XAUUSD – Gold Is Trying To Hold 4,000, But Sellers Are Still Watching
Gold is trying to stabilize after a heavy bearish week.
Price is currently trading around 4,012, holding close to the Buy Liquidity zone near 4,000. This area is very important because it sits near the lower part of the current structure and may decide whether gold can recover, or continue the broader bearish pressure.
The chart is showing a small recovery attempt, but the market is not fully bullish yet. Sellers are still active above, especially near the Fibonacci and resistance zones.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold is still facing downside risk as the U.S. dollar remains supported by safe-haven demand and inflation concerns.
Tensions between the U.S. and Iran continue to create market uncertainty. Higher oil prices can keep inflation pressure alive, which may support the idea that the Fed keeps interest rates higher for longer. This is usually a headwind for gold.
For now, gold has found a short-term floor, but the recovery still needs confirmation.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
From an SMC perspective, gold is reacting from the lower liquidity area after a strong decline. The Buy Liquidity zone around 4,000 is now the key support for buyers.
If price continues to hold above this zone, gold may attempt a recovery toward the first resistance around 4,028. Above that, the Sell Fibonacci zone around 4,048 becomes the next important test.
The stronger resistance sits around 4,069, where sellers may defend again. If price reaches this zone and rejects, the market may continue to respect the broader bearish structure.
However, if gold breaks below 4,000 with strong momentum, the recovery idea becomes weak. In that case, sellers may push price back toward the lower channel area.
KEY PRICE ZONES
Current price: 4,012
Buy Liquidity zone: 4,000
Short-term support: 4,000 – 4,012
Nearest resistance: 4,028
Sell Fibonacci zone: 4,048
Strong resistance: 4,069
Bearish pressure returns: Below 4,000
Invalidation for recovery view: Below 3,960
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario – Short-Term Recovery
Buy Zone: 4,000 – 4,012
Entry: Bullish rejection, liquidity sweep, or lower-timeframe CHoCH
SL: Below 4,000
TP1: 4,028
TP2: 4,048
TP3: 4,069
Sell Scenario – Reaction From Resistance
Sell Zone: 4,048 – 4,069
Entry: Bearish rejection, failed breakout, or lower-timeframe bearish CHoCH
SL: Above 4,069
TP1: 4,028
TP2: 4,000
TP3: Lower channel area if momentum expands
Breakdown Sell
Condition: Clean break and hold below 4,000
Target: 3,960 and lower liquidity
MY VIEW
Gold is trying to hold the 4,000 area, but sellers have not disappeared.
The Buy Liquidity zone is the most important area right now. If buyers defend it, gold may recover toward 4,048 and 4,069. But if price fails to hold above 4,000, the bearish pressure can return quickly.
For me, this is not a place to chase. It is a place to wait for reaction.
Gold is standing between short-term recovery and another breakdown.
Do you think gold will defend 4,000 and recover, or will sellers break this level again?
Gold is trying to stabilize after a heavy bearish week.
Price is currently trading around 4,012, holding close to the Buy Liquidity zone near 4,000. This area is very important because it sits near the lower part of the current structure and may decide whether gold can recover, or continue the broader bearish pressure.
The chart is showing a small recovery attempt, but the market is not fully bullish yet. Sellers are still active above, especially near the Fibonacci and resistance zones.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold is still facing downside risk as the U.S. dollar remains supported by safe-haven demand and inflation concerns.
Tensions between the U.S. and Iran continue to create market uncertainty. Higher oil prices can keep inflation pressure alive, which may support the idea that the Fed keeps interest rates higher for longer. This is usually a headwind for gold.
For now, gold has found a short-term floor, but the recovery still needs confirmation.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
From an SMC perspective, gold is reacting from the lower liquidity area after a strong decline. The Buy Liquidity zone around 4,000 is now the key support for buyers.
If price continues to hold above this zone, gold may attempt a recovery toward the first resistance around 4,028. Above that, the Sell Fibonacci zone around 4,048 becomes the next important test.
The stronger resistance sits around 4,069, where sellers may defend again. If price reaches this zone and rejects, the market may continue to respect the broader bearish structure.
However, if gold breaks below 4,000 with strong momentum, the recovery idea becomes weak. In that case, sellers may push price back toward the lower channel area.
KEY PRICE ZONES
Current price: 4,012
Buy Liquidity zone: 4,000
Short-term support: 4,000 – 4,012
Nearest resistance: 4,028
Sell Fibonacci zone: 4,048
Strong resistance: 4,069
Bearish pressure returns: Below 4,000
Invalidation for recovery view: Below 3,960
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario – Short-Term Recovery
Buy Zone: 4,000 – 4,012
Entry: Bullish rejection, liquidity sweep, or lower-timeframe CHoCH
SL: Below 4,000
TP1: 4,028
TP2: 4,048
TP3: 4,069
Sell Scenario – Reaction From Resistance
Sell Zone: 4,048 – 4,069
Entry: Bearish rejection, failed breakout, or lower-timeframe bearish CHoCH
SL: Above 4,069
TP1: 4,028
TP2: 4,000
TP3: Lower channel area if momentum expands
Breakdown Sell
Condition: Clean break and hold below 4,000
Target: 3,960 and lower liquidity
MY VIEW
Gold is trying to hold the 4,000 area, but sellers have not disappeared.
The Buy Liquidity zone is the most important area right now. If buyers defend it, gold may recover toward 4,048 and 4,069. But if price fails to hold above 4,000, the bearish pressure can return quickly.
For me, this is not a place to chase. It is a place to wait for reaction.
Gold is standing between short-term recovery and another breakdown.
Do you think gold will defend 4,000 and recover, or will sellers break this level again?
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Trading is a journey. The destination is mastering yourself
t.me/+qqEvv7Li9Tg2NTE1
t.me/+qqEvv7Li9Tg2NTE1
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.