The president’s influence is real — but limited.
Markets are forward‑looking. They price in expectations months or years ahead. So even if a president announces a policy, the market may have already reacted long before it becomes reality.
Below numbers are taken from Year Starting January until December of finishing Year.
During Trump 1st Term 2017-2020
SP500 is up 67%
Gold is up 57%
Silver is up 54%
US M2 is up 43%
During Biden Term 2021-2024
SP500 is up 52%
Gold is up 45%
Silver is up 19%
US M2 is up 11%
During Trump 2nd Term 2025-2028 (Dated until 2025 Dec 30)
SP500 is up 19%
Gold is up 50%
Silver is up 130%
US M2 is up 3%
I would expect by the end of Trump Term, SP500 will be moving close to Gold Gains,
May be 30% up from here making SP500 close to 10000
I will look back this post on 2028 January to see if I need to correct my thesis
Markets are forward‑looking. They price in expectations months or years ahead. So even if a president announces a policy, the market may have already reacted long before it becomes reality.
Below numbers are taken from Year Starting January until December of finishing Year.
During Trump 1st Term 2017-2020
SP500 is up 67%
Gold is up 57%
Silver is up 54%
US M2 is up 43%
During Biden Term 2021-2024
SP500 is up 52%
Gold is up 45%
Silver is up 19%
US M2 is up 11%
During Trump 2nd Term 2025-2028 (Dated until 2025 Dec 30)
SP500 is up 19%
Gold is up 50%
Silver is up 130%
US M2 is up 3%
I would expect by the end of Trump Term, SP500 will be moving close to Gold Gains,
May be 30% up from here making SP500 close to 10000
I will look back this post on 2028 January to see if I need to correct my thesis
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.