H1 Bearish Retest Toward Previous SupportXAUUSD is trading around 4,291 after another bearish leg pushed price back into the 4,275–4,295 Current Demand Zone. H1 structure remains bearish beneath the descending trendline, but price is now sitting near support, so chasing fresh shorts at current levels is less attractive.
The macro backdrop remains heavy for gold ahead of today’s Fed decision. Markets are pricing roughly a 90% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. dollar remains firm and Treasury yields recently reached their
Bullish Patterns
FOMC ANALYSIS IS OUT: READ THIS BEFORE YOU TRADE GOLD TONIGHTSo guys, as you all know, we have the FOMC coming up shortly, and there is no doubt that this is one of the most important events for Gold. Volatility can increase massively, and right now the biggest question every trader has is simple. Are we going to see a major sell off, or is Gold preparing for a strong upside move?
If you look at the bigger picture, I believe a lot of traders are still bearish. And honestly, there is a reason behind it.
Since around 25 August, Gold has shown a strong dec
XAUUSD — Bearish Trend, Waiting for the PullbackMarket Pulse
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the Fed decision.
Higher Treasury yields, a firmer U.S. dollar and strong rate-hike expectations continue to limit the upside. High oil prices are also keeping inflation concerns alive, so volatility may stay elevated.
What the Chart Says
XAUUSD remains bearish on H1.
Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, while the latest breakdown has pushed Gold back toward the lower support structure around 4,255–4,265.
The current price ne
XAUUSD — Sell the H1 Fibonacci RetestFundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the September 15–16 Fed meeting. Markets are pricing roughly a 92% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while a firmer U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to raise the opportunity cost of holding gold.
The macro backdrop is also being complicated by oil prices above $100 and renewed Middle East supply concerns. U.S. Treasury yields have pushed to fresh multi-year highs, with the 10-year recently moving above 5%, reinforcing the
GOLD: 4.340–4.350 — BREAKOUT OR REJECTION?Today is FOMC day. Gold is approaching the descending trendline again, with 4.340–4.350 as the key short-term resistance zone.
🔴 Resistance:
4.340–4.350 │ 4.390–4.400 │ 4.420–4.435
🟢 Support:
4.300 │ 4.270 │ 4.225 │ 4.200 │ 4.160
🎯 TRADING SCENARIOS
Break above 4.340–4.350 → potential move toward 4.390–4.400 → 4.420–4.435.
Rejection at 4.340–4.350 → watch for a pullback toward 4.300 → 4.270 → 4.225.
Below 4.200 → next area to watch: 4.160.
🧠 PERSONAL VIEW
I still favor BUY at support and
XAUUSD — 4,257 Hold or 4,214 Sweep?
Gold is trading around 4,273 after extending the M30 decline below yesterday’s reaction support.
Price remains under the descending trendline, while the latest recovery attempt failed to create a meaningful structure shift.
Macro pressure is also still heavy ahead of the Fed decision, with elevated yields, a firm dollar and higher oil prices keeping Gold under pressure.
But price is now moving closer to the lower reaction zones.
And this is where chasing the sell becomes less attractive.
T
XAUUSD UpsideThe sell-off begins to lose momentum, and price starts compressing into a range rather than extending lower.
Attention now shifts to the resistance zone above. What stands out is the change in price behavior — the latest push is tighter and more aggressive, with buyers gradually building pressure beneath resistance.
That kind of compression often becomes interesting when the market is preparing for a breakout.
Gold Pre-FOMC: Buy 4,275 or Short 4,380?
Market Overview
• Macro Driver: Spot Gold hovers near $4,312 on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, finding localized support following Monday's sharp liquidation down to the $4,265 floor. Global markets enter the pivotal two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting starting today, alongside US economic catalysts including the Empire State Manufacturing Index. With institutional desks locked in pre-decision rebalancing, smart money is positioning for tomorrow's headline interest rate announcem
H4 Recovery From Lower Structural Support
XAUUSD is trading around 4,297 after extending the bearish H4 sequence into the lower part of the current structure. Price remains below the descending resistance trendline, so the broader bias is still defensive, but the market is approaching an area where a corrective recovery may develop.
