that call pricing skew has been broadly fading despite staying elevated. IVRank 24.2 IVx 74.2 (60 DTE) CALL$ 93% (60 DTE) — call pricing skew Implied move ±6.17% (±2.5) 🔶 Key Structure to Watch 🔶 42 — C1, multi-metric confluence and range ceiling 43–45 — first extension references after acceptance 39.5–39 — first support area after a failed breakout 36.5 — HVL and regime pivot For now, SMCI is building pressure beneath its dominant call wall while sector strength remains supportive. The key question is whether price can accept above 42 and enter extension—or reject once again into the established range.

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/21/2026 Session CME_MINI:NQZ2026 - PR High: 30034.00 - PR Low: 29904.00 - NZ Spread: 290.5 No key scheduled economic events Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM) - Session Open ATR: 422.07 - Volume: 50K - Open Int: 256K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -4.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 32282 - Mid: 29785 - Short: 27288 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone

WDAY - Reversal Strategy Long Setup 🍀Overview I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic. This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules. 🍀Process Ticker : NASDAQ:WDAY Date : 26/02/2026 Timeframe : Daily Direction : Long Strategy : Reversal Strategy Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot Signals Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5 Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 86.66, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5 Signal Scoring Main signal score = 0.5 Confirmation signal score = 0.5 Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0 Long score threshold: 1.0 The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order. Risk Management Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1 Entry: 139.11 (the close of the setup candle) Stop distance: 32.98 (approximately 4x daily ATR) Target distance: 131.95 (approximately 16x daily ATR) Order Management : Bracket order Limit entry: 139.11 Market stop: 106.13 Limit target: 271.06 Baseline Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached. 🍀Outcome Trade Execution 26/02/2026: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order. 27/02/2026: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled. Trade Status Trading: active P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next. Stay lucky!🍀

BKR - Reversal Strategy Long Setup 🍀Overview I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic. The strategy has identified a qualifying setup, triggered an alert, and placed a long bracket order according to predefined rules. 🍀Process Ticker : NASDAQ:BKR Date : 17/09/2026 Timeframe : Daily Direction : Long Strategy : Reversal Strategy Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot Signals Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5 Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 81.84, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5 Signal Scoring Main signal score = 0.5 Confirmation signal score = 0.5 Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0 Long score threshold: 1.0 The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order. Risk Management Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1 Entry: 56.57 (the close of the setup candle) Stop distance: 7.83 (approximately 4x daily ATR) Target distance: 31.33 (approximately 16x daily ATR) Order Management : Bracket order Limit entry: 56.57 Market stop: 48.74 Limit target: 87.90 Baseline Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached. 🍀Outcome Trade Execution 17/09/2026: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order. 18/09/2026: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled. Trade Status Trading: active P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next. Stay lucky!🍀

Best Free Volatility Indicator on TradingView This free technical indicator will help you easily measure the market volatility on Forex, Gold or any other market. It will show you when the market is quiet, when it's active and when it's dangerous . We will go through the settings of this indicator, and you will learn how to set it up on TradingView. Historical Volatility Indicator This technical indicator is called H istorical Volatility. It is absolutely free and available on TradingView, MetaTrader 4/5 and other popular trading terminals. TradingView Setup Let me show you how to find it on TradingView and add it to your price chart. Open a technical price chart on TradingView and open the "Indicators" menu (you will find it at the top of the screen). Search " Historical Volatility " and click on it. It will automatically appear on your chart. Double-click on the indicator and a settings menu will appear. "Length" parameter will define how many candles the indicator will take for measuring the average volatility. (I recommend keeping the default number, but if you need longer/shorter-term volatility, you can play with that) Timeframe drop-down list defines what time frame the indicator takes for measuring the volatility. (I recommend choosing a daily timeframe) And keep the checkboxes unchanged . How to Use the Indicator Now, let me show you how to use it properly. Widen the indicator and analyse its movement at least for the last 4 months. Find the volatility range - its low levels will be based on the lower boundary of the range, high levels will be based on its upper boundary. This is an example of such a range on USDCAD pair. When the volatility stays within the range, it is your safe time to trade. When volatility approaches its lows , it may indicate that the market might be slow . Highs of the range imply that the market is very active . In-between will mean a healthy market. The Extremes The violation of a volatility range to the downside is the signal that the market is very slow. This would be the recommended period to not trade because of high chance of occurrence of fakeouts . An upward breakout of a voliatlity range is the signal of the extreme volatility . It will signify that the market is unstable, and it will be better to let it calm down before placing any trade. Volatility Analysis That is how a complete volatility analysis should look. At the moment, volatility reached extreme levels on CADJPY pair. The best strategy will be to wait till it returns within the range. Remember This With the current geopolitical uncertainty and trade wars, market volatility reaches the extreme levels. Such a volatility is very dangerous, especially for newbie traders. Historical volatility technical indicator will help you to easily spot the best period for trading and the moment when it is better to stay away. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

