Sell remains the main plan while price stays below the descending trendline
Today is an NFP session, and gold often whipsaws both sides before the real direction shows up. So instead of guessing tops/bottoms, the focus is on levels + reaction.
On H1, the structure is still under pressure: price remains below the descending trendline, and the bounces so far look like technical pullbacks within a short-term bearish phase.
Key zones on the map
Sell zone (primary focus)
Around 5,150 – 5,165 (supply + close to the descending trendline).
This is the area to watch for a clean rejection to follow the main bias.
Mid support / scalp buy area (reaction zone)
Around 4,960 – 4,980
This can produce a technical bounce, but it’s not a preferred swing-buy area if selling pressure stays strong.
Main buy zone (after the flush)
Around 4,800 – 4,820
This is where a stronger reaction is more likely, suitable for looking for a proper rebound after liquidity is cleared.
Trading scenarios
Primary scenario: Sell the retest
If price pulls back into 5,150 – 5,165 and shows weakness (upper wick / rejection close / failure to hold above the zone)
→ Look for SELL
→ Target 1: 5,000
→ Target 2: 4,960 – 4,980
→ Target 3: 4,800 – 4,820
No-sell scenario: acceptance above the zone
If price closes and holds above the sell zone and breaks the descending trendline
→ Avoid forcing shorts and wait for a retest to reassess direction.
NFP note (risk control)
During the release window, it’s safer to reduce size, avoid jumping in at the exact print, and wait for a confirmed candle close to avoid getting swept.
Takeaway
Sell is the main point today — but only if price retests 5,150–5,165 and rejects. If the market dumps hard, the key reactions to watch are 4,960–4,980, and especially 4,800–4,820 for a higher-quality bounce after the flush.
Which NFP path do you expect: retest higher then drop, or straight dump to grab liquidity first?
Today is an NFP session, and gold often whipsaws both sides before the real direction shows up. So instead of guessing tops/bottoms, the focus is on levels + reaction.
On H1, the structure is still under pressure: price remains below the descending trendline, and the bounces so far look like technical pullbacks within a short-term bearish phase.
Key zones on the map
Sell zone (primary focus)
Around 5,150 – 5,165 (supply + close to the descending trendline).
This is the area to watch for a clean rejection to follow the main bias.
Mid support / scalp buy area (reaction zone)
Around 4,960 – 4,980
This can produce a technical bounce, but it’s not a preferred swing-buy area if selling pressure stays strong.
Main buy zone (after the flush)
Around 4,800 – 4,820
This is where a stronger reaction is more likely, suitable for looking for a proper rebound after liquidity is cleared.
Trading scenarios
Primary scenario: Sell the retest
If price pulls back into 5,150 – 5,165 and shows weakness (upper wick / rejection close / failure to hold above the zone)
→ Look for SELL
→ Target 1: 5,000
→ Target 2: 4,960 – 4,980
→ Target 3: 4,800 – 4,820
No-sell scenario: acceptance above the zone
If price closes and holds above the sell zone and breaks the descending trendline
→ Avoid forcing shorts and wait for a retest to reassess direction.
NFP note (risk control)
During the release window, it’s safer to reduce size, avoid jumping in at the exact print, and wait for a confirmed candle close to avoid getting swept.
Takeaway
Sell is the main point today — but only if price retests 5,150–5,165 and rejects. If the market dumps hard, the key reactions to watch are 4,960–4,980, and especially 4,800–4,820 for a higher-quality bounce after the flush.
Which NFP path do you expect: retest higher then drop, or straight dump to grab liquidity first?
📌 New analysis published daily
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⚠️ This is personal analysis, not financial advice
Daily GOLD and Forex updates: t.me/+SOSI26CZOJ1mZDhl
🔔 Follow this profile for real-time updates
⚠️ This is personal analysis, not financial advice
Daily GOLD and Forex updates: t.me/+SOSI26CZOJ1mZDhl
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
📌 New analysis published daily
🔔 Follow this profile for real-time updates
⚠️ This is personal analysis, not financial advice
Daily GOLD and Forex updates: t.me/+SOSI26CZOJ1mZDhl
🔔 Follow this profile for real-time updates
⚠️ This is personal analysis, not financial advice
Daily GOLD and Forex updates: t.me/+SOSI26CZOJ1mZDhl
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.