152
1️⃣ Higher-Timeframe Context

Market has been in a descending channel since mid-year

Momentum to the downside is weakening

Price has broken the descending trendline, signaling early trend shift

This suggests we are in an early reversal / accumulation phase, not yet a confirmed uptrend.

2️⃣ Market Structure & Price Action
🔹 Trendline Breakout

Clear breakout above the descending trendline

Price is now retesting the breakout zone, which is constructive

🔹 Demand / Accumulation Zone (Blue)

Approx. 0.7900 – 0.7950

Confluence of:

Fibonacci 0.618 – 0.786

Prior structure support

Liquidity absorption

This zone acts as a Last Point of Support (LPS).

3️⃣ Fibonacci & Liquidity Framework
🔵 Below Price

0.9 retracement has been fully swept

Limited sell-side liquidity remains below current price

🔴 Above Price (Liquidity Targets)

0.8050 → 0.5 retracement (intermediate resistance)

0.8120 – 0.8150 → 0.618 + -0.272 extension (key reaction zone)

0.8200 → 0.786 retracement

0.8250 → 0.9 retracement (major liquidity pool)

Liquidity is clearly stacked above price, favoring upside continuation.

4️⃣ Expected Price Path (Primary Scenario)

Price holds above 0.7900

Forms a higher low inside the blue demand zone

Pushes toward 0.8050

Shallow pullback (bullish continuation)

Expansion toward:

0.8120 – 0.8150

0.8200

0.8250 (main target)

This aligns with a Wyckoff accumulation → Phase D markup.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.