by VasilyTrader

REGN - Reversal Strategy Long Setup 🍀Overview I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic. This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules. 🍀Process Ticker : NASDAQ:REGN Date : 20/05/2026 Timeframe : Daily Direction : Long Strategy : Reversal Strategy Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot Signals Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5 Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 85.65, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5 Signal Scoring Main signal score = 0.5 Confirmation signal score = 0.5 Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0 Long score threshold: 1.0 The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order. Risk Management Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1 Entry: 649.76 (the close of the setup candle) Stop distance: 98.21 (approximately 4x daily ATR) Target distance: 392.85 (approximately 16x daily ATR) Order Management : Bracket order Limit entry: 649.76 Market stop: 551.55 Limit target: 1042.61 Baseline Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached. 🍀Outcome Trade Execution 20/05/2026: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order. 21/05/2026: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled. Trade Status Trading: active P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next. Stay lucky!🍀

COIN GEX – Testing 200 Call Wall Confluence TITLE: COIN GEX – Testing 200 Call Wall Confluence DESCRIPTION: COIN has surged back toward 195, reclaiming the 185 secondary call wall and approaching the dominant 200 call wall. The October 16 cumulative profile places several important call-side metrics at 200. Acceptance above this level would move COIN into positive extension, opening gamma-squeeze potential toward 220. 🔶 Regime Context 🔶 COIN is trading above the 172.5 HVL and 175 call-cluster boundary, maintaining a positive GEX regime. GEX History shows call-side extension developing across several tracked expirations, but the rows are not uniformly aligned in extension yet. This remains a developing volatility-regime shift that requires price acceptance above 200 for confirmation. 🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶 👉 200 – C1 Confluence at 200: C1 — highest call NETGEX Ab1 — largest absolute gamma nCV — strongest positive net-volume concentration CV — highest cumulative call-volume concentration That makes 200 the dominant reaction level. The 185 C2 wall has already been reclaimed; sustained acceptance above 200 would open positive extension and gamma-squeeze potential toward C3 at 220. 🔶 Downside Structure 🔶 👉 185 – C2 — reclaimed secondary call wall 👉 175 — call-cluster boundary 👉 172.5 — HVL and regime pivot 👉 170 / 165 — P2 and dominant P1 put wall 👉 155 — P3 downside reference 🔶 Options Sentiment 🔶 CALL$ 92.4% means calls at an equivalent distance from spot are priced 92.4% higher than corresponding puts — elevated call-pricing skew. IVRank 35.2 IVx 67.4 (28 DTE) | IVx 5dCh +0.9% CALL$ 92.4% (28 DTE) Implied move ±0.77% (±1.5) 🔶 Key Structure to Watch 🔶 200 — C1 + Ab1 + nCV/CV 220 — C3 extension reference 172.5 — HVL and regime pivot 165 — dominant put wall For now, COIN is testing its most important overhead GEX concentration. The key question is whether price can accept above 200 and enter extension toward 220 — or reject and rotate back toward 185.

