חוזים עתידיים נאסד"ק 100 E-mini
מעודכן

NQ Targets (09-11-26)

1 424
NAZ is in mid CZ, under the Orange TL and looking south. The Orange TL started in October, 2022. The NAZ has rotated above/below the TL, we may see a rotation below that heads over to the yellow target. Any support on a drop, look for a bounce to upper CZ/white target. The targets line up on 10/15, will leave this open until then. Wish I had more/better guidance, play the moves inside CZ until breakout. These have been providing some decent intraday point opportunities (until we get a runner).
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The O/N drop hit/bounced off lower channel bottom of 30M chart. The arrows will show the H/M/L of that one, add to your targets/BO KL's.
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Back after the Open Drive. Shaded Zone below is KL or zone to watch, Long above and Short below. Look for up/down between Diablo & SZ below until a BO. NAZ will have to get/stay above Diablo.
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Diablo hit/rejection for now. This will keep poling at it until it gets through or 100% rejected.
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Not there just yet for Strong Long.
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Would look at 521 as next KL or Hurdle, no pass look Short.
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1st hour done, I am heading out for a bit. Just notice how we can move up in the Pre Market O/N Session and see very little during the Reg. Usually a set up for a drop or just more CZ Propping up.
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Getting a Short signal here, may see pop attempt to stall to Short or Friday Magic lift. Move coming.
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29,455 is CoilSpringing, getting ready for a move. The previous sideways move since Open will produce a move if we stop going sideways to every O/N Session in the Reg.
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Watch Ticks and price, best gauge. Head fakes near KL's is the enemy.
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Lower indicator and Ticks, all three drop and stay lower would be a good confirmation of Short. No drop and Long above recent High is Long clue.
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480, Spring getting ready to release.
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Spring is lower or upper move, do not take the word literally.
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All indicators are looking Long except the Ticks are going Negative. Tricky one.
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Back later, 480 - 410 is range here, may see up/down until the real move comes out of range.
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What makes our jobs difficult is how the Overnight and Off Reg Sessions moves just redirect everything. It almost dose not matter what happens in the Reg when you have the potential counter play just around the corner. The O/N is still The BOSS.
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Today could be just a head fake dead cat bounce for all we know.
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Needs to get moving.
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Once again, no new territory (hold) above O/N high. Just trade trade the O/N and short high stalls in the Reg.
Back to Diablo.
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9/14 Update, First thanks for the many supportive comments from many of you. Now we see the Coil Spring move play out (mentioned on Friday). They do it when? after they lock in the laggard Longs, release (spring) in the O/N (after the trap). Chart below is range (820 - 920) to watch and BO, 765 is lower KL for a retest. Mentioned that the Bottom felt like it was giving way. last Thursday. 820 lift will try 920 here at 5:30 am CT.
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Back after Open Drive.
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The majority of force/move was the 600 point drop that was from the Gap Open Low. I would not be surprised if you just go sideways to lower with more games in the next O/N Session.
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This is a fake move or FA Pop and will drop back to retest original base.
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1st hour and looking like sideways to lower inside the range.
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Mid CZ Diablo Short at rejection.
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Looks like we have a Gap Fill day ( or close to it) on a Monday with another Dead Cat Bounce, we may get 7 more of these (why not). When the NAZ goes, it all goes so expect a serious struggle lower (if at all).
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The circle price action we have seen before. When these show up it is like a Flip in direction and these do usually get a retest.
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May not be today, but at some point (when you are asleep), the games/tricks will show up and just watch the push/pull PA before you go Short. Not Scalp Shorts, those are fine, talking Heavy Duty Strong Shorting. No P/P, this is going back up.
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Many of you have seen me talk about the 85% Rule, here you go.
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Rejection at 306 or ML CZ, I still like KL 765 for a hit.
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New Contract, I am sure this will skew things to the Long side:
This is before
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This is after, notice the KL's and such are off, adjust a bit.
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9/15 Update, Moving into Fed Day slow moves and narrow PA. The NQ contract change will mess up TL's and such. For now this may be the range to watch. O/N did sell the 85% and target hit from yesterday. This all may be 1 big Mop Up of Longs prior to a BO Drop. Hard to tell, keep scalping the CZ and watch every move.
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Worldwide ChurnMO. 225, DAX and NQ going nowhere for months.
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O/R, under 450 should retest 340, back later.
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Spike cleanout above 450 and back under. I have noticed that near KL's add 30-50 for the Cleanout, after they usually will then play out. PA is pretty sketchy, waiting on the Push/Pull to show up and that may not be until Thursday.
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Stay with range for BO, weak.
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NAZ stuck, trying to get those to Buy in or sellout of their bearish feelings, brilliant.
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Mop Up and drop
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Long set up back to the Range, I will pass but may work (may be a head fake trick), good luck you BTD/FOMO's.
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240 may be best entry on hold if you go Long, or just above.
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240 Pop or Hook Short here
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Coin Toss here
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Now watch 230 ish if you are a BTD/FOMO.
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This should go back in the range above in the Safe Zone O/N Rig Time.
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9/16 Update, O/N Rig Team delivers, again. Back to mid range of 340-450 (The cat is away the mice will play). I typically do not trade on Fed Day, will update if I see something. Go Fed, BTD/FOMO Forever, where is the Tweet Machine, been quiet.
