BREAKDOWN – XAU/USD
📌 1. Liquidity Sweep + Institutional Discount
The market completed a deep retracement that fully mitigated all the sell-side liquidity zone.
This allows institutions to accumulate long positions at discount prices.
A CHoCH + BOS sequence confirms that the bearish leg has finished.
📌 2. Fake-Out + Rejection at the POI (4,202)
Price delivered a clean fake-out, grabbed liquidity, and immediately rejected from the POI.
This rejection is a strong sign of institutional absorption.
The POI is aligned with:
✔ Discount zone
✔ Support
✔ Previous imbalance
👉 A high-probability entry is formed.
📌 3. Bullish Targets (Mitigation & Liquidity)
The upside roadmap is clear and progressive:
• TP1: 4,230 → first mitigation
• TP2: 4,254 → liquidity resting above
• TP3: 4,277 → full mitigation of imbalance + expected HH
Price is targeting the FVG on the 4H timeframe.
This is where institutions are expected to complete mitigation.
📌 4. Risk Management
SL at 4,180 protects the structure:
• Below support zone
• Below rejection wick
• Below liquidity
👉 If price breaks that level, the narrative changes.
🧮 Risk/Reward: 1:3
Excellent ratio aligned with institutional swing logic.
No forcing, clean and natural. GOOD LUCK TRADERS…
📌 1. Liquidity Sweep + Institutional Discount
The market completed a deep retracement that fully mitigated all the sell-side liquidity zone.
This allows institutions to accumulate long positions at discount prices.
A CHoCH + BOS sequence confirms that the bearish leg has finished.
📌 2. Fake-Out + Rejection at the POI (4,202)
Price delivered a clean fake-out, grabbed liquidity, and immediately rejected from the POI.
This rejection is a strong sign of institutional absorption.
The POI is aligned with:
✔ Discount zone
✔ Support
✔ Previous imbalance
👉 A high-probability entry is formed.
📌 3. Bullish Targets (Mitigation & Liquidity)
The upside roadmap is clear and progressive:
• TP1: 4,230 → first mitigation
• TP2: 4,254 → liquidity resting above
• TP3: 4,277 → full mitigation of imbalance + expected HH
Price is targeting the FVG on the 4H timeframe.
This is where institutions are expected to complete mitigation.
📌 4. Risk Management
SL at 4,180 protects the structure:
• Below support zone
• Below rejection wick
• Below liquidity
👉 If price breaks that level, the narrative changes.
🧮 Risk/Reward: 1:3
Excellent ratio aligned with institutional swing logic.
No forcing, clean and natural. GOOD LUCK TRADERS…
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.