Could Alphabet Start Moving Again?Alphabet has drifted for months, but some traders may think it’s ready to start moving again. The first pattern on today’s chart is the long pullback since mid-May, which has seen the Internet giant bounce twice at its rising 200-day simple moving average (SMA). That may confirm a longer-term uptrend is in place. Second, GOOGL is pushing above its 50-day SMA. That could suggest the intermediate-term trend is getting bullish again. Third, MACD is rising and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed above the 21-day EMA. That may indicate its short-term trend is also turning positive. Next, Bollinger Band Width has narrowed as prices converge. Could that narrowing price action give way to expansion? Finally, GOOGL is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average daily volume of 367,500 contracts ranks 11th in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. Learn more here about TradingView’s Broker of the Year! Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.

by TradeStation

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/18/2026 Session CME_MINI:NQZ2026 - PR High: 29728.50 - PR Low: 29674.00 - NZ Spread: 122.0 No key scheduled economic events Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM) - Session Open ATR: 424.60 - Volume: 41K - Open Int: 252K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -5.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 32282 - Mid: 29785 - Short: 27288 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone

ADBE - Reversal Strategy Long Setup 🍀Overview I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic. This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules. 🍀Process Ticker : NASDAQ:ADBE Date : 15/06/2026 Timeframe : Daily Direction : Long Strategy : Reversal Strategy Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot Signals Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5 Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 90.31, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5 Signal Scoring Main signal score = 0.5 Confirmation signal score = 0.5 Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0 Long score threshold: 1.0 The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order. Risk Management Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1 Entry: 206.36 (the close of the setup candle) Stop distance: 45.38 (approximately 4x daily ATR) Target distance: 181.53 (approximately 16x daily ATR) Order Management : Bracket order Limit entry: 206.36 Market stop: 160.98 Limit target: 387.89 Baseline Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached. 🍀Outcome Trade Execution 15/06/2026: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order. 16/06/2026: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled. Trade Status Trading: active P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next. Stay lucky!🍀

XAGUSD (Silver): Bearish Imbalance Mitigation & IDS 🥈 XAGUSD (Silver): Bearish Imbalance Mitigation & Institutional Distribution Setup Following an aggressive displacement phase that broke higher timeframe market structure (BOS), XAGUSD has engineered a corrective pullback into a high-confluence premium supply zone. Price is currently consolidating inside a tight intraday range just below local Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL), setting up an institutional short opportunity targeting lower liquidity pools. Institutional Market Structure (SMC) Breakdown Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG): The key mitigation block sits between $65.80 and $66.50, representing a clear 4H/Daily inefficiency left behind during the strong bearish impulse. Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) & Internal Range: Price has built a temporary consolidation range around $64.50. A brief liquidity grab above local SSL ($65.25) into the Bearish FVG would provide optimal institutional entry conditions. Market Structure Shift (MSS) / BOS Continuity: Higher timeframe structure remains decisively bearish following the breakdown below $63.20 (BOS). The current bounce is a corrective retracement to rebalance price before the next leg lower. Execution Plan Trade Type: Short / Sell Limit Setup Entry Zone: $65.80 – $66.20 (Mitigation inside Bearish FVG) Stop Loss (SL): $66.85 (Invalidation above FVG high) Take Profit (TP / Liquidity Target): $62.50 (Sell-Side Liquidity sweep) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~3.2 R Fundamental Drivers Monetary Policy Headwinds: Recent Federal Reserve policy firming and sticky inflation metrics have bolstered Treasury yields, putting sustained pressure on non-yielding precious metals. Industrial & Dollar Dynamics: Broad strength in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to cap upside rallies in silver, favoring short setups on technical retracements into premium supply. 💬 Which step of this process do you find most challenging to spot on live charts? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 Hit Like & Follow for more daily Price Action & SMC guides! Disclaimer: Educational technical analysis based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. Not financial advice. Apply strict risk management.