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If you took the Long near 240 watch the unload near Open or Dump after the Pump, may happen (usually does). Beyond that, this chart may be a good range for the BO/next move. NAZ just struggles to get lower (going on for years), the O/N consistent redirects (after most Reg Session drops) is clearly part of the support (going on for 3-4 years). The concern would be with 1,2,3 or more issues (war, inflation, politics, interest rate, etc.) low volume rig tricks or word salad games (long only product managers, Wash Street) will not be able to sustain this obvious weak support or session games. This time of year and NAZ price level are pivotal for a perfect major drop test should a break lower (with force) show up. That would set up a decent (true) Long trade, think we need the drop 1st. It seems like the industry (and Gov't) is deathly afraid that if that happens it may not come back? Reason for the obvious games mentioned above.
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NAZ gets to near KL 453, drops back some as we may start to see the Dump of the O/N KL 240 Pump. 440-340 is range now to watch.
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Watch this level for some pull back and drop testing the fake rig lift from the O/N.
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IDS View
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Back later, now we should see the NAZ pecking and poking at the TL and trying to get through.
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Notice the majority of points and origin, O/N with 159 vs Reg with 100. The Reg usually does not hold gains above the O/N High, something to look for/at today.
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Reaction here is Key today.
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BO Range now is 535-480
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TZ or POP, Turn Zone
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535 is rejecting
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Retesting O/N High
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Back below O/N High, see how the O/N is used to prop things up. When this stops working, The Abysss.
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Now we are testing lower
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Lower KL Hit, I would watch that as a Bottom for now with potential retest for next day or O/N Session.
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White arrow zone was rejected and Yellow was hit and current bounce, still range bound.
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Noted earlier: "NAZ will usually hold most O/H highs" watch that going forward as they will redirect every Reg drop and we have 7 more Dead Cat Lives to deal with.
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9/17 Update, Not surprised at all. They just used another Cat Life on this one. O/N doing its thing with the redirect, range will be the upper/lower KL's and the 29,400 - 29,300 area will be mid retest zone. Do Not be surprised if this goes all the back up to Top CZ or 30,100 should NAZ stay above the Diablo (now above after getting some O/N magic dust). Bad news is good news will be the flavor on the lift, reverse this direction then we go to bad news is bad news.
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600 is likely PB
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600-800 is range at Open.
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Slight Dump may bounce near 600
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600 hit under will drop, above back up
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680 pop or hook short
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You can see that the O/N high is hard to get above in the Reg, This is what to watch now.
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Back later, all O/N once again and not much in the Reg. We have a weekend coming up so may see some more upside with F-M Long Rig should this pull back.
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So 100k in NQ contracts (pre Reg Session) jack it up, then nothing. May be a bit sketchy or bait. Many of you have seen me go Big Short early (1-2 days), I am getting that feeling. If like prior, this will drop back down once the strange lift (all O/N and zero Reg) is over. If you are not trading Futures (like us), where to you get your movement? Watch the final 10 minutes today and tonight's O/N session before you go short.
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800-600 is still range and has not changed since Open Drive.
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9/18 Update, We see it again, the O/N will lift after the prior Reg did nothing but sideways. Prior 2 day lift is all Off Session games.
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Anyway, what they are trying for is the upper arrow by way of the F-M Long Play combined with the Sunday O/N Open Gap Up. This would flow through Monday and we should see drop back lower on Tuesday. Mentioned yesterday to not get Short until after current O/N and this Friday. Should this sequence not play out or seriously stall out, look Short to Yellow Circle target for a retest.
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Back later, would be surprised if NAZ gets and stays above O/N High or 30K.
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745 is KL here.
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Typical P/D, the big short idea was accurate but early yesterday, as usual.
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העסקה בוטלה באופן ידני
Back to KL 745. Will close this post as they will not let it drop. Just watch the FA Lift later and Gap Up on Sunday.
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Careful here should MACD Hist not come up, these air pockets have been collapsing. The typical Friday FA Pop will not care and take it higher should it show up.
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Here is FA Spike, you can bet that we get a Gap Up Open on Sunday.
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Have a great Weekend, lest see if we get a Gap Open near my circle above.
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9/21 Update, As usual with the use of off session lifting to prop things up. Just notice the prior 8 day "struggle to get lower" run that gets fixed with a few O/N moves. We need to see what the Monday or Tuesday Reg Session does from here. As of now the O/N is still The BOSS. If you think we are going to retest ATH (31,300), you are in perfect line for the Pro's set up for next move which is SHIORT. I have not called the Short since Diablo break, held off this time and waiting.
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Under 280 may see some PB Scalp Shorts prior to Open. These are Scalps until the P/D Test is over.
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No new Post today, will hold off until tomorrow. Just interesting to see how much longer they keep the NYSE open since most PA happens at CME & CBOE. All O/N into the 2nd half of F-M Long Play. Once again, why the Rig here? If you scalped just watch 200 bounce.
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Current view of the CZ since May, circle is TZ (Turn Zone). If not, back to ATH during off Reg Sessions.
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30,280 - 200 range scalps into the Open Drive, let's see if the Reg will lift above the O/N High
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360 is KL look for drop test back to 280 under 360
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Top of TZ now, KL here.
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1,500 points in 2 plus sessions, much from O/N. We may see some PB near TZ at that pace.
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Here look for KL 540 rotation around as we move into the Dead Zone.
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Under 540 should retest 450 on 1st drop test. Back later.
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Short under 720 for PB.
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Back to 540 at rejection, this may be max lift.
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IDS25, AP and divergence on the lift, usually these snap back. F-M Long Play is complete.
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May not be until Tuesday Reg and after the O/N lift.
Kind of what I expected, do not be early on this one.
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Good news is that we had a good move in the Reg, the arrow above is a channel (upper) as next Max target. Manny times we will see a lift go back up with ease (including 1 or so Reg Moves). After the stall, it come back down. This is the PA inside the CZ, normal.
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High to near 540 is the range, back tomorrow.
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