USDJPY Key long-term pivot.

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The USDJPY has been on a parabolic rise since March 08 with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting the whole move. In fact the most recent rally came on the May 30 1D MA50 rebound. The overall long-term pattern is a Fibonacci Channel but the most important level to consider next is the 135.100 Resistance which is the January 2002 High. Indeed that is a 20 year old Resistance level but macro-wise, the market psychology is very tied to such levels.

A rejection there, should make the pair turn sideways long-term in the same manner as April - September 2021. A 1D candle close above it though, should see us test the next Fibonacci extensions in line, the 3.5 and 4.0 ext. The 1D MACD is on a Bullish Cross and that technically favors the bullish trend, at least on the short-term.



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