$QQQ — All-Time High Test Arrives as Expected, Momentum CoolingAs flagged — an all-time high test was expected. Here it is. NASDAQ:QQQ closed 747.46, up 0.81%, with a high of 748.35, within 30 cents of the 748.65 all-time high.
Tomorrow, 748-750 is the area to watch closely.
One thing on today's bar: range came in at 74% of ATR against 151% yesterday, and volume eased to 39.68M from 46.63M. Still above average, but cooling.
Second day up, smaller range, less volume, straight into the biggest resistance on the chart. Judge 748-750 by the volume that shows up there, not the touch.
Levels
Below: 740.93, then 733-735, then 724.20.
NASDAQ:QQQ 
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XAUUSD — A+ SMT Model | Liquidity & FVG Framework.
A structured XAUUSD bullish setup based on liquidity sweep, SMT divergence, market structure shift, displacement, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) confirmation. The model focuses on waiting for clear price-action confirmation before considering execution, with defined risk and invalidation.
This analysis presents a structured A+ SMT model for XAUUSD, combining liquidity concepts, market structure, displacement, and Fair Value Gap analysis to identify a potential bullish continuation scenario.
The setup begins with a sell-side liquidity sweep, where price trades below a previous low and collects available liquidity. Following the sweep, an SMT divergence provides additional confirmation that momentum may be shifting.
Price then produces a clear bullish displacement, indicating stronger buying pressure and a potential market structure shift (MSS). The displacement creates an identifiable Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is marked as a potential area of interest for a retracement.
The analysis also considers the surrounding order-flow zone. If price respects this area and maintains bullish structure, continuation toward higher liquidity and previous structural highs becomes a potential scenario.
Model Sequence
Liquidity Sweep → SMT Divergence → Market Structure Shift → Bullish Displacement → FVG → Retest → Continuation
The key principle is confirmation over anticipation. An SMT signal alone should not be treated as an entry trigger. Market structure, displacement, liquidity behavior, and the reaction from the FVG should be evaluated together.
Risk Management
Every trade should have a clearly defined invalidation level, controlled position size, and predetermined risk. Market conditions can change rapidly, particularly on XAUUSD, so the setup should be reassessed if the underlying structure becomes invalid.
Educational market analysis only. No setup guarantees a specific outcome. Education 
Bitcoin: Parabolic Acceleration or Building a Base?Hello traders! 🌴☀️
Timing is everything)
Yesterday at 01:15 NY time, just two hours before Bitcoin exploded from $81K to $87,397, I published a post warning you that the technical picture was looking very bullish 🦬🚀
“Yes, we have not reached the projected target of $82.5K yet, but we have already printed a local high at $81,087, established a new trading range above $80K, reacted strongly from the newly formed ascending trendline, and continue to pressure the $82K level from below.
All of these technical factors strengthen the bullish scenario today.”
I also outlined the main bullish scenario:
“If Bitcoin holds the $80K and $81K levels today until the US session opens, I expect the upward move to continue toward the projected target of $82.5K and potentially further toward $84K.”
Both targets — $82.5K ✅ and $84K ✅ — have now been reached, in line with the bullish scenario outlined in my recent posts.
Congratulations to the bulls on this move. The $80K level certainly put up a serious fight ✊🏼🦬🏋🏽
What’s happening on the chart right now?
The $82.5K and $84K levels were taken out without much hesitation, and the first meaningful resistance has appeared only now, around $86.5K.
Similar to yesterday’s compression below $82.5K, Bitcoin is now pressing against $86.5K from below.
🦬🚀 Bullish Scenario.
If this compression continues until the US session opens, we could see another attack on $86.5K today.
If Bitcoin breaks and holds above this level, the path toward $90K looks relatively open.
Between $86.5K and $90K, I currently don’t see any major technical levels that could significantly slow the move.