by PremiumTrader57

Financial Conduct Authority Targets Illegal Crypto Trading The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has launched an enforcement action against three premises suspected of illegal peer-to-peer crypto trading in the UK. This operation, conducted in collaboration with the HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) and the Metropolitan Police, targets unregistered traders who may facilitate financial crime. Such actions underscore the regulator’s commitment to combating illicit activities within the cryptocurrency sector, as detailed in their official announcement. The Key Development The FCA’s recent enforcement action marks a significant step in regulating the cryptocurrency landscape in the UK. The operation aimed at unregistered peer-to-peer crypto traders highlights concerns over the facilitation of financial crimes, including money laundering. By targeting these operations, the FCA seeks to enhance compliance and reduce avenues for criminal activities in the burgeoning crypto market. Quick Take FCA targets three premises suspected of illegal peer-to-peer crypto trading. The enforcement action is part of a joint operation with HMRC and the Metropolitan Police. Unregistered traders are viewed as risks for facilitating financial crime. The FCA emphasizes the importance of compliance for crypto businesses. This action reflects increasing scrutiny on the crypto sector in the UK. Market Pulse The global cryptocurrency landscape continues to grow, attracting new investors and fostering innovation. However, with this growth comes heightened regulatory scrutiny aimed at preventing financial crime. The FCA’s actions are emblematic of broader trends in regulatory oversight, as governments worldwide seek to ensure that crypto markets operate within legal frameworks designed to protect consumers and the financial system. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) oversees financial markets in the UK, ensuring compliance and protecting consumers from financial crime. Its jurisdiction extends to cryptocurrency activities, particularly as these markets grow and evolve. The FCA has increased its focus on unregistered trading operations to mitigate risks associated with illicit financial activities. Key Levels to Watch Traders should monitor regulatory developments closely, particularly in light of the FCA’s recent enforcement actions. As scrutiny increases, compliance will become paramount for crypto businesses operating in the UK. The market may see a shift as unregistered operators face greater risks, potentially leading to a more structured and compliant trading environment in the future.

DLXY — High Risk, High Reward DLXY experienced an extremely volatile trading session on 9/16, with a major momentum spike followed by aggressive profit-taking and a sharp selloff. Heading into 9/17, the cooldown could potentially create another short-term trading opportunity rather than necessarily signaling that the move is over. If DLXY stabilizes around support and buyers return with strong volume, the pullback may provide an attractive risk/reward setup for another momentum move. However, this remains a high-risk price-action trade. Confirmation of support, renewed volume, and a reversal in momentum would be important before considering an entry. See chart for potential entry zones, invalidation levels, and upside price targets.

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/17/2026 Session CME_MINI:NQZ2026 - PR High: 29369.25 - PR Low: 29247.75 - NZ Spread: 271.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM) - Session Open ATR: 421.66 - Volume: 50K - Open Int: 238K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -6.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 32282 - Mid: 29785 - Short: 27288 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone

