$TEM pting

277
TEM is the one name where revenue multiples are appropriate. The right frame is to value the two engines separately — Diagnostics as a clinical-lab/dx business (mid multiple), Data & Applications as a high-margin data/AI franchise (premium multiple). The swing factor is the multiple the market assigns Data, which is a direct function of how much it trusts the revenue quality.

Scenario ($/share) Bear Base Bull Blue sky
Diagnostics (EV/sales) 3.0× 4.5× 5.0× 5.5×
Data & Apps (EV/sales) 6× 10× 14× 18×+
Implied growth held ~15% ~22% ~25% re-accel
Fair value / share ~$35 ~$58 ~$81 ~$115
Return vs ~$50 spot −30% +16% +62% +130%
Street reference consensus ~$67 · TD Cowen $76 (Hold) · BTIG $105 (Buy)

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