Wedge
EURUSD - Bullish Falling WedgeHello traders,
on Wednesday, April 29, EURUSD reached the support level (1.16672 – 1.16434).
The price then formed a falling wedge pattern,
and currently, the resistance line has been broken,
which signals a potential bullish reversal.
Based on this breakout, I expect a bullish move.
🎯 TARGET: 1.18345
Bearish Exhaustion indicator Time necklineA (bearish exhaustion indicator) descending wedge has formed on the neckline of Time with the measured move of 7.50 from 4.50. Bulls are holding ground and bears trying to short are being squeezed out. Still plenty of time to hop in on this big move up on time. For any bears thinking it’s a good time to short it may be a good idea to look at the bigger timeframes to see the whole picture. On the hour chart a beautiful double bottom has formed and the neckline has already been broken. Just need to hold and wait for the bulls to push to the target.
TLong
$QBTS - Falling Wedge Breakout: Fibonacci Confluence & RoadmapA falling wedge built over 8 months (August 2025 – April 2026), with strong historical support at the $13–15 zone tested multiple times. This month, QBTS broke out above $17.50 on the highest relative volume in months - confirming this as a genuine breakout, not a technical fakeout.
The confluence that makes this setup stand out:
The falling wedge measured move projects a target of $40.79. Fibonacci Retracement 0.786 (anchored from the October 25 high at $46.65 to the March 26 low at $14.79) gives $39.63. Two completely independent methods - less than $1.20 apart. That's not random. That's confluence.
Roadmap:
📌 $22.27 - Fib 0.236 (current price, holding above is crucial)
📌 $26.89 - Fib 0.382 (previous structural resistance, late 2025)
📌 $30.63 - Fib 0.5 (major psychological level)
📌 $34.35 - Fib 0.618
🎯 $39.63–$40.79 - Fib 0.786 + Measured Move confluence zone (final target)
Breakout zone: $17.50–$18.50 - now acting as support.
Invalidation: Daily close below $14.00
⚠️ Not financial advice.
GBPJPY: Confirmed Bullish Continuation 🇬🇧🇯🇵
A quick follow-up for my recent idea for GBPJPY.
As I predicted, the price successfuly violated a major daily
horizontal resistance cluster.
Retesting that, the price formed a symmetrical triangle pattern.
Its resistance was violated this morning.
It confirms a highly probable bullish continuation.
Goal - 216.8
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GOLD - Bearish Rising WedgeHello traders,
as discussed in the previous analysis ,
the gold price has reached the resistance level (4891.540 – 4849.860).
The price has formed a rising wedge pattern,
and currently, the support line is broken,
Based on this breakdown, I expect a downside continuation.
🎯 TARGET: 4408.000
MESM Apr 29: Still ranging, 7147 is the downside triggerMESM analysis for Wednesday, April 29
MESM is still trading inside a consolidation range between the previous all-time high at 7223 and the lower support around 7147. Until price breaks one side clearly, I’m treating this market as range-bound.
On the 4H chart, the key downside level for me is 7147. If we get a 4H candle close below that level, then I think price could continue lower toward 7076, which is also tied to the weekly fair value gap still in play.
On the 1H chart, the main upside liquidity I’m watching is 7188. There’s a good chance price may push into that level first before deciding whether it wants to break higher or reject back lower.
On the 15M chart, I want to be careful around 7188 because that level could create a reaction. At the same time, the overnight session already tapped 7147 and bounced, which tells me support is still being defended for now.
Key levels
7188 = upside reaction level
7147 = key 4H support
7076 = weekly fair value gap / downside target
7223 = range high / all-time high
So for today, my plan is:
Watch 7188 for a reaction on the upside
Watch 7147 as the key downside trigger
If 7147 breaks on the 4H, watch for continuation toward 7076
Not financial advice. No confirmation, no trade. CME_MINI:MESM2026
Is Retail Vs Whales Signaling A Dangerous Crypto Setup?The crypto market often looks strongest right before it turns. Prices rise, optimism spreads, and retail participation surges rapidly. Many investors see this as confirmation of a bullish trend. However, beneath the surface, a different story begins to unfold. The current whale vs retail dynamic suggests something unusual. Retail investors aggressively enter positions while large holders remain inactive. This imbalance does not happen randomly. It has historically appeared before major market corrections.
Market cycles reward those who understand behavior, not just price. Retail investor behavior often follows emotion, while whales act with strategy. When these two groups move in opposite directions, the signal becomes too strong to ignore. The latest crypto market divergence reflects this exact pattern. Retail demand increases sharply, yet whale activity declines. This setup has repeated across multiple Bitcoin cycles. Each time, it has led to significant downside moves.
