📊 Trade Plan:
🔻 Entry: 80.90
🛑 Stop Loss: 84.90 (above 0.618 Fib)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 78.00 (above 0.382 Fib)
🎯 Take Profit 2: 74.30 (above 0.236 Fib)
📉 Technical Picture (H4 & Daily):
Fibonacci 0.5: Price spiked into the 0.5 Fib retracement. This is a key reversal zone.
300 EMA: Aligns with the 0.5 Fib. Confluence resistance — expecting rejection.
Unfilled Gap: Price is testing the gap open level. Gaps tend to close — this one hasn't. Magnet for price.
🗞️ Fundamental Note:
Oil spiked ~10% — Brent saw its sharpest rise since March 2020, hitting $83.30. US-Iran strikes, Hormuz closure, US blockade + 20% toll. Deutsche Bank: stagflation fears back. But geopolitical spikes tend to fade when the news is priced. Fib + EMA + gap is the technical ceiling until confirmed otherwise.
❌ Invalidation:
A daily close above 84.90 clears the Fib/EMA confluence and voids the short setup.
🔻 Entry: 80.90
🛑 Stop Loss: 84.90 (above 0.618 Fib)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 78.00 (above 0.382 Fib)
🎯 Take Profit 2: 74.30 (above 0.236 Fib)
📉 Technical Picture (H4 & Daily):
Fibonacci 0.5: Price spiked into the 0.5 Fib retracement. This is a key reversal zone.
300 EMA: Aligns with the 0.5 Fib. Confluence resistance — expecting rejection.
Unfilled Gap: Price is testing the gap open level. Gaps tend to close — this one hasn't. Magnet for price.
🗞️ Fundamental Note:
Oil spiked ~10% — Brent saw its sharpest rise since March 2020, hitting $83.30. US-Iran strikes, Hormuz closure, US blockade + 20% toll. Deutsche Bank: stagflation fears back. But geopolitical spikes tend to fade when the news is priced. Fib + EMA + gap is the technical ceiling until confirmed otherwise.
❌ Invalidation:
A daily close above 84.90 clears the Fib/EMA confluence and voids the short setup.
עסקה פעילה
Retracement played out perfectly. First target done.
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כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם מיועדים להיות, ואינם מהווים, ייעוץ או המלצה פיננסית, השקעתית, מסחרית או מכל סוג אחר המסופקת או מאושרת על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד ב־תנאי השימוש.
📊 Follow for daily Market Summary, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
👉 t.me/elibrianalytics
👉 t.me/elibrianalytics
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם מיועדים להיות, ואינם מהווים, ייעוץ או המלצה פיננסית, השקעתית, מסחרית או מכל סוג אחר המסופקת או מאושרת על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד ב־תנאי השימוש.