very clear 4-hour (HTF) analysis. The chart comprehensively displays the price action and market structure.
1. Market Structure Analysis (SMC)
Macro Structure: The overall higher timeframe trend on the 4H remains bearish following the major structural break (Major CHoCH) and the strong sell-off from the high at 30,639.33.
Current Momentum (Pro-Trend Correction): The current aggressive bullish movement off the bottom (Weak Low at 27,060.04) is a complex retracement designed to sweep liquidity and test premium pricing zones.
1H OB Break (Temporary Bullish Confirmation): The recent bullish momentum broke through the previous 1H Order Block high at 29,189.78 with strength (BOS on lower timeframes), paving the way toward the correction targets.
2. Projected Price Scenario (Matching Your Chart):
Bullish Target Phase (Liquidity Run):
Price is currently expanding toward the main HTF Supply / Premium OTE zone (grey box) between 29,588 (70.80% Fibonacci level) and 29,887 (79.00% Fibonacci level).
This area serves as a high-probability selling zone, as it overlaps with golden Fibonacci levels and contains sufficient liquidity for institutional re-pricing.
Targeted Bearish Expansion (Main HTF Leg):
Upon reaching the grey supply zone (29,600 – 29,880), a strong bearish rejection is anticipated.
If the bearish continuation unfolds as drawn, the ultimate target remains the sell-side liquidity beneath the Weak Low (27,060.04).
Note: A sustained break and candle close above 30,639.33 is the sole invalidation criteria for this overall macro bearish outlook.
1. Market Structure Analysis (SMC)
Macro Structure: The overall higher timeframe trend on the 4H remains bearish following the major structural break (Major CHoCH) and the strong sell-off from the high at 30,639.33.
Current Momentum (Pro-Trend Correction): The current aggressive bullish movement off the bottom (Weak Low at 27,060.04) is a complex retracement designed to sweep liquidity and test premium pricing zones.
1H OB Break (Temporary Bullish Confirmation): The recent bullish momentum broke through the previous 1H Order Block high at 29,189.78 with strength (BOS on lower timeframes), paving the way toward the correction targets.
2. Projected Price Scenario (Matching Your Chart):
Bullish Target Phase (Liquidity Run):
Price is currently expanding toward the main HTF Supply / Premium OTE zone (grey box) between 29,588 (70.80% Fibonacci level) and 29,887 (79.00% Fibonacci level).
This area serves as a high-probability selling zone, as it overlaps with golden Fibonacci levels and contains sufficient liquidity for institutional re-pricing.
Targeted Bearish Expansion (Main HTF Leg):
Upon reaching the grey supply zone (29,600 – 29,880), a strong bearish rejection is anticipated.
If the bearish continuation unfolds as drawn, the ultimate target remains the sell-side liquidity beneath the Weak Low (27,060.04).
Note: A sustained break and candle close above 30,639.33 is the sole invalidation criteria for this overall macro bearish outlook.
Trade active
We are still waiting for a structure change on the 15-minute timeframe.Trade closed: target reached
Structural shift on the 5-minute and 15-minute timeframes. Look for an entry zone.Good luck.
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Structural shift on the 5-minute and 15-minute timeframes. Look for an entry zone.Good luck.
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I updated the trade, and one of the updates showed that it had reached the target—though that happened by mistake, haha.Hopefully, it actually reaches the target. 29238.98
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SL TO BENote
Take partials IF U need 
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.