Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains sensitive as traders continue to watch USD strength, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data. While the recent recovery is visible, the broader structure still stays under EMA resistance.
For now, any upside move should be treated as a corrective pullback unless gold can break and hold above the main EMA value zone.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is recovering from the lower liquidity area around 4,077, but the main trend is still under bearish EMA pressure.
EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200 are still positioned above or near price, showing that the market has not fully shifted bullish. The recent move looks more like a retracement into value rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
The key sell zone is around 4,375 - 4,423. This area aligns with the Fibonacci retracement zone, EMA resistance, previous structure, and the upper side of the corrective channel.
If price reaches this zone and shows bearish rejection, sellers may regain control. The first downside reaction area is the VL zone around 4,230 - 4,247. Below that, the deeper liquidity target remains around 4,077.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,323
Fibonacci & EMA value sell zone: 4,375 - 4,423
Short-term support / VL zone: 4,230 - 4,247
Liquidity target: 4,077
EMA reaction area: 4,375 - 4,423
Invalidation area: above 4,423
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,375 - 4,423
Stop Loss: 4,440
Take Profit 1: 4,247
Take Profit 2: 4,230
Take Profit 3: 4,077
Sell Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for gold to pull back into the 4,375 - 4,423 value zone. This area combines Fibonacci retracement, EMA resistance, and previous price reaction.
A sell setup becomes more valid if price forms bearish rejection from this zone, such as a long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed breakout, or lower high formation below the EMA structure.
If price rejects from the sell zone and breaks back below 4,291 - 4,300, bearish pressure may return toward 4,247 and 4,230. A deeper breakdown may then target the liquidity zone around 4,077.
Entry Conditions
Wait for price to reach 4,375 - 4,423.
Look for bearish rejection before entering sell.
Do not sell directly while price is still in the middle of the range.
If price breaks and holds above 4,423 - 4,440, the sell setup is invalid.
Overall, the main view remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below the key EMA value zone. The preferred plan is to wait for a corrective pullback into 4,375 - 4,423, then look for sell confirmation toward 4,247, 4,230, and 4,077.
Do you share the same bearish view on gold, or are you waiting for a cleaner rejection from the Fibonacci and EMA value zone?
Trade active
XAUUSD has entered a selling zone. The entry point is likely to be filled during the US session, so pay attention to the price reaction.Trade closed: target reached
Gold has perfectly matched the sell zone, the price has moved up +1600 pips, reaching 50% of the target 
📊 XAU Macro Pulse · XAUUSD · GBPUSD · EURUSD
Every setup earns its place on the chart.
🔔 Follow the structure. The rest is noise.
Personal analysis only t.me/+ZahF8It14l40OWNl
Every setup earns its place on the chart.
🔔 Follow the structure. The rest is noise.
Personal analysis only t.me/+ZahF8It14l40OWNl
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
📊 XAU Macro Pulse · XAUUSD · GBPUSD · EURUSD
Every setup earns its place on the chart.
🔔 Follow the structure. The rest is noise.
Personal analysis only t.me/+ZahF8It14l40OWNl
Every setup earns its place on the chart.
🔔 Follow the structure. The rest is noise.
Personal analysis only t.me/+ZahF8It14l40OWNl
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.