Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

XAUUSD — Bearish Structure Continues, Liquidity Zones Remain Key

90


Gold is trading around $4,183 after failing to reclaim the day high near $4,221. Even with geopolitical tension still supporting volatility, the short-term structure remains bearish while price stays below the $4,194–$4,200 sell zone.

From an SMC perspective, gold has already rejected from the upper FVG area and continued to create lower structure. Price is now moving around a contested liquidity zone, where both buyers and sellers are active. This is why I do not want to chase price in the middle of the range.

The main sell reaction area is $4,194–$4,200. If gold retests this zone and shows rejection, sellers may continue to target sell-side liquidity around $4,137, then the deeper OB buy zone around $4,074–$4,078.

Sell setup 1

Condition:
Gold retests the $4,194–$4,200 sell zone and shows bearish rejection with lower-timeframe MSS / CHOCH.

Entry: $4,194–$4,200
SL: above $4,222
TP1: $4,160
TP2: $4,137
TP3: $4,078

Sell setup 2

Condition:
If gold breaks below $4,137 and retests it as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid.

Entry: below $4,137 after retest
SL: above $4,165
TP1: $4,100
TP2: $4,078
TP3: $4,052

Buy setup

Condition:
A buy setup is only considered if gold sweeps the $4,074–$4,078 OB buy zone and prints strong bullish rejection with lower-timeframe MSS / CHOCH. This is only a reaction setup, not the main trend.

Entry: $4,074–$4,078 after liquidity sweep
SL: below $4,052
TP1: $4,137
TP2: $4,160
TP3: $4,194

Key levels

Current price area: $4,183
Sell zone: $4,194–$4,200
Day high: $4,221
Sell-side liquidity: $4,137
OB buy zone: $4,074–$4,078
Bearish confirmation: clean break below $4,137
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,222

My current view remains bearish while gold trades below $4,194–$4,200. Geopolitical tension can create sharp reactions, but the Prime Gold plan is still the same: wait for price to reach major contested liquidity zones, confirm structure, then execute with defined risk.

No confirmation, no trade.
Trade active
The sell scenario yielded a large profit of 840 pips, exactly. When looking at the plan, pay attention to the nearest resistance and support zones to set your stop loss; these levels always play a crucial role.

snapshot

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.