Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

GOLD - A countertrend correction aimed at liquidity hunting

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XAUUSD has been forming a countertrend correction toward the 4,400–4,430 liquidity zone since the session opened. The fundamental backdrop remains weak, and the market is still in a bearish trend

GOLD - A countertrend correction ahead of the news


The dollar is stagnating after breaking through local resistance levels. The Fed’s hawkish stance and rising rates are supporting the Dollar Index, which is putting medium-term pressure on the metals market. However, the correction in oil prices is giving gold some room to recover as it tests key levels.
Gold is stabilizing, but further upside remains limited by the Fed’s hawkish outlook and geopolitical risks. The BOJ decision and developments in the Middle East will determine the short-term direction

Drivers:
Upside: further declines in oil prices and yields, de-escalation of the conflict, softer U.S. data, dovish BOJ.
Downside: escalation in the Middle East, higher oil prices, hawkish Fed stance, dollar strength

Resistance levels: 4,402, 4,435, 4,495
Support levels: 4,340, 4,253, 4,200


Gold is forming a countertrend correction amid dollar stagnation. A short squeeze of the 4,400–4,435 resistance zone — with the key focus on two triggers — could trigger a decline toward the key support levels. The formation of reversal patterns after the retest could provide a potential entry opportunity

Best regards,
R. Linda!
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