Why Whale Vs Retail Dynamics Matter More Than Price
Price action alone does not reveal the full story. Market structure depends heavily on who drives the movement. Retail traders bring momentum, but whales bring sustainability. The whale vs retail relationship defines market strength. When whales accumulate, rallies tend to last longer. When retail dominates, volatility increases and reversals become likely.
Large holders control liquidity and direction. They do not chase trends. Instead, they position early and exit quietly. This behavior creates a crypto market divergence that signals potential weakness. Retail traders often interpret rising prices as confirmation. They enter late, expecting continuation. However, whales already prepare for the opposite outcome. This disconnect creates risk.
Retail Investor Behavior Is Driving The Current Rally
Retail investor behavior shows clear signs of aggressive buying. Social sentiment rises, leverage increases, and new participants enter quickly. These signals often appear near market peaks. Retail traders tend to follow trends rather than anticipate them. They react to price movements instead of analyzing underlying flows. This approach works during early rallies but fails during late-stage moves.
The current surge in retail participation reflects strong confidence. However, confidence alone does not sustain markets. Without whale support, rallies lose strength over time.
Are Retail Traders Becoming Exit Liquidity Again
The concept of exit liquidity defines many market tops. Whales distribute assets to late buyers. Retail unknowingly absorbs this supply. The current whale vs retail setup raises this concern again. Retail investors enter aggressively while whales reduce involvement. This behavior matches previous distribution phases.
Retail investor behavior often repeats across cycles. Fear drives selling during lows, while greed drives buying during highs. Whales exploit this pattern. This does not mean an immediate crash. Markets can stay irrational longer than expected. However, the risk increases significantly under these conditions.
Final Thoughts on Whale Vs Retail
Understanding the Bitcoin correction signal requires attention to key metrics. Whale accumulation data, exchange flows, and leverage ratios provide valuable insights. Traders should not rely solely on price trends. The underlying crypto market divergence tells a more accurate story. Ignoring it increases exposure to sudden reversals.
Risk management becomes critical during these phases. Position sizing, stop losses, and patience help navigate uncertainty. Emotional decisions often lead to losses. Retail investor behavior will likely remain aggressive. However, smart money already adjusts positioning. This difference defines the next move.
GOLD Bullish Wedge Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD compresses within a wedge structure before breaking out, indicating strong momentum shift. Liquidity sweep below trendline followed by bullish expansion suggests continuation toward higher targets. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Glenmark Pharma: Big Price expansion underway.Glenmark has spent months coiling inside a massive consolidation zone, perfectly illustrating a Hunt Volatility Funnel (HVF)
@TheCryptoSniper
Why Indian Investors are Getting Excited;
Sector Rotation: Money is moving back into defensive Pharma names as the broader market searches for stability.
Operating Leverage: Glenmark’s focus on complex generics and respiratory products in the US market is hitting an inflection point for margins.
Balance Sheet Cleanup: The recent divestment of Glenmark Life Sciences has significantly reduced debt, turning the company into a leaner, growth-focused machine.
The Game Plan:
Entry: Current levels around 2,240.
Support/Stop: Strong support now established at 1,998.
Primary Target: 2,367 (Target 2 - log).
Moonshot Target: 2,584 (Target 3 - log) as the expansion phase accelerates.
#Glenmark #PharmaStocks #NiftyPharma #BreakoutTrading #HVF #WealthCreation
Jain Resource Recycling: Breakout Alert! ♻️♻️♻️
Jain Resource has completed a significant period of "tightness," coiling just below the primary trendline for months.
We are now seeing the Pattern Trigger fire at 422.50, accompanied by the characteristic volume surge of a textbook Hunt Volatility Funnel (#HVF) setup.
@TheCryptoSniper
This looks like the start of a new expansion phase as the "squeeze" finally releases.
Why this is a "Conviction Trade" for the Indian Market:
Sustainability Play: With the government's heavy focus on the circular economy and recycling, Jain Resource is positioned in a "Sunrise Sector" with massive tailwinds.
Tight Float Dynamics: As an HVF setup, the supply of shares is limited. Once institutional buying kicks in, these stocks tend to move fast and far, catching many retail investors off guard.
Risk-Reward Clarity: The chart provides very clear "lines in the sand," making this a professional's setup with a well-defined exit if the pattern fails.
The Game Plan:
Entry (Pattern Trigger): 422.50.
Immediate Target (T1): 434.95.
Positional Target (T2): 483.35.
Moonshot Target (T3): 521.60.
Stop Loss (Pattern Fail): Below 392.25.
#JainResource #RecyclingSector #HVFBreakout #PennyStocksIndia #Multibagger #TradingIdeas
The Financial Disruptor $GROWWBillionbrains Garage Ventures (GROWW)—is showing a classic #HVF @TheCryptoSniper
The Setup: We are currently hugging the upper breakout trigger near ₹165.