EMICO ELICON ## Emico Elicon Ltd. (CMP ₹2,277.00, NSE: EMICOELICON) **The SmartWay Research Desk | 17 September 2026** A Rajkot‑based engineering company, incorporated in 1964. Emico Elicon Ltd. is engaged in manufacturing **industrial gears, gearboxes, material handling equipment, and precision engineering components**, catering to industries such as cement, steel, power, mining, and infrastructure. **Promoter Holding (Jun 2026):** **Patel Family & Associates — ~73.4% stake (no pledges)** --- ### FY22–FY26 Snapshot - **Revenue Growth:** FY26 revenue ₹1,142 Cr vs ₹982 Cr in FY25 (+16.3% YoY). → **Good** - **Net Profit:** FY26 PAT ₹142 Cr vs ₹118 Cr in FY25 (+20.3% YoY). → **Good** - **Operating Margin:** FY26 EBITDA ₹242 Cr, margin 21.2% vs 20.4% last year (+80 bps). → **Good** - **Equity Capital:** Stable, face value ₹10. → **Good** - **Dividend Policy:** Dividend ₹4.00/share declared for FY26. → **Good** - **Asset Building:** Investments in **gearbox technology upgrades and export expansion**. → **Good** - **Sales:** Strong demand from **cement, steel, and mining industries**. → **Good** - **Expense:** Raw material cost pressures (steel, alloys) remain. → **Neutral/Good** - **EPS:** FY26 EPS ₹28.25 vs ₹23.50 last year (+20.2%). → **Good** --- ### Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends (Jun 2026) - **Promoter Holding:** ~73.4% (no pledges) - **FII Holding:** ~2.8% - **DII Holding:** ~4.6% - **Retail & Others:** ~19.2% --- ### Strategic Moves & Innovations - Expansion in **precision gearboxes for heavy industries**. - Focus on **exports to Europe and Middle East markets**. - Partnerships with **OEMs for long‑term supply contracts**. - Diversification into **material handling and automation solutions**. --- ### Cash Flow & Balance Sheet Strength - Market cap ~₹2,800 Cr. - Debt‑to‑equity ratio ~0.32 (low leverage). - Book value per share ₹182.00; P/B ~12.5. - EPS (TTM) ₹28.25; P/E ~80.6. --- ### Risk Factors - Very high **P/E ratio ~80.6**, valuations extremely expensive. - Dependence on **industrial demand cycles (cement, steel, mining)**. - Exposure to **commodity price volatility (steel, alloys)**. - Competition from Elecon Engineering, Premium Transmission, and Flender India. --- ### Investor Takeaway Emico Elicon has delivered **robust FY26 performance**, supported by demand in cement, steel, and mining industries, alongside export expansion. With strong promoter backing (Patel Family, 73.4% stake), dividend payouts, and leadership in industrial gearboxes, Emico Elicon remains a **small‑mid cap engineering play**. At CMP ₹2,277.00, valuations are **extremely expensive (P/E ~80.6, P/B ~12.5)**, reflecting high growth expectations but also significant valuation risk.

by TechnicalAnalystSucrit

GILD - Reversal Strategy Long Setup 🍀Overview I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic. This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules. 🍀Process Ticker : NASDAQ:GILD Date : 11/06/2026 Timeframe : Daily Direction : Long Strategy : Reversal Strategy Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot Signals Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5 Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 100, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5 Signal Scoring Main signal score = 0.5 Confirmation signal score = 0.5 Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0 Long score threshold: 1.0 The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order. Risk Management Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1 Entry: 125.87 (the close of the setup candle) Stop distance: 14.00 (approximately 4x daily ATR) Target distance: 56.01 (approximately 16x daily ATR) Order Management : Bracket order Limit entry: 125.87 Market stop: 111.87 Limit target: 181.88 Baseline Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached. 🍀Outcome Trade Execution 11/06/2026: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order. 12/06/2026: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled. Trade Status Trading: active P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next. Stay lucky!🍀

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/16/2026 Session CME_MINI:NQZ2026 - PR High: 29289.25 - PR Low: 29251.25 - NZ Spread: 85.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM) 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision - FOMC Economic Projections - FOMC Statement 14:30 | FOMC Press Conference Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM) - Session Open ATR: 410.37 - Volume: 40K - Open Int: 208K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 32282 - Mid: 29785 - Short: 27288 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone

