ROSE / TetherUS
Long

ROSE/USDT - Trend Reversal or Bearish Continuation?

313
ROSE/USDT remains in a medium- to long-term bearish structure, characterized by a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the late-2024 peak. Price is currently reacting around the historical demand zone at 0.0167 – 0.0144, which previously acted as an accumulation area before a major breakdown.

The 2D timeframe confirms that this move is not short-term noise, but a key structural phase.


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Structure & Technical Pattern

1. Descending Trendline (Major Resistance)

The descending trendline is drawn from the ATH around 0.14 through subsequent lower highs.

Price is testing the trendline from below, indicating a resistance retest, not a confirmed breakout.


2. Breakdown – Retest Structure

Price previously experienced a strong breakdown below the 0.023–0.020 zone.

After forming a lower low near 0.0098, price bounced and is now retesting the former supply area (yellow box).


3. Yellow Zone (0.0167 – 0.0144)

This zone is critical because:

It represents former support turned resistance

It was a consolidation area before further distribution

It acts as a decision zone between structural reversal and bearish continuation



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Key Levels

Resistance:
0.0167 – 0.0180 (yellow zone + trendline)
0.0230
0.0300
0.0340
0.0420

Support:
0.0144 (lower boundary of the yellow zone)
0.0120
0.0098 (major low / last demand)


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Bullish Scenario

Primary conditions:

A strong daily/2D close above 0.0180

Break and hold above the descending trendline


Bullish confirmation:

Formation of a higher low above 0.0144

Increasing volume during the breakout


Upside targets:

0.0230

0.0300

0.0340

0.0420 (next major resistance)


Bullish meaning: Such a breakout would signal the end of the prolonged bearish channel and open the door for a medium-term trend reversal.


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Bearish Scenario

If price fails at the yellow zone:

Rejection or long upper wicks around 0.0167–0.0180

Price closes back below 0.0144


Downside targets:

0.0120

0.0098 (previous low)


Extended bearish risk:

A breakdown below 0.0098 would lead to bearish continuation and downside price discovery

The broader downtrend remains intact



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Conclusion

ROSE/USDT is currently trading within a major decision area.
The 0.0167 – 0.0144 zone represents a critical battle zone between buyers and sellers.

Break and hold above the trendline → reversal potential

Rejection at the yellow zone → pullback before further downside


Waiting for candle confirmation is essential, rather than anticipating direction inside the zone.


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