ECB Rate Decision: 25bp Hike Priced In – Watch the Guidance! 🚨The market is anticipating a 25 basis point hike from the European Central Bank this Thursday, bringing the deposit rate to 2.50%. Because this move is widely expected, the 25bp hike itself is already priced in. The real market mover will be Christine Lagarde’s forward guidance during the press conference.Here are the two scenarios I'm watching for the reaction next week:📈 Bullish Catalyst (Dovish Pause): The ECB hikes 25bp but signals a "wait-and-see" pause for future meetings to protect Eurozone growth. If this marks the peak of the cycle, expect a relief rally in European equities (DAX/CAC) and a potential cooling off in EUR/USD.
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