Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

XAUUSD: Demand Holds, But Sellers Still Lead

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XAUUSD: Demand Holds, But Sellers Still Lead

Market Context

Gold is trading around 4,035 after reacting from the demand zone near the weekly bottom. Buyers are defending this area, but overall pressure remains bearish.

Stronger energy prices keep inflation concerns elevated, supporting a restrictive Fed outlook. At the same time, US-Iran tensions are boosting USD demand, limiting gold’s upside.

Key point: demand is holding, but buyers must reclaim 4,050 - 4,063 to strengthen the recovery.

Technical Structure

Gold is reacting from the Demand Zone at 4,015 - 4,025. This is the key support to hold.

Resistance sits at 4,050 - 4,063 (liquidity zone). Above that, the Main Supply Zone is 4,105 - 4,120.

If demand breaks, price may drop toward 3,980 - 3,990.

Key Levels

Current Price: 4,035
Demand Zone: 4,015 - 4,025
Liquidity Zone: 4,050 - 4,063
Supply Zone: 4,105 - 4,120
Weekly Low: 3,980 - 3,990
Bullish Above: 4,063
Bearish Below: 4,015

Trading Plan

Buy Scenario

Entry: 4,015 - 4,025
SL: Below 3,990
TP: 4,050 / 4,063 / 4,100

Condition: Hold demand + bullish confirmation. Only short-term buy.

Sell Scenario (Priority)

Entry: 4,050 - 4,063
SL: Above 4,085
TP: 4,035 / 4,020 / 3,990

Condition: Rejection at liquidity zone.

Sell at Supply

Entry: 4,105 - 4,120
SL: Above 4,140
TP: 4,063 / 4,035 / 4,015

Breakdown Sell

Entry: Below 4,015
SL: Above 4,035
TP: 3,990 / 3,980 / 3,960

Overall Bias

Gold is not bullish yet. Sellers still dominate unless price breaks above 4,063.

Best approach: wait for confirmation, avoid chasing.

Will gold break 4,063 or drop back below demand?
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