At first glance, SUI looks like a strong bullish continuation play. The market structure is technically Bullish (making higher highs), and price is trading above the key moving averages.
However, the Cantillon Suite is flashing two major internal warning signs that suggest this rally is being sold into by institutions ("Distribution").
Here is the data breakdown:
Structure: BULLISH (Price > AVWAP)
Swing Delta: NEG (Negative)
This is a massive divergence. While price is pushing up, the net volume delta is Negative. This means that for every aggressive buyer pushing price up, there is an even more aggressive seller absorbing that liquidity. Institutions are selling into this strength, leaving retail traders holding the bag at the highs.
The Bullish Defense Line (AVWAP)
Despite the bearish flow, the uptrend is technically intact as long as price holds the Purple Anchored VWAP (currently near $1.70 - $1.72).
The Setup: We are watching for a retest of this Purple Line.
The Risk: If price loses the Purple Line while Delta remains Negative, the "Bull Trap" confirms, and we likely flush lower to clear late longs.
Conclusion
Don't be blinded by the "Green Structure" label. The internal order flow (Negative Delta) suggests this current leg up is weak.
Conservative Play: Wait for Delta to flip POS or for price to successfully test the Purple AVWAP before looking for longs.
Aggressive Play: The recent Strong Sell signal offers a short entry targeting a mean reversion to the Purple Line.
However, the Cantillon Suite is flashing two major internal warning signs that suggest this rally is being sold into by institutions ("Distribution").
Here is the data breakdown:
Structure: BULLISH (Price > AVWAP)
Swing Delta: NEG (Negative)
This is a massive divergence. While price is pushing up, the net volume delta is Negative. This means that for every aggressive buyer pushing price up, there is an even more aggressive seller absorbing that liquidity. Institutions are selling into this strength, leaving retail traders holding the bag at the highs.
The Bullish Defense Line (AVWAP)
Despite the bearish flow, the uptrend is technically intact as long as price holds the Purple Anchored VWAP (currently near $1.70 - $1.72).
The Setup: We are watching for a retest of this Purple Line.
The Risk: If price loses the Purple Line while Delta remains Negative, the "Bull Trap" confirms, and we likely flush lower to clear late longs.
Conclusion
Don't be blinded by the "Green Structure" label. The internal order flow (Negative Delta) suggests this current leg up is weak.
Conservative Play: Wait for Delta to flip POS or for price to successfully test the Purple AVWAP before looking for longs.
Aggressive Play: The recent Strong Sell signal offers a short entry targeting a mean reversion to the Purple Line.
Daily top picks analysis → free & paid tiers
Custom Institutional volume terminal included with paid sub
thecantillonreport.substack.com/?utm_source=tradingview
cantillonresearch.com/
youtube.com/@cantillonresearch
Custom Institutional volume terminal included with paid sub
thecantillonreport.substack.com/?utm_source=tradingview
cantillonresearch.com/
youtube.com/@cantillonresearch
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם מיועדים להיות, ואינם מהווים, ייעוץ או המלצה פיננסית, השקעתית, מסחרית או מכל סוג אחר המסופקת או מאושרת על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד ב־תנאי השימוש.
Daily top picks analysis → free & paid tiers
Custom Institutional volume terminal included with paid sub
thecantillonreport.substack.com/?utm_source=tradingview
cantillonresearch.com/
youtube.com/@cantillonresearch
Custom Institutional volume terminal included with paid sub
thecantillonreport.substack.com/?utm_source=tradingview
cantillonresearch.com/
youtube.com/@cantillonresearch
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם מיועדים להיות, ואינם מהווים, ייעוץ או המלצה פיננסית, השקעתית, מסחרית או מכל סוג אחר המסופקת או מאושרת על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד ב־תנאי השימוש.