This chart outlines the high-probability scenario for Gold (XAUUSD) in the coming week:
Primary Scenario (Script-1, ~75% probability)
Gold is likely to find support around Buy Zone 1 (3360–3350).
From there, it may rebound to test Sell Zone 1 (3400–3410).
Strong resistance is expected at that zone, leading to a potential pullback.
This matches both the options positioning (max OI at 3350–3400) and the COT data showing weaker longs, suggesting a range-bound market.
Alternative Scenario (Script-2, ~25% probability)
If the 3350 support fails, price could extend lower toward Buy Zone 2 (3300–3310).
This is a more bearish path but less likely compared to the primary scenario.
🔎 Conclusion: Gold is expected to remain range-bound between 3350–3400, with alternating bull and bear pressure. Trend continuation trades may be difficult, and range-trading strategies could perform better.
Primary Scenario (Script-1, ~75% probability)
Gold is likely to find support around Buy Zone 1 (3360–3350).
From there, it may rebound to test Sell Zone 1 (3400–3410).
Strong resistance is expected at that zone, leading to a potential pullback.
This matches both the options positioning (max OI at 3350–3400) and the COT data showing weaker longs, suggesting a range-bound market.
Alternative Scenario (Script-2, ~25% probability)
If the 3350 support fails, price could extend lower toward Buy Zone 2 (3300–3310).
This is a more bearish path but less likely compared to the primary scenario.
🔎 Conclusion: Gold is expected to remain range-bound between 3350–3400, with alternating bull and bear pressure. Trend continuation trades may be difficult, and range-trading strategies could perform better.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.