OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Seasonality Advanced [Open]
[English]
Description
The Seasonality Advanced [Open] is a professional-grade Seasonality Analysis tool designed to project future price trends based on historical cyclical patterns. By releasing this script as Open-Source, traders and developers can study its underlying logic, particularly the array-based multi-cycle alignment and the statistical engine.
Unlike simple seasonal indicators that just average price, this script offers a statistical approach with a "Zero Gravity" (Joyplot-style) visualization mode and a real-time Data Dashboard.
Underlying Concepts & Methodology
The script calculates the seasonal tendency by averaging the price performance of the same day/week over a user-defined lookback period (e.g., 5, 10, or 15 years).
Data Alignment: It aligns historical data using arrays based on trading days or calendar days to create a coherent "Annual Cycle".
Smoothing: A Moving Average is applied to the raw seasonal data to filter out noise and reveal the true macro tendency.
Correlation Engine: It calculates the real-time Pearson correlation between the current price action and the projected seasonal line. This acts as a "Lie Detector"—if correlation is high, the seasonal pattern is currently valid.
Key Features
Multi-Cycle Analysis: Plot up to 3 different seasonal baselines simultaneously.
Zero Gravity View: Uses a dynamic separation algorithm to prevent lines from overlapping messily, making it easier to compare different cycles without cluttering the main price action.
Statistical Dashboard: A built-in table displays Avg Return, WinRate, Volatility Risk (Standard Deviation), and Correlation for each cycle.
How to Use
Projections: Use the lines extending into the future to anticipate potential turning points.
Filter: Watch the "Correlation" column in the table. Low or negative correlation means the current market is decoupling from history, so the seasonal signal should be ignored.
[English Translation of User Interface]
To comply with House Rules regarding non-English UI, here is the translation of the script's settings menu:
1. Cálculos Sazo 3 (Calculation Settings)
Dias de negociação = Trading Days (Fixed 252 or Variable)
Método de dias = Day Count Method (Min, Max, Avg)
Projeção Futura (Barras) = Future Projection (Bars)
Suavização (Média) = Smoothing (MA Length)
Deslocamento = Offset
2. Visualização e Layout (Visuals)
Empilhamento / Separação (%) = Stacking / Separation %
Distância Vertical = Vertical Distance
Distância da Etiqueta = Label Offset
3. Painel Estatístico (Statistics Panel)
Mostrar Tabela = Show Table
Mostrar Próximo Mês = Show Next Month
Mostrar Linha Méd/Alvo = Show Avg/Target Row
Texto Suave = Soft Text (Transparency)
Período Correlação = Correlation Period
Tema = Theme (Dark/Light)
Tamanho = Size
Posição = Position
4. Linha de Hoje (Today's Line)
Mostrar Linha = Show Vertical Line
Cor/Estilo/Espessura = Color/Style/Width
5. Linhas 1, 2, 3 (Seasonal Lines)
Ativar Linha = Enable Line
Período (anos) = Lookback Period (Years)
Cor/Estilo/Espessura = Color/Style/Width
[Português]
Descrição
O Seasonality Advanced agora é open-source! Esta é uma ferramenta completa de Sazonalidade que projeta tendências futuras baseadas em padrões históricos de 5, 10 ou 15 anos. Ele inclui um painel estatístico exclusivo que mostra a probabilidade de acerto (WinRate), risco e a correlação do ciclo atual com o passado.
Funcionalidades
Projeção Futura: Desenha o comportamento provável do preço para as próximas semanas.
Painel Estatístico: Mostra retorno médio, risco e correlação em tempo real.
Zero Gravity: Visualização empilhada para facilitar a leitura de múltiplos ciclos sem poluir o gráfico.
Description
The Seasonality Advanced [Open] is a professional-grade Seasonality Analysis tool designed to project future price trends based on historical cyclical patterns. By releasing this script as Open-Source, traders and developers can study its underlying logic, particularly the array-based multi-cycle alignment and the statistical engine.
Unlike simple seasonal indicators that just average price, this script offers a statistical approach with a "Zero Gravity" (Joyplot-style) visualization mode and a real-time Data Dashboard.