The macro environment remains difficult for gold. The Fed begins its September meeting today, with a 25 bp hike widely expected after hotter inflation data. Gold has fallen to a fresh one-month low, while
XAUUSD — Mitigation Sell Before FOMC
Market Context
Gold is trading near $4,293 after extending deeper into the lower half of the H1 descending channel. Price continues to print lower highs beneath HTF dynamic supply, keeping short-term order flow bearish despite the latest corrective rebounds.
Macro conditions remain restrictive for Gold ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Markets are heavily positioned for a 25 bp Fed hike, while the U.S. dollar is near a two-week high and the 10-year Treasury yield has moved above 5%.
XAUUSD: Don’t Mistake This Rebound for a ReversalXAUUSD is still trading in a clear bearish trend , with both the macro backdrop and technical structure continuing to favor sellers.
From a macro perspective, gold remains under pressure as persistent U.S. inflation has strengthened expectations of tighter Fed policy , while elevated Treasury yields and a firm U.S. dollar continue to work against the metal. With the Fed decision approaching, the market remains sensitive to any signal that interest rates could stay higher for longer — an envi
XAU/USD - Defends the Floor, Breakout Away From 4.500OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting inside the 4,280–4,350 buy zone, where buyers have already defended the lower boundary several times. Price is also compressing between the rising support line and the descending trendline, creating a clear decision area.
The bullish setup only becomes convincing if Gold can hold above 4,280 and break the descending trendline around 4,350–4,370. If that happens, the recovery could extend toward:
🎯 Target: 4,500
A sustained break below 4,280 would invalidate the rec
H2 Rebound Into POC Before Lower Liquidity
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is caught between two opposing forces. August U.S. CPI rose 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY, lifting expectations for a Fed rate hike next week to around 85%–87%. At the same time, renewed Middle East tensions continue to support safe-haven demand, keeping volatility elevated.
Technical Analysis
On H2, Gold remains inside a broader bearish structure after the recent CHoCH and BOS.
Price is now near 4,349, above the lower liquidity area. A corrective rebound could first deve
XAUUSD — 4,293 Hold or 4,261 Sweep?
Gold is trading around 4,321 after another weak M30 rotation inside the descending channel.
The short-term bounce has lost momentum below the nearby resistance area, while sellers are still controlling the broader structure under the falling dynamic resistance.
Macro conditions also remain difficult for Gold. Markets are heavily pricing a Fed rate hike this week, Treasury yields remain elevated, and higher oil prices are keeping inflation concerns alive.
But this is also why the lower zones
NMDC: Daily Flag & Pole Breakout1. The Macro Perspective: The Flag and Pole Formation
I am taking a LONG bias on NMDC Limited (NMDC) on the daily (1D) timeframe.
When analyzing pure market structure on a metals and mining stock, extended vertical rallies must eventually be digested. Following a strong vertical surge from the 78.00 region in late March (forming the "Pole"), the stock entered a necessary cooling-off period. Instead of a deep structural correction, the asset demonstrated immense relative strength by consolidating
Gold Could Explode Higher This WeekXAUUSD remains bullish within the broader market structure, as the current decline is not yet enough to confirm that gold’s larger uptrend has come to an end.
From a fundamental perspective , gold is under pressure after U.S. August CPI came in hotter than expected, increasing market expectations that the Fed could raise interest rates at this week’s meeting . This is clearly a short-term headwind for gold. However, the metal still rebounded more than 1% in the final session of last week de
Crude Oil Trade Setup: The Big Move AheadCrude Oil Futures on MCX is flashing a high-stakes symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour chart. Currently trading at 8,123, the price has surged past its moving average and is pressing directly against a massive, multi-week descending resistance line.
