Why Yields Can Rise After a Rate Cut
When people say “interest rates dropped,” they usually mean central bank policy rates (like the Fed cutting rates).
But bond yields (like US10Y) are set in the open market, based on supply/demand and expectations about inflation, growth, and future rate paths.
Rate cuts can be inflationary: Lower borrowing costs can stimulate spending and growth, which raises inflation expectations → investors demand higher yields.
Market front-running: If the cut was already priced in, traders may rotate out of bonds (selling pushes prices down, yields up).
When people say “interest rates dropped,” they usually mean central bank policy rates (like the Fed cutting rates).
But bond yields (like US10Y) are set in the open market, based on supply/demand and expectations about inflation, growth, and future rate paths.
Rate cuts can be inflationary: Lower borrowing costs can stimulate spending and growth, which raises inflation expectations → investors demand higher yields.
Market front-running: If the cut was already priced in, traders may rotate out of bonds (selling pushes prices down, yields up).
Note
Trade closed: target reached
Targets for both yields and bond prices has been delivered this week!
Overall bearish bias is still in motion.
Lookout for the next review for next week which i will go over the low hanging fruits and price predictions
UK, London
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
UK, London
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.