XAUUSD: Bearish Trendline Continues to Cap Recovery

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Following a rebound in early July, XAUUSD is showing signs of weakness, repeatedly failing to break above the bearish trendline extending from mid-June. The $4,140–$4,150 zone remains a key resistance area where selling pressure has repeatedly halted bullish recovery attempts.

Fundamentals also favor the sellers. The US dollar remains strong as the market awaits the FOMC minutes, while elevated US bond yields diminish gold's appeal. Consequently, current rebounds appear primarily technical in nature rather than signaling the start of a new uptrend.

On the H4 chart, the price remains below the bearish trendline and the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating that the prevailing trend remains unchanged. If XAUUSD faces continued rejection around the $4,147 level, selling pressure is likely to intensify, paving the way for a decline toward the $3,959 support zone.

Entry: Sell upon signs of rejection around $4,140–$4,147.
TP: $3,959.
SL: Above $4,175.

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