1. Context & Price Structure (H1)
• The price is moving within an accumulation/wyckoff range with a descending trendline above and clear support below.
• After a series of strong fluctuations, the market has shown ChoCH points indicating that the cash flow is "shifting" continuously, not yet a one-way trend.
• At the current time, the most reasonable bias is to wait for the price to pull back to the discount zone (FVG–OB) to find a BUY point according to the scenario of expanding to the liquidity zone above.
2. Key Levels on the Chart
• Resistance / Range High: 4,347.818 → peak of the range, where a sweep/false break is likely before deciding the direction.
• FVG – OB (Buy Zone): 4,290.899 – 4,279.641 → confluence zone "attracting price", prioritize watching for BUY when confirmed.
• Range Low / Support: 4,274.429 → bottom of the range, is the invalidation point for the BUY scenario if decisively broken.
• Current reference price: around 4,325.920 → currently in the middle of the range, not an optimal entry point.
3. Trading Plan (Captain Vincent – with clear conditions)
Main Scenario – BUY at FVG–OB 4.29x–4.27x (priority)
• Expect the price to pull back to 4,290 – 4,280 to fill FVG and retest OB.
• At the BUY zone, only activate when confirmed:
Clear wick candle on H1/M15.
Bullish engulfing or bullish ChoCH on M15.
Price reclaims 4,290 after a deep touch.
• BUY Zone: 4,290.9 – 4,279.6.
• Stop (safe by structure): below 4,274.4 (stop the scenario if H1 candle closes below the range bottom).
• Targets:
TP1: return to the middle of the range 4,325 – 4,330.
TP2: retest 4,347.8.
TP3 extension: if breaking and holding above 4,348 → expect a "run" to a higher zone following the arrow (area 4.38x–4.39x on the chart).
Alternative Scenario – BUY Breakout if clean break of 4,347.8
• If the price does not return to FVG–OB but breaks straight through 4,347.8 with a strong H1 candle and closes above it.
• Then prioritize waiting for a retest of 4,347.8 before BUY continuation.
• Aim to hold according to the scenario of expanding to a higher zone, avoid FOMO right at the breakout candle.
Defensive Scenario – If breaking 4,274.4
• If H1 closes below 4,274.4 and does not reclaim immediately.
• Then the BUY scenario from FVG–OB is invalidated, prioritize staying out waiting for a new structure (avoid bottom fishing).
4. Risk Management Notes
• Do not enter orders when the price is in the middle of the range (around 4.32x) because R:R is not attractive.
• Prioritize "right zone – right signal" at FVG–OB, do not enter orders just because the price touches the zone.
• With range trading, always prepare for a sweep scenario: react quickly, manage volume tightly.
• The price is moving within an accumulation/wyckoff range with a descending trendline above and clear support below.
• After a series of strong fluctuations, the market has shown ChoCH points indicating that the cash flow is "shifting" continuously, not yet a one-way trend.
• At the current time, the most reasonable bias is to wait for the price to pull back to the discount zone (FVG–OB) to find a BUY point according to the scenario of expanding to the liquidity zone above.
2. Key Levels on the Chart
• Resistance / Range High: 4,347.818 → peak of the range, where a sweep/false break is likely before deciding the direction.
• FVG – OB (Buy Zone): 4,290.899 – 4,279.641 → confluence zone "attracting price", prioritize watching for BUY when confirmed.
• Range Low / Support: 4,274.429 → bottom of the range, is the invalidation point for the BUY scenario if decisively broken.
• Current reference price: around 4,325.920 → currently in the middle of the range, not an optimal entry point.
3. Trading Plan (Captain Vincent – with clear conditions)
Main Scenario – BUY at FVG–OB 4.29x–4.27x (priority)
• Expect the price to pull back to 4,290 – 4,280 to fill FVG and retest OB.
• At the BUY zone, only activate when confirmed:
Clear wick candle on H1/M15.
Bullish engulfing or bullish ChoCH on M15.
Price reclaims 4,290 after a deep touch.
• BUY Zone: 4,290.9 – 4,279.6.
• Stop (safe by structure): below 4,274.4 (stop the scenario if H1 candle closes below the range bottom).
• Targets:
TP1: return to the middle of the range 4,325 – 4,330.
TP2: retest 4,347.8.
TP3 extension: if breaking and holding above 4,348 → expect a "run" to a higher zone following the arrow (area 4.38x–4.39x on the chart).
Alternative Scenario – BUY Breakout if clean break of 4,347.8
• If the price does not return to FVG–OB but breaks straight through 4,347.8 with a strong H1 candle and closes above it.
• Then prioritize waiting for a retest of 4,347.8 before BUY continuation.
• Aim to hold according to the scenario of expanding to a higher zone, avoid FOMO right at the breakout candle.
Defensive Scenario – If breaking 4,274.4
• If H1 closes below 4,274.4 and does not reclaim immediately.
• Then the BUY scenario from FVG–OB is invalidated, prioritize staying out waiting for a new structure (avoid bottom fishing).
4. Risk Management Notes
• Do not enter orders when the price is in the middle of the range (around 4.32x) because R:R is not attractive.
• Prioritize "right zone – right signal" at FVG–OB, do not enter orders just because the price touches the zone.
• With range trading, always prepare for a sweep scenario: react quickly, manage volume tightly.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Join Real - Time Trade Post: t.me/+6eLZ50qp_PUyMTY1
🔥 3 - 4 DAILY TRADE
🔥 15 - 20 SCALPING SIGNALS
🔥 Real - Time Proceed Orders
🔥 3 - 4 DAILY TRADE
🔥 15 - 20 SCALPING SIGNALS
🔥 Real - Time Proceed Orders
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.