XRP/USD continues to trade within a descending channel, extending its pullback in line with broader market weakness. The pair is hovering near 1.3671 (Murray [3/8]), a pivotal level that price has so far struggled to reclaim sustainably.
⸻
Macro Pressure Weighs on XRP
Digital assets remain under pressure due to:
• Elevated geopolitical risk (US–Iran tensions)
• New 15% US import tariffs adding trade uncertainty
• Rising probability of prolonged restrictive Fed policy
• January unemployment at 4.3%, inflation still above target
Additional selling pressure emerged after 31M XRP were transferred to Binance, typically associated with potential distribution. While Ripple ETFs recorded modest inflows ($2.25M), sentiment remains weak:
• Fear & Greed Index: 11 (extreme fear)
Regulatory clarity via the CLARITY Act remains delayed, limiting upside catalysts.
⸻
Technical Structure
• Trend: Long-term bearish (descending channel intact)
• Bollinger Bands: Flattening (short-term consolidation)
• MACD: Negative territory
• Stochastic: Near oversold
• Weekly bias: Bearish (Bands trending lower)
⸻
Key Levels
🔹 Support
• 1.3671
• 0.9765
• 0.7812
🔹 Resistance
• 1.6420
• 1.9531
• 2.3437
⸻
Trading Plan
🔻 Primary Scenario — Breakdown Continuation
• Sell below: 1.3671
• Entry: 1.3220
• Targets: 0.9765 → 0.7812
• Stop-loss: 1.5700
• Time horizon: 5–7 days
A confirmed consolidation below 1.3671 reinforces bearish continuation.
🔺 Alternative Scenario — Reversal Setup
• Buy above: 1.6420
• Entry: 1.6500
• Targets: 1.9531 → 2.3437
• Stop-loss: 1.4200
A breakout above 1.6420 would invalidate the channel structure and signal a medium-term shift.
⸻
Outlook
Until XRP reclaims 1.5625–1.6420, the broader structure favors sellers. The 1.3671 level remains the key trigger.
Bias: Bearish below 1.6420
Invalidation: Sustained move above 1.6420
⸻
Macro Pressure Weighs on XRP
Digital assets remain under pressure due to:
• Elevated geopolitical risk (US–Iran tensions)
• New 15% US import tariffs adding trade uncertainty
• Rising probability of prolonged restrictive Fed policy
• January unemployment at 4.3%, inflation still above target
Additional selling pressure emerged after 31M XRP were transferred to Binance, typically associated with potential distribution. While Ripple ETFs recorded modest inflows ($2.25M), sentiment remains weak:
• Fear & Greed Index: 11 (extreme fear)
Regulatory clarity via the CLARITY Act remains delayed, limiting upside catalysts.
⸻
Technical Structure
• Trend: Long-term bearish (descending channel intact)
• Bollinger Bands: Flattening (short-term consolidation)
• MACD: Negative territory
• Stochastic: Near oversold
• Weekly bias: Bearish (Bands trending lower)
⸻
Key Levels
🔹 Support
• 1.3671
• 0.9765
• 0.7812
🔹 Resistance
• 1.6420
• 1.9531
• 2.3437
⸻
Trading Plan
🔻 Primary Scenario — Breakdown Continuation
• Sell below: 1.3671
• Entry: 1.3220
• Targets: 0.9765 → 0.7812
• Stop-loss: 1.5700
• Time horizon: 5–7 days
A confirmed consolidation below 1.3671 reinforces bearish continuation.
🔺 Alternative Scenario — Reversal Setup
• Buy above: 1.6420
• Entry: 1.6500
• Targets: 1.9531 → 2.3437
• Stop-loss: 1.4200
A breakout above 1.6420 would invalidate the channel structure and signal a medium-term shift.
⸻
Outlook
Until XRP reclaims 1.5625–1.6420, the broader structure favors sellers. The 1.3671 level remains the key trigger.
Bias: Bearish below 1.6420
Invalidation: Sustained move above 1.6420
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.