However, it is very important to understand that such a parabolic move is not technically healthy and is extremely difficult to predict
From a technical perspective, I would actually prefer to see either a small correction toward $84K, into the ascending trendline (green circle on the chart), or several days of consolidation around current levels.
That would create a stronger technical foundation, and the next leg higher would look much healthier.
But that’s what I would like to see — the chart itself is currently showing a parabolic move that may still be in its early stages.
🐻🪓 Bearish Scenario.
For the bears to take back the initiative, Bitcoin would first need to lose the local ascending trendline around $84K.
That alone would not be a critical signal.
We would then need to see a consecutive breakdown of the $82.5K and $80K horizontal levels.
The latter will likely be particularly difficult, considering how long $80K acted as resistance and how hard the bulls fought to establish acceptance above it.
Only a breakdown and sustained move back below $80K would signal a potential return to the previous $76K–$80K trading range, with the lower boundary around $76K becoming the next major area of interest.
Peace 🌄
⚠️ Disclaimer:
All information shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice. The author is not responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage your risk and make decisions independently. 
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XAUUSD — Wave 5 Lower Toward 4,280
From Kelly’s view, gold is still trading inside a broader bearish structure. Price is currently around 4,352, while the recent rebound remains below the previous lower-high area near 4,380–4,395.
The key idea is simple: the current move may be completing a corrective Wave (4) around resistance, while the main structure still favors another bearish leg toward 4,320, 4,305, and potentially the 4,280 Wave (5) target zone.
⟡ Market structure
Gold continues to show a sequence of lower highs after failing around the 4,390 area.
The immediate resistance zone sits around 4,340–4,350, where the chart marks the projected Wave (4) sell zone. Price is currently testing this area, so the next reaction becomes important.
If sellers defend this zone and price breaks back below 4,320, bearish momentum could strengthen.
The 4,305 level is the next structural support. A confirmed breakdown below this level may expose the 4,278–4,288 area, where the projected Wave (5) completion and Fibonacci extension overlap.
➤ Key levels
◌ Current price area: 4,350–4,355
◌ Main sell zone: 4,340–4,350
◌ Strong resistance: 4,380–4,395
◌ First support: 4,318–4,325
◌ Strong support: 4,305
◌ First target: 4,320
◌ Second target: 4,305
◌ Main target: 4,278–4,288
◌ Invalidation: Above 4,395
⌁ Elliott Wave view
Wave (1): The first bearish impulse started from the recent local high and pushed price lower.
Wave (2): Gold produced a corrective rebound before sellers returned.
Wave (3): The next bearish leg extended toward the 4,320 area.
Wave (4): Price is now attempting another corrective recovery toward the 4,340–4,350 resistance zone.
Wave (5): If sellers reject this area, the final bearish leg could extend below 4,305 toward the 4,278–4,288 completion zone.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred bearish scenario
Entry: 4,340–4,350 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,395
Take Profit 1: 4,320
Take Profit 2: 4,305
Take Profit 3: 4,278–4,288
The cleaner plan is to wait for rejection around the projected Wave (4) resistance area. A break below 4,320, followed by loss of 4,305, would strengthen the continuation toward the Wave (5) target.
Alternative scenario:
If gold breaks above 4,350 and holds with strong bullish momentum, price could retest 4,380–4,395 before the broader bearish structure is reassessed.
◌ Invalidation
The bearish scenario would weaken if price gains sustained acceptance above 4,380, while a confirmed break above 4,395 would invalidate the preferred Wave (5) continuation setup.
⌁ Kelly’s view
Kelly’s main view remains bearish while gold stays below 4,380–4,395.
The current rebound looks more like a corrective Wave (4) than a confirmed trend reversal. If sellers defend 4,340–4,350, the next downside sequence may target 4,320, then 4,305, before the larger 4,278–4,288 Wave (5) zone comes into focus.
Do you think sellers will defend the Wave (4) zone, or will gold retest 4,390 first? Short 
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