XAUUSD is trading around 4,175 after a strong recovery from the recent support zone. However, the bullish structure has not been fully confirmed yet because price is now testing the descending trendline and the Ichimoku value area.
For next week, the priority view is to watch for sell confirmation around the trendline resistance zone, especially if gold fails to break and hold above 4,187–4,198.
Technical View
Gold has recovered strongly from the 3,960 support area, but the current move is still approaching a major decision zone. Price is now testing the descending trendline that has been controlling the broader bearish structure.
The zone around 4,187–4,198 is important because it is marked as a sell order area and sits close to the trendline resistance. If price reacts bearishly here, this area may become the next lower high before another downside move.
Ichimoku also shows that gold is not fully bullish yet. Price is around the Ichimoku value area, where the market often slows down before choosing direction. A clean bullish confirmation needs price to break above this area and hold above the trendline. Without that confirmation, the recovery should still be treated as a corrective move.
The 4,260–4,290 Sell FVG is the higher resistance zone. If gold breaks above 4,198 and continues higher, this FVG may become the next area where sellers watch for reaction.
The downside structure remains valid if price rejects from the current trendline zone. The first reaction zone is around 4,059, followed by the strong support area near 3,960–3,980. If this support breaks, the weekly bearish targets are 3,900–3,920 and 3,740–3,760.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,175
Sell order zone: 4,187–4,198
Trendline resistance: around 4,180–4,200
Price reaction zone: 4,059
Strong support: 3,960–3,980
Target 1: 3,900–3,920
Target 2: 3,740–3,760
Sell FVG: 4,260–4,290
Major resistance: 4,382
Invalidation: above 4,290
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,187–4,198
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed breakout above the trendline, or price closing back below the Ichimoku value area.
SL: above 4,290
TP1: 4,059
TP2: 3,960–3,980
TP3: 3,900–3,920
Final target: 3,740–3,760
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,198 and holds, the sell setup should not be rushed. In that case, wait for price to move toward the 4,260–4,290 Sell FVG and watch for a new bearish reaction there.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price is still below the major resistance and testing the descending trendline. A bullish view becomes cleaner only if gold breaks above 4,290 and holds above the Sell FVG.
Final View
Overall, gold has recovered strongly, but the weekly bullish confirmation is still not clear. The key area for next week is 4,187–4,198. If gold rejects from the trendline and Ichimoku value area, the market may rotate lower toward 4,059, 3,960, and the deeper Fibonacci target zones.
Will gold confirm a breakout above the trendline, or reject from the Ichimoku value area and start a new bearish leg?
Trading Gold the structured way — liquidity, order blocks, Ichimoku confluence
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Analysis, not advice. Trade your own plan.
New idea every session. Follow + tap into the community → t.me/+uQLpyLGJXqNhOGJl
Analysis, not advice. Trade your own plan.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Trading Gold the structured way — liquidity, order blocks, Ichimoku confluence
New idea every session. Follow + tap into the community → t.me/+uQLpyLGJXqNhOGJl
Analysis, not advice. Trade your own plan.
New idea every session. Follow + tap into the community → t.me/+uQLpyLGJXqNhOGJl
Analysis, not advice. Trade your own plan.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.