Trade Plan for EURNZD

108
Quick Technical Breakdown:

Current price: ~1.9503
Price has been in a clear downtrend since the peak around 2.04–2.05 area.

The blue descending trendline is acting as dynamic resistance.
Recent sharp sell-off took it down to the low 1.94s, then a small bounce.

There's a highlighted zone around 1.95–1.96 with a measured move / projection box pointing lower.
The 1.99 SMA is well above price, confirming the bearish structure.

My Take on the Setup:
The pair looks bearish overall. The RBNZ’s recent hawkish tilt (higher rates for longer due to oil/inflation) is supporting the NZD, while Europe is dealing with its own energy/inflation headache.
Potential Trade Plans for EUR/NZD:

1. Short Bias (Trend Following)
Entry: Look to scale shorts around the 1.9600 handle (previous support now resistance) up toward 1.9650, or on failure at the blue descending trendline.
Target 1: 1.9400
Target 2: 1.9265
Stop Loss: Above 1.9722 (recent swing high + buffer)

Risk Note: Friday’s US Non-Farm Payrolls could cause a big USD move, which often spills over into EUR and NZD crosses. Keep position size small heading into that.

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