XAUUSD Counter-Trend Bounce from Demand – Targeting 4550 Resista

219
🔍 XAUUSD (15M) – Intraday Analysis

Market Structure: Bearish → Potential Reversal Zone

Price is clearly in a downtrend, respecting the descending trendline.

Strong rejection from the supply zone (top blue zone) confirms sellers are in control.

Multiple failed breakouts (FB) at supply show exhaustion of buyers.

📉 Current Situation

Price has now dropped into a key demand zone (bottom yellow/grey area).

This zone previously acted as a strong base, suggesting potential buying interest.

You’ve marked a reaction already starting, indicating early bullish intent.

🧠 Trade Idea (As Marked)

Bias: Short-term BUY (Counter-trend)

Entry: From current demand zone (~4500–4485)

Stop Loss: Below demand (~4484)

Target: 4550 area (previous minor supply / imbalance)

⚠️ Key Considerations

This is a counter-trend trade, so:

Take quick profits

Don’t overstay

Major trend is still bearish, so expect resistance at:

4550 (your TP zone)

4580+ (next supply)

📊 What Confirms the Move?

✅ Strong bullish candles from demand
✅ Break of minor structure (higher highs on lower TF)
✅ Volume pickup

❌ Weak bounce = likely continuation down

🧩 Alternative Scenario

If price breaks below 4484 cleanly:

Demand fails

Expect continuation toward lower liquidity zones

🏁 Conclusion

Smart setup: Buying from demand with tight risk

Best approach: Treat as a scalp/intraday bounce, not a trend reversal

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.