A clean breakout above on high volume confirms the next leg up towards shown targets.
The Logic:
As India's retail participation hits new highs in 2026, the platforms owning the "investor gateway" are the ultimate beta plays.
#StockMarketIndia #NiftyIT #Groww #TechMahindra #PersistentSystems #HCLTech #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BreakoutStocks #Investing2026 #WealthProtection #AlphaHunting
GBPJPY: Bullish Wave is Coming! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY formed a strong bullish pattern on a daily time frame.
The price is currently testing a horizontal neckline of the ascending triangle
pattern.
Its breakout and a candle close above will provide a strong bullish signal.
Another bullish wave will be expected then.
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AMZN losing short term steam & needs pullback.After the most recent breakout and rally from AMZN; we’re now seeing it print a rising wedge.
I am particularly i treated in a short term downside move to fill two gaps below.
- first gap below is between 240-241.75
- second gap is between 233.60-235.20
Entry: I’m looking for a 4H candle close below the bottom trendline of the rising wedge.
Stop loss: close above the top of wedge.
TP1: $240
TP2: $235
TP3: past bottom of second wedge $233.60
I like the 5/8 $240 or $235 strike puts.
Play is invalid with a 4H close above the wedge forming another bullish breakout.
Happy trading.
EURNZD: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD may drop after the release of German economic data this morning.
I see a confirmed breakout of a support line of a rising wedge pattern
after a test of a key intraday/daily resistance.
Expect a retracement to 1.992
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EURNZD – Rejection Loading?EURNZD is retesting a strong confluence zone, the upper bound of the falling wedge aligning perfectly with the $2 round number.
This is where sellers usually step in.
As long as this intersection holds, the bias remains bearish and we will be looking for trend-following short setups.
Confluence + structure = high-probability area.
Will the bears defend this level again? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
TLRY - Cannabis is Waking Up Here's the RoadmapAfter a prolonged downtrend, the stock has been consolidating within a falling wedge structure, with a key decision zone clearly defined between $7.60 and $8.35. Yesterday we saw a breakout attempt accompanied by a significant volume surge **29.41M vs. a 30-day average of 3.78M, nearly 8x**. However, there is still no confirmed daily close above resistance.
As long as price holds above the zone, momentum supports the bullish scenario with Fibonacci resistance levels at $9.54 (0.236) and $12.14 (0.382). A daily close above $8.35 would strengthen the case for continuation, while a failure and close back below $8.00 would signal a return to consolidation or renewed bearish pressure.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
BB | BlackBerry Is About To Pop | LONGBlackBerry Ltd. engages in the provision of intelligent security software and services. It operates through the following segments: Cybersecurity, Internet of Things (IoT), and Licensing and Other. The Cybersecurity segment includes the brand Cylance, BlackBerry Spark, AtHoc, and SecuSUITE. The IoT segment focuses on software licenses, support, maintenance, and professional services. The Licensing and Other segment involves the intellectual property licensing arrangements and settlement awards. The company was founded by Michael Lazaridis, James Laurence Balsillie, and Douglas E. Fregin on March 7, 1984 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.
#HYPE Is Building a Massive Move –But first, a Painful Shakeout?
Yello Paradisers! Are you prepared for another classic rising wedge trap in #HYPE that could wipe out impatient traders before the real move even begins?
💎#HYPEUSDT is forming a rising wedge after a prolonged downtrend, and this is where things get interesting. Many traders see bullish continuation, but this structure is more complex and demands precision.
💎This is not just a standard rising wedge. It is a leading diagonal, typically signaling the early stage of a new impulsive structure. This suggests that even if the crypto market remains in a broader downtrend, a long-term reversal could already be quietly developing. It is showing clear relative strength against the broader market. Strong assets tend to lead when conditions shift, and #HYPE is positioning itself as a potential leading horse.
💎From an Elliott Wave perspective, wave 4 appears complete, and wave 5 is now forming. This wave is subdividing into three waves, with waves 1 and 2 already completed. The current move is likely wave 3, which should push the price toward the upper wedge boundary near $50, acting as minor resistance. The RSI indicator is showing divergence, which is an added confluence.
💎The key level to watch is the major resistance at $54. A clean break above this level would invalidate the short-term bearish bias and shift momentum toward bullish continuation.
On the downside, minor support sits at $32, while major support rests at $25 in case of an extended move.
💎Rising wedges often resolve with sharp downside moves. So while the long-term outlook for #HYPE remains bullish, this structure is likely a corrective phase that still offers short-term trading opportunities.
💎The bigger picture remains intact. This leading diagonal signals a developing long-term uptrend, but corrections are necessary. We will reassess after a pullback and look to shift fully bullish for the next major move.
Paradisers, strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴






















