BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECLAIMING FROM LOWER VALUE BEFORE CPI
Gold is starting to recover from the lower value area after reacting around the buyside liquidity zone near 3,995 - 4,002. The move is not strong enough to confirm a full reversal yet, but price is no longer trading with clean downside continuation.
Today’s CPI release can become the main trigger for the next move. Headline inflation is expected to soften due to lower gasoline prices, but the real focus will be on core CPI. That number matters more because it shows whether underlying inflation is still sticky.
At the same time, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first official monetary policy testimony may influence rate expectations and short-term USD direction. For gold, this creates a clear risk event: price can expand quickly once the market receives confirmation.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has reacted from the lower liquidity base and is now pushing back towards the POC Reclaim Zone around 4,055 - 4,060.
This is the key area I am watching. If price breaks and holds above this zone, buyers can start to rebuild acceptance and open the path towards the golden peak of last week near 4,137.
However, if gold fails at the POC Reclaim Zone, the rebound remains weak and price may rotate back towards the buyside liquidity area.
Important zones
Buyside liquidity: 3,995 - 4,002
Lower reaction zone where buyers stepped in.
POC Reclaim Zone: 4,055 - 4,060
Main value area buyers need to reclaim.
The golden peak of last week: 4,137
Next upside target if price accepts above POC.
Weekly High Resistance: 4,175 - 4,180
Major resistance if CPI triggers stronger bullish momentum.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction after POC reclaim 4,055 - 4,060
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price breaks and holds above 4,055 - 4,060, then retests this zone with clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the POC Reclaim Zone or below the local swing low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,100
TP2: 4,137
TP3: 4,175 - 4,180 if CPI supports further upside
This setup is based on gold reclaiming value after reacting from lower liquidity. Without acceptance above the POC zone, the buy setup remains incomplete.
Final view
Gold is trying to recover before CPI, but the real confirmation is still at 4,055 - 4,060.
If buyers reclaim this POC zone, gold can continue towards 4,137 and possibly 4,175.
If price fails there, the market can rotate back towards 4,000 and the rebound becomes only a weak reaction from liquidity.
Today is not the day to chase candles. Let CPI confirm direction. Let price reclaim value. Then trade the reaction.
Gold is starting to recover from the lower value area after reacting around the buyside liquidity zone near 3,995 - 4,002. The move is not strong enough to confirm a full reversal yet, but price is no longer trading with clean downside continuation.
Today’s CPI release can become the main trigger for the next move. Headline inflation is expected to soften due to lower gasoline prices, but the real focus will be on core CPI. That number matters more because it shows whether underlying inflation is still sticky.
At the same time, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first official monetary policy testimony may influence rate expectations and short-term USD direction. For gold, this creates a clear risk event: price can expand quickly once the market receives confirmation.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has reacted from the lower liquidity base and is now pushing back towards the POC Reclaim Zone around 4,055 - 4,060.
This is the key area I am watching. If price breaks and holds above this zone, buyers can start to rebuild acceptance and open the path towards the golden peak of last week near 4,137.
However, if gold fails at the POC Reclaim Zone, the rebound remains weak and price may rotate back towards the buyside liquidity area.
Important zones
Buyside liquidity: 3,995 - 4,002
Lower reaction zone where buyers stepped in.
POC Reclaim Zone: 4,055 - 4,060
Main value area buyers need to reclaim.
The golden peak of last week: 4,137
Next upside target if price accepts above POC.
Weekly High Resistance: 4,175 - 4,180
Major resistance if CPI triggers stronger bullish momentum.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction after POC reclaim 4,055 - 4,060
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price breaks and holds above 4,055 - 4,060, then retests this zone with clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the POC Reclaim Zone or below the local swing low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,100
TP2: 4,137
TP3: 4,175 - 4,180 if CPI supports further upside
This setup is based on gold reclaiming value after reacting from lower liquidity. Without acceptance above the POC zone, the buy setup remains incomplete.
Final view
Gold is trying to recover before CPI, but the real confirmation is still at 4,055 - 4,060.
If buyers reclaim this POC zone, gold can continue towards 4,137 and possibly 4,175.
If price fails there, the market can rotate back towards 4,000 and the rebound becomes only a weak reaction from liquidity.
Today is not the day to chase candles. Let CPI confirm direction. Let price reclaim value. Then trade the reaction.
Trade active
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✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
🔥 BrianLionCapital – Where Top Traders Unite
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.