Summary
CHFJPY short is supported by weak macro + divergence + seasonal timing.
CHF is fundamentally the weakest major, while JPY is seasonally strong and technically aligned.
🧠 Fundamental & Seasonal Overview
CHFJPY presents a high-probability short opportunity for the second half of April:
CHF Fundamentals = Weakest among majors
↳ SNB recently cut rates to 0.25%, CPI down to 0.3%, GDP slowing
↳ Exo+LEI Score ≈ -1143 — highly bearish
JPY Fundamentals Improving
↳ BoJ cautiously hawkish (wage growth + inflation rising)
↳ Seasonality favors JPY mid-late April
COT: CHF near top → risk of unwind; JPY also elevated, but justified by fundamentals
📉 Seasonality
CHFJPY is historically bearish from April 15–30
CHF flat to weak, while JPY typically strengthens in risk-off flows and Q2
CHFJPY short is supported by weak macro + divergence + seasonal timing.
CHF is fundamentally the weakest major, while JPY is seasonally strong and technically aligned.
🧠 Fundamental & Seasonal Overview
CHFJPY presents a high-probability short opportunity for the second half of April:
CHF Fundamentals = Weakest among majors
↳ SNB recently cut rates to 0.25%, CPI down to 0.3%, GDP slowing
↳ Exo+LEI Score ≈ -1143 — highly bearish
JPY Fundamentals Improving
↳ BoJ cautiously hawkish (wage growth + inflation rising)
↳ Seasonality favors JPY mid-late April
COT: CHF near top → risk of unwind; JPY also elevated, but justified by fundamentals
📉 Seasonality
CHFJPY is historically bearish from April 15–30
CHF flat to weak, while JPY typically strengthens in risk-off flows and Q2
עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם מיועדים להיות, ואינם מהווים, ייעוץ או המלצה פיננסית, השקעתית, מסחרית או מכל סוג אחר המסופקת או מאושרת על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד ב־תנאי השימוש.
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם מיועדים להיות, ואינם מהווים, ייעוץ או המלצה פיננסית, השקעתית, מסחרית או מכל סוג אחר המסופקת או מאושרת על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד ב־תנאי השימוש.