SHOP - Reversal Strategy Long Setup 🍀Overview I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic. This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules. 🍀Process Ticker : NASDAQ:SHOP Date : 11/03/2025 Timeframe : Daily Direction : Long Strategy : Reversal Strategy Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot Signals Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5 Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 92.04, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5 Signal Scoring Main signal score = 0.5 Confirmation signal score = 0.5 Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0 Long score threshold: 1.0 The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order. Risk Management Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1 Entry: 92.95 (the close of the setup candle) Stop distance: 26.39 (approximately 4x daily ATR) Target distance: 105.60 (approximately 16x daily ATR) Order Management : Bracket order Limit entry: 92.95 Market stop: 66.56 Limit target: 198.55 Baseline Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached. 🍀Outcome Trade Execution 11/03/2025: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order. 13/03/2025: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled. Trade Status Trading: active P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next. Stay lucky!🍀

Diamondback Energy Has Been Coiling Diamondback Energy has consolidated as crude oil rallies, and some traders may see potential for a breakout. The first pattern on today’s chart is the July 2024 high of $214.50. FANG broke the old peak last month before pulling back. Is another push coming? Second, the oil-and-gas driller made higher lows above its rising 50-day simple moving average after testing the old resistance. That could reflect bullish intermediate-term price action. Third, Bollinger Bandwidth has narrowed as the stock forms the tighter range. That volatility squeeze may create potential for prices to expand. Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has mostly stayed above the 21-day EMA since early July. That could be consistent with growing bullishness in the short term. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. Learn more here about TradingView’s Broker of the Year! Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.

by TradeStation

QCOM GEX - Above Call Wall @ 185 QCOM is extending its daily recovery after establishing a sequence of higher lows from the August low. At 187.71, price remains above 180—the start of the call cluster—and above the 185 C3 wall. The immediate test is now the strengthened 190 reaction zone, only 2.29 points above spot. The dominant 200 call wall remains the larger upside decision point. Until 200 is cleared and accepted, QCOM has not entered the positive extension zone. 🔶 Regime Context 🔶 Price remains well above the 162.5 HVL, maintaining a positive GEX regime. The positive net gamma concentration has strengthened while the major wall structure remains stable. The supplied daily GEX History snapshot shows all tracked horizons aligned in positive gamma. This describes a more dampened-vol backdrop, not a directional signal. The higher-low structure and hold above 180 provide momentum confirmation for now. 🔶 Immediate Reaction Zone 🔶 👉 190 – C2 + Ab1 Confluence at 190 — October 16 cumulative profile, 31 DTE: C2 — second-largest call wall Ab1 — largest absolute-gamma concentration The migration of Ab1 from 180 to 190 materially strengthens 190 as the immediate test. 🔶 Primary Call Wall 🔶 👉 200 – C1 Confluence at 200: C1 — highest call NETGEX COI / nCOI — strongest call open-interest concentration AbOI — highest absolute open interest CV / nCV — strongest cumulative call-volume concentration The standalone October 16 expiry also places its strongest call-volume strike at 200. 🔶 Support and Downside Structure 🔶 👉 180 – cTrans + PV : call-cluster boundary, strongest cumulative put-volume strike and first breakout support. Below 180, QCOM would return to the transition zone toward the 162.5 HVL. 👉 160 – P1 + POI : strongest put wall combined with the highest put open interest. 🔶 Key Structure to Watch 🔶 190 — C2 + Ab1 immediate reaction zone 200 — C1 and multi-metric confluence 180 — cTrans + PV breakout support For now, QCOM remains inside the call cluster with strengthening positive GEX concentration. The key question is whether price can accept above 190 and continue toward 200—or whether the new Ab1 concentration produces rejection.

Irregular Volume just like LSK has potential for an additional 64%($1.61)-225%($3.21) move to the upside. The largest single liquidation in the past 24 hours was $509,227 at 14:26:40 EST for a price of $1.004645. Volume would still need to massively increase for that final run up into a massive expansion and I would also look for the funding rate to shift from it's current positive state to be heavily in the negative. Without those conditions we will simply peter out and retrace to the downside if enough shorts can't be trapped.

by DrWaIIstreet