XAUUSD — 4,240 Recovery or Lower?

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Gold is trading around 4,142 after a sharp H1 selloff.

Price is now holding inside the local demand base while the broader structure remains bearish.

Macro News

A stronger U.S. dollar, Treasury yields above 5% and higher oil prices are keeping pressure on Gold. Markets are also pricing a higher chance of another Fed hike in October, while PCE and NFP this week could bring more volatility.

The simple read

The key demand zone is around 4,105–4,125.

If buyers defend this area, Gold may recover toward 4,200 first, then the 4,225–4,245 premium supply zone.

A rejection there could bring sellers back into control.

If demand fails, the bearish channel remains dominant.

Key price zones

4,105–4,125 — local demand
4,200 — recovery test
4,225–4,245 — premium supply
4,270–4,300 — upper resistance area

H1 remains bearish, but Gold is sitting at a reaction zone.

I prefer waiting for the demand reaction rather than chasing the selloff.

Can buyers defend 4,11x and recover toward the 4,240 supply zone?

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