XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 23.07.26

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XAUUSD / GOLD – 1H Sell Limit Projection

The chart shows a potential bearish Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating that sellers may regain control.

Pattern Structure
Left Shoulder: Around 4,130
Head: Around 4,158–4,165
Right Shoulder: Around 4,130–4,135
Major Resistance: 4,133–4,135

After forming the head, the price failed to create a new higher high and started moving lower. This supports the bearish outlook.

Sell Entry Zone

The preferred sell-entry area is based on the Fibonacci retracement zone:

0.5 Fibonacci level: 4,120.68
0.618 Fibonacci level: 4,110.14
Sell-entry zone: 4,110–4,120
Marked entry price: approximately 4,118.32

A sell position can be considered only if the price retraces into this zone and shows clear bearish rejection.

Stop Loss
Stop Loss: 4,140.88

The stop loss is placed above the right-shoulder resistance area. A strong candle close above 4,140.88 could invalidate the bearish setup.

Target Levels

Target 1: 4,104.13
The first support area. Partial profit booking may be considered here.

Target 2: 4,085.00
The next major support and liquidity zone.

Target 3: 4,065.13
The final bearish projection and major support area.

Expected Price Movement

4,110–4,120 retracement → bearish rejection → 4,104 → 4,085 → 4,065

Important Note

The current price shown on the chart is already near 4,104, which is Target 1. Therefore, entering a fresh market sell at this level may be risky.

It is safer to wait for the price to retrace toward the entry zone and look for confirmation such as:

Bearish engulfing candle
Strong rejection wick
Lower-timeframe bearish Change of Character
Break and retest of support

Disclaimer

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