Key Levels
Overhead Resistance: 8,150 – 8,200 (Descending trendline boundary)
Dynamic Support: 7,962 (1H moving average)
Trendline Support: 7,500 – 7,600 (Ascending base)
Trade Setup: Bullish Breakout & Retest (~70% Probability)
Trigger: W
XAUUSD – Bullish Pullback Could Set Up the Next Expansion📊 XAUUSD – Bullish Pullback Could Set Up the Next Expansion
🔍 Market Overview
XAUUSD is entering a deeper correction on the 8H timeframe after failing to maintain bullish momentum near the recent high. Although short-term selling pressure is present, the broader market structure has not yet turned bearish.
The key area to watch is 4,120–4,198. This zone represents previous structural support and also aligns closely with the ascending trendline, creating an important area of confluence. If pric
XAUUSD — Sell the H1 FVG RetestFundamental Analysis
Gold starts the Fed week under renewed pressure. Markets are pricing roughly an 89%–90% probability of a 25 bp Fed hike at the September 15–16 meeting after stronger August inflation, while the U.S. dollar has climbed to a two-week high. Brent near $108 is also reinforcing inflation concerns and keeping global bond yields elevated.
Middle East tensions continue to provide some safe-haven support, but for now the stronger dollar, higher yields and tighter Fed expectations r
XAUUSD — H2 Breakdown Keeps Sellers in ControlMarket Pulse
Gold remains under pressure as markets prepare for this week’s Fed decision.
Higher rate expectations, a stronger U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields are making it difficult for buyers to build a stable recovery. Higher oil prices are also keeping inflation concerns alive.
What the Chart Says
XAUUSD remains clearly bearish on H2.
Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, while several bearish BOS moves confirm that sellers still control the structure.
Gold has n
XAUUSD — Internal Supply Retest Sell Setup
Market Context
Gold is trading around $4,350 after rebounding from the recent lows, but the broader H2 structure remains clearly bearish. Consecutive downside BOS and the descending HTF bearish trendline continue to define seller control, while the current bounce appears more like corrective repricing than a confirmed bullish reversal.
Macro pressure remains important ahead of today’s U.S. CPI. August PPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, while markets are pricing roughly a 70% probability of a Fed r
XAUUSD - Bullish Continuation Setup and Further Upside Expansion🔍 Market Overview
Gold continues to maintain a positive bullish structure on the daily timeframe after recovering strongly from the 4,120–4,198 support zone. The previous rally pushed price toward higher levels, while the current correction has not yet broken the broader bullish structure.
As long as buyers continue to defend the marked support zone and the higher-low structure remains intact, the overall trend continues to favor further upside expansion in XAUUSD.
📈 Market Structure Analysis
GOLD: SHORT-TERM BUY BEFORE FOMC?Gold is still moving within a downtrend channel. Yesterday’s daily candle closed below 4,300, but with a deep rejection wick, showing that buyers are still defending the market. Ahead of FOMC, I favor short-term BUYs at support and will wait for price confirmation.
🔴 Resistance: 4.316 │ 4.340–4.345 │ 4.390–4.400 │ 4.440
🟢 Support: 4.280 │ 4.250 │ 4.225 │ 4.200 │ 4.160
🎯 SCENARIO
Break above 4.316 → 4.340–4.345 → 4.390–4.400 → 4.440.
Above 4.440: stop SELLing, as gold could resume its uptrend.
XAUUSD: The Chart Still Belongs to the SellersThere are times when gold falls sharply, yet the market is not necessarily offering a good place to chase the sell-off. XAUUSD is currently one of those cases .
Price has dropped toward 4,320 , bringing it relatively close to the 4,240–4,280 support zone . But what matters more is what sits above price: the entire H2 structure remains trapped beneath the descending trendline , while the Ichimoku area around 4,365–4,377 continues to act as a technical ceiling. In other words, gold may be t























