TAO / TetherUS
Short

TAO Rally Extended — Prime Short Zone Ahead?

1 385
TAO has been on an absolute tear over the past week, rallying +45% in just 7 days with seven consecutive bullish daily candles.

Strong momentum but price is now approaching a major resistance zone, where a potential short setup could form.

Resistance Confluence

Price is moving into a key resistance area between:
  • $260 – $270

This zone lines up with several important factors:
  • 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at $268.2
  • Anchored VWAP at $272.4
  • Overextended

As many of you know, I like trading reactions around the 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci levels, where exhaustion and reversals often occur.

Potential Short Setup

The first level I’m watching is the high at:
  • $256.9

A swing failure pattern (SFP) above this level could trigger the first short opportunity.

The most attractive entries would be higher within the zone:
  • $265 – $272

At that point, I’d look for signs of weakness such as:
  • Rejection wicks
  • Momentum slowdown
  • Lower timeframe reversals


Targets

For this short setup, I’m targeting the following support levels:
  • $240 → midpoint of previous trading range
  • $220-219 → yearly level
  • $214 → anchored VWAP support line

These levels provide logical areas for profit taking if the rejection plays out.

Key Idea

If TAO shows exhaustion within this resistance cluster, it could offer a solid risk/reward short opportunity.

As always wait for confirmation, don’t front-run the trade.

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TAO has been trading very technically and giving great entries. For the short setup, I’d like to see a clean move below the key high at $256.9, followed by a retest.
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Nice resistance to support flip with a clean anchored VWAP retest. Watching the 0.886 Fib at $284.2 for the next possible short setup
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$270 continues to act as support with another bounce. Best case, we get one more move up that clears the key high at $302.4 for the next short setup.
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$270 continues to hold as support. Next, I’d like to see price take out the key high, followed by a fake breakout and a quick move back down toward $260.
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classic sweep of the previous day’s low, offering a low-risk long opportunity targeting the weekly open as TP.
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Bullish momentum on the 15m TF remains intact.
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TAO played out perfectly. Price retraced into the $250–$240 zone, delivering a clean 0.786 Fib retest in confluence with the 4H order block, followed by a strong rally that cleared the key high at $302.4 exactly the level I was watching.

That momentum pushed price straight into the $313–$309 resistance zone, offering a high-probability short entry. It even gave a second short opportunity on another attempt to break higher, but failed just before tagging the 0.886 Fib.

Fantastic play.

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