Underlying Concepts & Methodology
The script calculates the seasonal tendency by averaging the price performance of the same day/week over a user-defined lookback period (e.g., 5, 10, or 15 years).
Data Alignment: It aligns historical data using arrays based on trading days or calendar days to create a coherent "Annual Cycle".
Smoothing: A Moving Average is applied to the raw seasonal data to filter out noise and reveal the true macro tendency.
Correlation Engine: It calculates the real-time Pearson correlation between the current price action and the projected seasonal line. This acts as a "Lie Detector"—if correlation is high, the seasonal pattern is currently valid.
Key Features
Multi-Cycle Analysis: Plot up to 3 different seasonal baselines simultaneously.
Zero Gravity View: Uses a dynamic separation algorithm to prevent lines from overlapping messily, making it easier to compare different cycles without cluttering the main price action.
Statistical Dashboard: A built-in table displays Avg Return, WinRate, Volatility Risk (Standard Deviation), and Correlation for each cycle.
How to Use
Projections: Use the lines extending into the future to anticipate potential turning points.
Filter: Watch the "Correlation" column in the table. Low or negative correlation means the current market is decoupling from history, so the seasonal signal should be ignored.
[English Translation of User Interface]
To comply with House Rules regarding non-English UI, here is the translation of the script's settings menu:
1. Cálculos Sazo 3 (Calculation Settings)
Dias de negociação = Trading Days (Fixed 252 or Variable)
Método de dias = Day Count Method (Min, Max, Avg)
Projeção Futura (Barras) = Future Projection (Bars)
Suavização (Média) = Smoothing (MA Length)
Deslocamento = Offset
2. Visualização e Layout (Visuals)
Empilhamento / Separação (%) = Stacking / Separation %
Distância Vertical = Vertical Distance
Distância da Etiqueta = Label Offset
3. Painel Estatístico (Statistics Panel)
Mostrar Tabela = Show Table
Mostrar Próximo Mês = Show Next Month
Mostrar Linha Méd/Alvo = Show Avg/Target Row
Texto Suave = Soft Text (Transparency)
Período Correlação = Correlation Period
Tema = Theme (Dark/Light)
Tamanho = Size
Posição = Position
4. Linha de Hoje (Today's Line)
Mostrar Linha = Show Vertical Line
Cor/Estilo/Espessura = Color/Style/Width
5. Linhas 1, 2, 3 (Seasonal Lines)
Ativar Linha = Enable Line
Período (anos) = Lookback Period (Years)
Cor/Estilo/Espessura = Color/Style/Width
[Português]
Descrição
O Seasonality Advanced agora é open-source! Esta é uma ferramenta completa de Sazonalidade que projeta tendências futuras baseadas em padrões históricos de 5, 10 ou 15 anos. Ele inclui um painel estatístico exclusivo que mostra a probabilidade de acerto (WinRate), risco e a correlação do ciclo atual com o passado.
Funcionalidades
Projeção Futura: Desenha o comportamento provável do preço para as próximas semanas.
Painel Estatístico: Mostra retorno médio, risco e correlação em tempo real.
Zero Gravity: Visualização empilhada para facilitar a leitura de múltiplos ciclos sem poluir o gráfico.
Skrip open-source
Dengan semangat TradingView yang sesungguhnya, pembuat skrip ini telah menjadikannya sebagai sumber terbuka, sehingga para trader dapat meninjau dan memverifikasi fungsinya. Salut untuk penulisnya! Meskipun Anda dapat menggunakannya secara gratis, perlu diingat bahwa penerbitan ulang kode ini tunduk pada Tata Tertib kami.
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.
Skrip open-source
Dengan semangat TradingView yang sesungguhnya, pembuat skrip ini telah menjadikannya sebagai sumber terbuka, sehingga para trader dapat meninjau dan memverifikasi fungsinya. Salut untuk penulisnya! Meskipun Anda dapat menggunakannya secara gratis, perlu diingat bahwa penerbitan ulang kode ini tunduk pada Tata Tertib kami.
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.