⏰ Timeframe: 30 minutes
📅 Update: 12/02/2025
🔍 Market Context
After gold surged from the 4,115 USD area, the price peaked at 4,256 USD, then a small Bearish OB appeared around 4,223 USD (Fibo area 0.618–0.786) – where the market reacted with a slight decline.
Currently, the price is in a technical pullback phase after a long rally, forming a bearish CHoCH and a small BoS, indicating the market is rebalancing liquidity before deciding the next direction.
However, the main structure (H1–H4) still maintains a bullish bias, so the current adjustment area is only technical – suitable for observing buy opportunities from lower levels.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Bearish OB – Fibo Sell (4,223): short-term supply area, first reaction down after the peak of 4,256.
Small BoS (4,205): confirms the adjustment structure has formed.
Bullish Order Block (4,170–4,155): main demand area confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – where strong buying force may reappear.
Extended target: 4,256 → 4,271 (FE 1.272–1.618) if the uptrend continues.
💎 Key Levels
🟢 Support (Buy Zones):
• 4,205 USD → short-term balance area, may react quickly.
• 4,170–4,155 USD → main Bullish OB area, confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – ideal reaction point.
🔴 Resistance (Sell Zones):
• 4,223 USD → small Bearish OB – short-term supply area.
• 4,256 USD → main peak, short-term profit-taking area.
• 4,271 USD → extended target, upper liquidity area.
🎯 Trading Plan
Main Scenario – BUY SETUP (priority):
Wait for price to adjust to 4,170–4,155 USD.
Observe for bullish reversal signals (CHoCH, engulfing, long rejection).
Target increase: 4,223 → 4,256 → 4,271 USD.
Alternative Scenario – Deeper Sweep:
If price breaks 4,155, expect further liquidity test at 4,138–4,130 USD, before bouncing back.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is following the “pullback in an uptrend structure” model.
As long as the price stays above 4,155 USD, the larger trend remains bullish.
The reasonable scenario is to watch for reactions at Bullish OB 4,170–4,155 – this is the area with the highest probability for the next recovery.
⚙️ Reaction Plan
BUY zone: 4,170 → 4,155
TP1: 4,223 TP2: 4,256 TP3: 4,271
Invalidation: M30 candle closes below 4,155
🛡️ Risk Note
Limit orders between the area (4,205–4,215).
Only confirm the trend with clear structural signals at the OB area.
Analysis is purely technical – not investment advice.
📅 Update: 12/02/2025
🔍 Market Context
After gold surged from the 4,115 USD area, the price peaked at 4,256 USD, then a small Bearish OB appeared around 4,223 USD (Fibo area 0.618–0.786) – where the market reacted with a slight decline.
Currently, the price is in a technical pullback phase after a long rally, forming a bearish CHoCH and a small BoS, indicating the market is rebalancing liquidity before deciding the next direction.
However, the main structure (H1–H4) still maintains a bullish bias, so the current adjustment area is only technical – suitable for observing buy opportunities from lower levels.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Bearish OB – Fibo Sell (4,223): short-term supply area, first reaction down after the peak of 4,256.
Small BoS (4,205): confirms the adjustment structure has formed.
Bullish Order Block (4,170–4,155): main demand area confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – where strong buying force may reappear.
Extended target: 4,256 → 4,271 (FE 1.272–1.618) if the uptrend continues.
💎 Key Levels
🟢 Support (Buy Zones):
• 4,205 USD → short-term balance area, may react quickly.
• 4,170–4,155 USD → main Bullish OB area, confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – ideal reaction point.
🔴 Resistance (Sell Zones):
• 4,223 USD → small Bearish OB – short-term supply area.
• 4,256 USD → main peak, short-term profit-taking area.
• 4,271 USD → extended target, upper liquidity area.
🎯 Trading Plan
Main Scenario – BUY SETUP (priority):
Wait for price to adjust to 4,170–4,155 USD.
Observe for bullish reversal signals (CHoCH, engulfing, long rejection).
Target increase: 4,223 → 4,256 → 4,271 USD.
Alternative Scenario – Deeper Sweep:
If price breaks 4,155, expect further liquidity test at 4,138–4,130 USD, before bouncing back.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is following the “pullback in an uptrend structure” model.
As long as the price stays above 4,155 USD, the larger trend remains bullish.
The reasonable scenario is to watch for reactions at Bullish OB 4,170–4,155 – this is the area with the highest probability for the next recovery.
⚙️ Reaction Plan
BUY zone: 4,170 → 4,155
TP1: 4,223 TP2: 4,256 TP3: 4,271
Invalidation: M30 candle closes below 4,155
🛡️ Risk Note
Limit orders between the area (4,205–4,215).
Only confirm the trend with clear structural signals at the OB area.
Analysis is purely technical – not investment advice.
Trade active
XAU/USD – Over 1,100 PIPS Profit From Sell OB & Buy OB Zones ⚜️
Gold has yielded a total of over 1,100 PIPS profit from two main trading zones – Sell OB and Buy OB.
Initially, gold experienced a breakthrough at the 4,205 USD zone, then rebounded to hit the Sell Order Block (Sell OB) and sharply declined, generating approximately 580 PIPS profit.
Next, the price moved down to the Buy Order Block (Buy OB) zone and surged over 600 PIPS profit, confirming the accuracy of both trading zones.
Currently, gold prices may be heading towards the 4,256 – 4,271 USD levels.
If you already have a position and profit, consider closing a portion and move your Stop Loss to breakeven or a positive zone to secure profits before awaiting new reactions.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Join Community Gold BMR_MasteTrade:
t.me/+p2iJeq3yBUYyNDJl
t.me/+p2iJeq3yBUYyNDJl
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.