Nifty 50 Index
Short

Nifty 50: Monthly Supply Zone Rejection Signals Bearish Momentum

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📊 Monthly Timeframe Analysis 📊
snapshot
Nifty 50 and Nifty 500 have both respected their monthly supply zones, taking a clear rejection from these levels. Interestingly, despite the difference in the number of stocks (50 vs. 500), both indices are showing identical patterns, which the market is currently reflecting as a strong bearish bias.

📉 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
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  • The weekly chart shows a proper rejection from a sloping downtrend line, confirming sellers’ dominance.
  • This week’s candle has formed a Bearish Marubozu – a long body with tiny wicks – indicating strong selling pressure.
  • Structurally, this candle aligns with an Evening Star type reversal, reinforcing the bearish bias.
  • Key takeaway: Weekly chart clearly favors the bears until price sustains above the supply zone.


📉 Daily Timeframe Analysis
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  • On the daily chart, selling pressure has been continuing for the past few sessions.
  • Today’s candle is a Gap Down Bearish Candle, forming part of a Three Black Crows pattern on Nifty 500.
  • This confirms a short-term trend reversal and strong bearish momentum.
  • The next major support lies around the demand zone Nifty (~24475). If price tests this zone and reverses, we may see a bounce.
  • However, if the daily close is below this demand zone in upcoming sessions, expect further downside.


Final Outlook
  • Monthly supply zone has triggered a bearish reversal, coinciding with the Weekly Downtrend line.
  • Strong Bearish Marubozu on weekly close signals a shift in trend toward sellers.
  • Daily Three Black Crows + Gap Down candle confirms strong selling pressure in the short term.
  • Overall bias remains bearish until support near the demand zone shows a potential reversal.


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This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.

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